FearandLoathingintheMotte
No bio...
User ID: 4101
FearandLoathingintheMotte
9hr ago
I really do take ublock origin for granted
FearandLoathingintheMotte
10d ago
One of the best comments I've read in a good minute, fantastic, thank you
FearandLoathingintheMotte
10d ago
How does one solve forced Navier-Stokes without thinking
FearandLoathingintheMotte
14d ago
What was the Paul data dump?
FearandLoathingintheMotte
14d ago
A guy said something silly amongst walls of text and 40 hours of video so therefore I am going to throw out all the other arguments and evidence to point and laugh Nelson style and stick to my priors despite rather a lot of evidence to the contrary.
Would you care to engage with the thoughts and arguments presented here? Or are you just looking for a fun slam dunk and people who agree with you?
FearandLoathingintheMotte
15d ago
Holy shit Denuvo got cooked? I kind of fell out of game piracy around 2020 as my gaming calcified into 2010s strategy games with active modding scenes (EU4, CiV) and zero functional DRM, or $CURRENT_SHOOTER with my friends, which cannot be pirated.
But every time I checked in on the gang, it seemed like Denuvo was winning more and more, and the only solution, Empress, was much more focused writing insane manifestos and shilling for donations than cracking games.
Happy to hear the gang is so back, it was never over
FearandLoathingintheMotte
26d ago
Our tragic martyrs, taken before their time vs your villainous scoundrels, who had it coming
FearandLoathingintheMotte
26d ago
He had a fantastic quote, I think from ~2015? Of saying that "everyone goes socially liberal and fiscally conservative, the trick is to be socially conservative and fiscally liberal" and I think about that a lot
He saw a niche to zig when the gang was zagging and my god he exploited it.
FearandLoathingintheMotte
28d ago
Also, be prepared to be mean and for you parents to spend the bulk of their last years angry and resentful toward you if they're naturally stubborn.
I'm so fucked, fuck
At least I'll repay the favor to my kids, I'm stubborn as hell (just like my mom!)
FearandLoathingintheMotte
1mo ago
America has tremendous power to do things now,
How you define "do things" is quite load bearing.
I absolutely agree, America can flatten Iran any day of any week, likely forever. But it definitely cannot semi-frequently mow the grass and contain China to the first island chain.
FearandLoathingintheMotte
1mo ago
I'm hoping that this does a little more than simply delay the program, but stops it entirely.
What is the mechanism for ensuring this in 2,5,10 years?
A six month bombing campaign seems a completely reasonable cost for that!
Similarly, what is the mechanism for turning bombing lots of random stuff in Iran to stopping the nuclear program?
Nukes are a 1940s tech. Iran has already stood up most/all of the supply chain once. And the first time around they also didn't have access to 2026 technology.
FearandLoathingintheMotte
1mo ago
I really regret not putting
inb4 you start picking apart things in my comment
In my original post, have a nice day sir, we don't need to bicker over Mr Musk
FearandLoathingintheMotte
1mo ago
The PoE stuff linked below.
Everything about Doge?
Constantly lying about Tesla stuff.
Idk man, if you genuinely think that every single thing Elon has done is actually a 4d chess move then we're just gonna yell at each other.
Like I can go google/AI "dumb stuff Elon has done or said that didn't help his stayed goals and preferences" and cobble together a list and then you can pick them all apart. But that seems silly.
I don't even dislike Elon, I think making electric cars cool and making rockets cheap are fantastic achievements that earned him his place in history. But my god he's retarded sometimes.
Why did he do the sperg salute?
Elon Musk is clearly very smart and he's also such a retard. Both can be true at once lol.
My friends frequently describe me as the "stupidest smart person they know" , so I relate to this
I'm not humble bragging or comparing myself to Elon, I doubt I have his level of engineering IQ or grind, I just observe he says stupid shit that makes it harder for him to achieve his goals a lot
FearandLoathingintheMotte
1mo ago
I'm in full agreement that free AI is shit and it's giving everyone a bad impression
I'm just bored of people pointing that out like it's a novel observation.
We know it's shitty, everyone on this website knows this
I agree that the free AI samples are trash, I just think once we're all operating at the meta-level of understanding this, repeatedly pointing this out is a pointless exercise. Like congratulations, you have successfully noticed that something that is obviously low quality is low quality. Are the AI labs dumb for letting this pollute their brand/the overall "brand" of AI? Yes.
It's like mild "boo outgroup" posting but the outgroup is free shitty AI models
If people repeatedly went to McDonald's to make effort posts about how bigmacs are trash compared to their local favorite smashburger place, I'd have the same opinion.
It's also mildly funny to me that ~4 years ago AI was primarily used to make me laugh in /r/subreddit_simulator with shit tier Markov chains/GPT-2 and now we're mocking an AI model so cheap it can be served for free missed a decimal but otherwise was able to instantly answer a question with live information. In your food examples, yeah they're failing QC, but the food failing QC is significantly better than the failed QC food 4 years ago, the QC bar is a few orders of magnitude higher, and overall quality is skyrocketing year over year.
FearandLoathingintheMotte
1mo ago
That's interesting. I obviously don't have omniscient memory, so I could have pushed back my timeline.
But I remember having to switch to appending "Reddit" to every search query when I was in college, so that puts it right around COVID when quality started to decline enough to be motivated to do that
FearandLoathingintheMotte
1mo ago
I agree that backyards are incredibly elite, but how do you solve traffic from the ever increasing urban sprawl? Especially considering the ever increasing urbanization and demand to live in megacities that have all the economic growth
FearandLoathingintheMotte
1mo ago
I'm not going to pretend that AI can write better than a human, it can't. But sir, this is absolutely insane lmao
If only there was a worldwide network where domain experts could share concise answers to a variety of questions. And if only there was some sort of engine that let people search this network to find the answers they are looking for.
I don't understand how you're the SEO-defence force. Google was bad in the late 201X years and rapidly becoming fucking unusable 2020-2022. I was looking into paid search services by the time ChatGPT dropped because the SEO slop farmers were mogging google hard. But now, much like how people are rallying behind Uber drivers who might lose their jobs to Waymo (I thought we were mad at Uber drivers from taking the "good taxi jobs" even through we all hated cabbies before Uber) you have reflexively started taking positions against the thing you don't like, even if that position is saying "no no SEO slop google was actually totally fine"
FearandLoathingintheMotte
1mo ago
Gemini is so bad. It's actually kind of mind-blowing how hard google fell off this year.
I haven't had a chance to catch up on the podcasts about it, but sounds like they did a massive AI shakeup last week
FearandLoathingintheMotte
1mo ago
"I've heard all about these Chinese cars totally upending the global auto market and I'm told they're absolutely mogging the established auto players in basically every non Western country, so to investigate I test drove a 2003 BYD Flyer and it sucked balls, so clearly this is all fake news"
What's funny is I actually agree with your thesis. I think that the various free/quantized models that normies largely interact with (most notably, google search and copilot) have totally given everyone a terrible impression.
But this style of the motte investigative reporting is just ... Lmao
FearandLoathingintheMotte
1mo ago
This is true and I'm currently doing a project that has ABSURD unavoidable token read/write overhead (I'm processing ~300 cookbooks) and it takes 100 millions of tokens per book to ensure a reasonable level of accuracy.
So I'm basically stuck with subscription subsidized tokens, but Codex only serves the most recent models. I'd absolutely kill for a gpt-5 full size at low cost, but they don't offer the big old models at low cost (presumably bc expensive to run, but they're still much smaller than the base model of 5.5+) and Luna, while now gloriously cheap, is just so fucking stupid and myopic.
I could do this project with a 2 year old LLM most likely, it's just so deeply unergononic
FearandLoathingintheMotte
2mo ago
we did it for cheap.
I'm surprised to find myself agreeing with much of what you're saying, but I'm curious as to your definition of cheap.
As it stands, it's looking like the US military expended:
- Nearly 100% of ATACMS and PrSM
- 50% of tomahawks
- Somewhere in the ballpark of 50% of interceptors
- A disgusting % of exquisite cruise missiles (blanking on this stat)
- Lord knows how many airframe hours
- Whatever the cost of all the other shit that got blown up in bases
- All the drawdowns of the strategic oil reserve
Now this war has been profoundly cheap in terms of servicemembers' lives, praise be
I also am not getting into the cost of the political capital expended, both domestically and abroad, as those are hard to measure without hindsight and so can be left to argue about after the midterms lol
But it's materially degraded the stocks of offensive and defensive effectors in a way that is quite bad for a pending great power conflict against a heavily industrialized foe (rhymes with Carolina).
Was the war cheap in an absolute sense/in a vacuum? Maybe, perhaps even probably. Was the war, from an opportunity cost perspective, cheap? Less likely, and if China decides to get spicy in the SCS in the next 5 years, that becomes a resounding "no"
FearandLoathingintheMotte
2mo ago
There are some... impressively degenerate mods for the Total Warhammer games, and I don't just mean for the Slaanesh factions.
You can't hint at lewd mods for fucking Total War (LMAO) and not at least link to one
Their risk management completely asleep at the wheel. Even having fully consensual ketamine fueled orgies in a house with letters on it is stupid, do that shit in an apartment. This is why like 50% of dues are for insurance.
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