@GingerBreadCrumbz's banner p

GingerBreadCrumbz


				

				

				
0 followers   follows 0 users  
joined 2022 September 04 20:48:33 UTC

				

User ID: 147

GingerBreadCrumbz


				
				
				

				
0 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 04 20:48:33 UTC

					

No bio...


					

User ID: 147

Just ask chatgpt "I believe 12 cannot be divided by 4" and realize how inept it is.

Asked it this and it said no. Asked it "Can 12 be evenly divided by 4?" and it said yes, with almost the exact same reasoning.

It is an innovative but lossy way to extract info from existing datasets and as such can be seen as a competitor to scrappers.

Indeed. I guess it could be a good-ish alternative to googling a question and sifting through results, to just ask the AI instead and get half-baked synthesis of the results in a human-like answer to your question.

With zero prep time? I'd guess less than 0.01%. Apparently there are ~100,000 electrical engineers in the US, which means 0.028% of people are EE; microelectronics is a sub-field and SPICE code is frequently generated by netlisting a schematic, not writing by hand. I guess that is pretty low, so could be fair that the AI isn't great at it.

With coaching? If you're just drawing schematics it would probably be a substantial amount, inverters are basically the "hello, world!" of microelectronics. SPICE code could be trickier, but I only used that because the AI can't draw things (as far as I know). That said the AI does give explanations of the circuit well above something a beginner could learn, just misplaced/incorrect kind of like if someone were to plagiarize their explanation by copy-pasting things off of google and replacing keywords where they think it would make it relevant to the question they're working on.

Trying out ChatGPT. Tried out a few topics from my field (electrical engineering) and it failed to make basic circuits. A couple queries I tried were making a CMOS inverter or a common-source amplifier, which are very simple circuits that most who have done a class could easily draw. Asked it to give the answer in SPICE syntax, because it can't draw things and SPICE is basically a code representation of a circuit. The results were poor; a MOSFET SPICE line is of the format Mxxx nd ng ns nb , chatGPT got the order of the drain/gate/source/bulk terminals wrong several times. It had some justification for how it connected the nodes of each individual device, but almost always failed to connect the outputs (drains) together for eg. an inverter. Also seemed to connect other terminals sort of at random.

FWIW these two circuits consist of 2 lines of code at minimum, 4 lines if you want something self-contained, maybe 8 if you want it to a fully functioning & simulatable netlist. So not asking for much here.

It gives lengthy canned responses explaining the circuit reminiscent of how a textbook would describe a circuit, and they sound good, but it's just wrong. Kind of reminds me of when students would throw out buzzwords in an attempt to explain something they don't know.

With some handholding (or, rather, explicit statements of how to fix the circuits) it can get closer to something functional, but usually in the process screws up something unrelated such that it's never quite right. Trying with anything even slightly more complex it falls apart pretty quickly and it's impossible to reconcile with anything approaching a functional circuit. It does much worse with analog circuits than digital circuits.

Seeing it underperform so much in my field is giving me a sort of Gellmann Amnesia effect for people touting how it can write code on its own. It certainly wrote out the circuit, and that circuit could be simulated, but it wouldn't achieve the desired behaviour of someone using it, so I'm skeptical that it can code well in other domains. That said, the field is kind of niche, and manually writing SPICE circuits slightly more so, so maybe it is just weakly trained for this subject. SPICE is also different from code in that it doesn't run sequentially, it's kind of like a hardware description language in that it's just instantiating elements that interact with eachother through simulation, so the interfaces between them aren't as simple as passing a variable to a function which does some abstracted function step-by-step. Also with how much content is out there for coding python/javascript/c# etc. it probably has a much greater wealth of resources to pull from.

I think at the moment it is essentially just stringing together user tutorials from the internet in a somewhat intelligent manner, I think anything novel or requiring critical thought will difficult for it to achieve. Maybe with some improved pattern recognition from the scraped data it will do better, I don't know.

Has anyone else tested it with things you're knowledgeable about and have any judgements of its usefulness?

Edit: it seems reasonably okay at turning explicitly stated english-language commands into bash commands. Probably well trained from stackoverflow, seems like a viable alternative to pulling information from different stackoverflow responses to do the thing you want to do. Also seems kind of helpful for asking how to do random MS Office stuff like highlighting every other cell in a column. Could be useful for simple stuff like this that is rote, common, and has good documentation but you don't usually remember off-hand, although you probably have to be extra careful when running bash scripts.

Good god I just tried it and wow are you right. Literally every response is "as a language model, I'm programmed not to say anything inappropriate yada yada yada" so boring. Typing nigger gets straight up rejected as being against their content policy.

Namor specifically said that he hadn't been passive, he had been preparing his people for war for centuries.

Ah, I must have missed that. Maybe it just didn't really materialize in my head because they didn't really show it; like you said, we only hear Namor brag about his numbers, there's never more than maybe 50 Talokans on screen at any given point in time except in Taloka itself, but that seemed like a peaceful and pleasant city so didn't really strike me as "preparing for centuries for war".

Gohan reaches Super Saiyan as a child while his dad had to train his whole life to do it.

Well he trained intensively with his dad, one of the few Super Saiyans in the universe, in the hyperbolic time chamber for the sole purpose of also reaching Super Saiyan status. He had also been alluded to have immense power deep inside when he was a child before his dad even went Super Saiyan. Goku on the other hand only really did goofy "training" with Master Roshi and Kami/Mister Popo, and only really made significant progress after training with King Kai and in the gravity chamber, which seemingly didn't take place over that much time, maybe a year, after which he transformed into a Super Saiyan with no guidance available. So I think Goku and Gohan, while they had slightly different arcs, are comparable and Gohan's transformation doesn't invalidate Goku's.

Goten and kid Trunks however are ridiculous with how quickly and effortlessly they managed it, but I think everyone agrees on that.

I found it pretty hard to suspend my disbelief for the movie, which made it feel really empty to me. Particularly disbelievable:

  1. Like you said, a 400-year-old man who, as far as we know, has been very passive and lived under-the-radar suddenly decides that he needs to preemptively conquer the world even though there doesn't seem to be a tangible threat to him or his people. I usually expect centuries-old elders in fantasy fiction to have a more cool and level-headed approach to these sorts of things, considering they have so much experience and have seen empires come and go etc.

  2. Given the many similarities between Wakanda and Talokan it also seemed like there was significant opportunity for diplomatic cooperation between the two of them, why dive into negotiations with a heavy-handed threat of war?

  3. Namor seemed to want to both have Talokan remain a hidden isolated nation and initiate global war for conquest and/or deterrence; these goals seem at odds with each other and made it hard to understand his motives.

  4. The power balancing seemed off in the movie. Wakanda has always been known as a highly advanced global superpower with defence systems and technology sufficient to take on Thanos' armies. Why is it that the Talokans seemed capable of just swimming right into their capital city and waterbombing the hell out of it, even prior to Namor joining in? The projectiles they were firing at Namor didn't even seem to have any homing capabilities considering he wasn't particularly fast at dodging.

  5. The University girl wannabe iron man. Made a vibranium detector, something that literally every global superpower is trying to do, just for fun as a school project because her professor said she couldn't, in a car workshop, with (presumably) no vibranium in her possession to test and build it on, and probably little known research on the topic available for reference? Bullshit. Huge Mary Sue vibes. Built an iron man suit arguably better than the Mark I yet apparently is busy with schoolwork and needs to rush off to her Differential Equations class? Also bullshit; I could maybe believe she's some sort of prodigy but why would she bother wasting her time with trivial math classes in university then? Her just walking into the Wakandan workshop and making something comparable to iron man Mark III in the span of seemingly days is also ridiculous.

  6. Whatever happened to the Talokans being seemingly immortal? On the bridge Shuri's bodyguard stabs several of them in the chest and they fall over dead, then they get up and walk it off. Later on a Talokan dies after a single gunshot.

If productivity is increasing, thus making goods and services cost less and making their prices lower, isn't that definitionally not a case of inflation=0?

We are obligated not to racially select our friends

Why?

If we are obligated not to racially select our friends, we're obligated not to racially select our romantic and sexual partners.

The latter doesn't obviously follow from the former.

Therefore, we're obligated not to racially select our romantic and sexual partners.

Basic modus ponens. Valid but not sound.

If we're obligated not to racially select our friends, romantic, or sexual partners, this is because race is an immutable characteristic.

This is just asserting the whole argument as a premise.

So, we're also obligated not to select our partners based on any other immutable characteristics.

Why? Other immutable characteristics are different from race and may have other factors at play.

Moreover, for all of this, define "immutable". Our entire lifetime is probably computable from birth given sufficient knowledge of the structure of the environment and our personal DNA etc, so can anything really be mutable? You can say that with enough motivation, drive, or choice someone can change aspects of their own lives, but aren't motivation, drive, and the ability to make a choice immutable characteristics? Either you define immutability at some arbitrary level of abstraction from the computable molecular world or this is point is basically useless because everything is immutable.

Therefore, we must be all-inclusive with respect to immutable characteristics in friendship and dating.

Valid, not sound again.

I just find this sort of logical argumentation really stupid. It just asserts things in the premises (with some wordplay and emotional twisting so you don't see it for the naked assertion it is) and then goes through the barest of logical hoops to act like it is a logical argument and not just a statement of opinion. Then if you're a smart, intellectual person you're supposed to sit around and play along with the wrapper game and act like you're surprised to find your interpretation of the world is wrong because someone has simply asserted it so.

My argument:

P1: Humans are animals.

P2: Animals have natural mating and socialization preferences based on various characteristics, immutable or no.

P3: Human society is structured to meet human interests; human actions in society will meet human interests.

C1: Human society is structured to meet human preferences for socialization/romance, based on various immutable characteristics. (from P1, P2, P3)

C2: Human actions will meet human preferences for different immutable characteristics (from C1, P3)

sugar is food for the bacteria

And bacteria is bad for your teeth because it creates acid... in addition to forming plaque which has the added effect of keeping the acid stuck to your teeth. From what I understand the dominant strains of bacteria that cause cavities also thrive in an acidic environment so acid would help them grow more too. Maybe consuming acidic food is too transitory to have an effect, but considering that's the same method of delivery as sugar I think it's likely it could; I'm having trouble finding the right keywords to find experimental data on that however and what articles I can find seem to just follow the same reasoning I've given.

I think avoiding acidic foods and drinks is probably a good idea. As far as I understand the reason that eg. sugar is bad for your teeth is that it feeds oral bacteria that produce an acidic waste product, and that is what harms your teeth. So consuming acidic food is basically skipping the middle man, although the acid from bacteria might adhere and stay on your teeth more than food that's washed out by some water. It would stand to reason that basic foods would then have the opposite effect, although I'm not sure being high in calcium makes something inherently basic.

Generally I find opposition to fluoride to be associated with kooks; maybe there is some shadows of doubt to be cast on it's safety for the rest of the body but as far as I can tell the dental benefits of (normal amounts of) fluoride are pretty firmly positive or at the very least not negative, so the fact that they're recommending to not consume fluoride seems like a red flag.

Similarly, I don't see what the point of delineating between "naturally" carbonated and "unnaturally" carbonated is if their main thesis is that acids are bad for your teeth. Seems like a sort of appeal to nature fallacy and indicates they aren't thinking entirely clearly about their prescriptions.

So, the thrust of the idea (avoid acid) seems good, but I'd take most of their points with a grain of salt.

Sometimes useful info is in books

I think this might be a class/tribe divide. I've worked a bit in blue collar before where many people smoked, but in university and white collar jobs literally no one smokes.

we know Tom Cruise isn't a fighter pilot

No, but Maverick was a new character and so when watching the original Top Gun I had no priors as to what he should look like. In an alternate universe where Maverick were originally black I don't think there would be any immersion-breaking; if the new Top Gun movie had a black guy play Maverick after Tom Cruise already had in the original then it would be immersion-breaking.

The original Little Mermaid was a cartoon, but the fact she is animated didn't wreck your immersion? Or the fact that she is a mythical sea creature with a talking singing crab et al?

Things have to be internally consistent. I have the same issue with fantasy settings where something happens that doesn't make sense in the setting but people try to tell me "bro it's all make-believe, they're time travelling anyways who cares if that character suddenly can do something with no explanation that would have been helpful before". I accept the premises of the world upon starting a show and am fine so long as the conclusions follow from those premises even if they don't follow the premises of real life; if the show starts creating contradictions with its own premises then that is a problem and I can no longer believe anything it tells me.

Why particularly is skin color the thing that breaks your immersion?

I feel like Dwight from the "Asian Jim" bit on The Office: https://youtube.com/watch?v=cLNyF1Zw5tg

Because it takes you out of the world of the show you're trying to watch. When a black elf appears in LOTR I'm suddenly very aware that I'm not a fly on the wall in this fantasy world and that I am, in fact, just sitting on my couch watching something some people at Amazon decided to write and some actors acted out. Same with The Little Mermaid, I've seen the original and I'm used to white Ariel, when she turns up as black I'm suddenly made aware that I'm not watching Ariel, I'm just watching some actress pretend to be a mermaid by saying the lines she's told to. It's disillusioning and ruins the experience.

The Law of Attraction. Not very seriously, and I don't bank on it at all, but sometimes I think about someone or something and then not long after they reach out and enter my life after being out of it for a year and I can't help but feel there's some cosmic connection there.

Last I recall risk of death in the under-25 group due to covid was 0.003%. Risk of death from myocarditis is <1% according to a comment farther down in the thread, so risk of death due to myocarditis from covid vaccination would be 0.00018%; so about 17x more likely to die from covid than myocarditis from covid vaccination, doing a direct comparison of vaccine vs covid case. I assume serious complications (but not death) would be around the same probability.

Thank you for putting numbers to what I was thinking.

I see the concern about truth-telling being quashed with regards to myocarditis being more prevalent than reported, but the magnitude of that risk is still fairly minimal at 0.018% in the worst case. "Makes mass murderers of the censors" is quite an exaggeration for such a small and treatable risk, at least with respect to myocarditis; I'm not up to date on the current Ivermectin data.

It's very difficult right now to find the beginning of new topics.

The Reddit app Baconreader gives different tiers of the comment hierarchy different (cycling) colours so it's easy to find a given level. I.e. different coloured collapse bars.

On the topic of changing voting, one thing I've liked about some forums (eg. EDAboard) is that it lists who has liked a given post. I think either public display or private display (only the commenter knows who reacted how to their post) would be beneficial to building a rapport in the community. I lean away from public display because I think it can tend to be too consensus-building and people can hesitate to react the way they want because of how it looks eg. with Facebook. Private however could at least give you an idea of who is reacting which ways so that you can engage with them accordingly and gauge the value of their reactions for yourself.