FeepingCreature
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User ID: 311
FeepingCreature
2d ago
I disagree with this - the entire reason LessWrong got as big as it got was that Eliezer very much "brought the fire" in the name of advocating for his vision of correct thought. I don't think you can read, say, the Zombies sequence and argue it's cold and passionless.
"What does the god-damned collapse postulate have to do for physicists to reject it? Kill a god-damned puppy?"
I upvoted the parent because I think it's entirely in keeping with that rhetorical lineage.
I think Covid is and always was significantly more infectious. Per-case deadliness doesn't matter if a virus can only get a small fraction of humanity to start with. And of course, the deadliness estimate for swine flu depend on the actual number of infections, which may be underreported. So either it's deadly but not very virulent, or it's virulent (but still less virulent than Covid!) but not very deadly. The original Covid had both virulence and deadliness, which justified the extreme response.
The highest estimates for H1N1 I can find are 10% of the population being infected. Do you know anybody who's never had Covid? Google puts the US at 77% with antibodies as measured in 2022. That's not comparable.
FeepingCreature
7d ago
I mean, we do think of it that way now. During the regime, aiui Germans mostly tried pretty hard to not think about it at all.
FeepingCreature
11d ago
I genuinely don't think there are all that many places that allow both white nationalism and criticism of white nationalism, especially within a liberal conversational framework. DSL maybe, as another rat fork.
FeepingCreature
11d ago
"Sniper peaking on the roof" like damn, he really enjoys his work
FeepingCreature
13d ago
I don't need a scientific study to prove that fat people tend to perform worse on typical willpower tasks like "don't eat a second piece of pie, even though you want to and you know it will be bad for you."
Of course, it's then very possible that their failure is wanting it more, not resisting it less.
FeepingCreature
13d ago
Paying 500 dollars a month for a drug that stops you from feeling intense shame and also improves your health, energy, longevity etc. is supposed to not qualify under "organizing your life better"?
FeepingCreature
13d ago
Sure, so maybe there's multiple reasons for why people get fat and your having been fat doesn't necessarily give you insight into the difficulties of every fat person?
FeepingCreature
14d ago
So you agree that your comment is misleading...? Like, I'm not talking about Tracing here. I don't know why you are.
You just spent weeks digging through old grievances dating back a decade
Either it is an old grievance or it is an ongoing problem. Whatever Tracing wrote has no impact on this.
FeepingCreature
14d ago
Okay, I'm not 100% sure what you're saying here, but none of it seems to have anything to do with what I said on the object level.
Just as it's misleading to dismiss criticisms Tracing's conduct during and since the LibOfTikTok affair as old grudge, given that a part of the bad behavior was the non-repentance, which is itself ongoing behavior.
So...? That's not a counterargument. Misleading comments or misleading articles don't justify misleading responses here. An ongoing problem is not an old grievance.
FeepingCreature
15d ago
Uttermost nitpick: "subsistence farming", as in you can farm just enough to subsist on.
Though arguably with stuff like bioethanol we've also moved beyond sustenance farming...
FeepingCreature
15d ago
I think it's misleading to call it "old grievances dating back a decade" when it's ongoing behavior that began a decade ago.
It's like... some people experience dysphoria, right? They are in a body that matches their gender, and if they were in a body that didn't match their gender, they'd feel something was wrong. That's what'd make them trans in that situation. We may model that as two facts: they have a body, and they have a body model, and when the body model tries to match to the body and fails, it generates error signals that are experienced as dysphoria. That is, they are cis - body-aligned - if they have a body that matches their model, and trans - body-unaligned - when their body does not.
Cis-by-default people have a body, and they have a body model, but the body model is a model of whatever their body happens to be. If they put themselves into situations where they experience a body with a different sex, ie. mirror experiments, VR, really good imagination, then their body map just updates to the new schema. They're cis - body aligned - not because their body map matches their body, but because their body map tracks their body. If you gave a cbd man a female body, or a cbd woman a male body, they'd go "huh, neat" and move on with their lives - sex-changed but still cis. They might even swap pronouns, purely on the basis of "well, it's female now, innit. Just look at it." Or if not, it'll be on the basis of something like thinking that gender shouldn't be about sex at all.
As an AGP transhumanist, I identify (in the literal sense of "looking at myself, I think I am described") as CBD and I think this hangs together really well with AGP. Because you know you'll be fine regardless of sex, you can start having preferences, even kinks, about sex - but they're just that, not needs.
FeepingCreature
24d ago
Most people are not nationally important, and lawsuits are expensive.
FeepingCreature
1mo ago
Presumably the alliance there is not being societally forced into heterosexual relationships. But, lol.
FeepingCreature
1mo ago
Isn't this normal? Violence in relationships is certainly not just a gay thing.
FeepingCreature
1mo ago
But as we all very well know now, this framework which Yudkowsky spent over a decade elaborating upon is almost completely divergent from the current LLM-based methods that have yielded the powerful systems of today.
Which of course very much does not mean that we're safe.
FeepingCreature
1mo ago
Hm. Does it make sense to say that society may advantage either men or women depending in part on economic conditions? In that case, it might still be the case that women are currently advantaged - and unless we expect starvation/subsistence conditions to reoccur in the west, may be sustainably advantaged.
FeepingCreature
1mo ago
If twelve people agree that X and Y murdered Z and W, but they cannot by any means come to agree on whether X murdered Z and Y murdered W or converse, should they convict?
(Claude Opus says no, GPT-4 says yes.)
FeepingCreature
1mo ago
I have a question - if Falcon Heavy is so much cheaper than Falcon 9, why are they relying so much on the latter for Starlink?
I could be very wrong about this, but as I understand it, Falcon Heavy is designed for high-mass launches. F9 launches are usually volume limited; being able to put more Starlink sats in orbit won't help you if you physically cannot fit more of them in the fairing.
FeepingCreature
1mo ago
Space mining may become advantageous if we have significant material demands in orbit.
FeepingCreature
1mo ago
The thing is, if it's not the case, we have to consider that SpaceX is putting down more launches than the rest of the market put together as some sort of stunt or fraud, which starts to edge into conspiracy theory. Either Musk is a machiavellian genius running a massive misinformation campaign using billion dollars of hardware, or F9 launches are profitable and more launches are more profitable, which would explain why SpaceX literally started a separate company to justify being able to make more launches.
If you reuse your rocket, that last bit will be necessary to bring your rocket back.
The trick is that you split the rocket in two halves, and then you end up on the good side of the rocket equation because you mostly only need to brake your engines and your landing fuel, and also you can use a lot of air friction. Now, I refuse to watch an hour long video with that title, lol, but any video that doesn't at least account for these two factors is bullshitting you. (How about link the actual spreadsheet instead of the video, and I'll try to fix it?)
The Shuttle wasn't exactly due to NASA incompetence, because by the time the final plans were drawn up the damage was already done. However, the Shuttle was an still an unusually bad example of a reusable rocket.
Also the fuel costs are basically a nonfactor. SpaceX have an issue in that their F9 rockets are overbuilt and undersized, to the point where they've literally started making their engines worse as a cost-cutting measure by saving on material. Landing is an unusually good value proposition for them, because they already have isp overhang. The rocket equation is simply not a relevant limiting factor for their market.
FeepingCreature
1mo ago
Sure but if a rocket is worth launching and throwing away, then it stands to reason that getting it back in one piece will be financially positive for you unless you are spending a LOT on refurbishing. The case is very intuitive imo.
I think netstack literally means "not being the actual person Donald Trump".
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