MollieTheMare
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User ID: 875
MollieTheMare
4mo ago
I'm pretty sure if you do a statistical analysis of the primary themes of Taylor Swift singles discography the majority are not breakup songs. But she has produced a huge amount of stuff that gets played on Hot 100 type radio/streaming, so it's easy to forget some. For example "I Knew You Were Trouble" and "All Too Well" are explicitly breakup songs about "bad" former lovers. They both got substantial air play and feature in the Eras Tour set-list. The set-list is a bit over three hours so the statement:
you'll usually hear one within the hour
is probably true. Assuming the set list is representative of what gets played on a all Taylor all the time stream, and I have forgotten at least one of her breakup songs.
MollieTheMare
1yr ago
I'm with you on some form of active illumination whenever the car is in drive.
It's not clear to my why NHTSA takes a different stance than every other safety organization with respect to daytime running lights. Motorcyclist, US auto manufactures, insurers, and state DOTs all think that active illumination increases visibility, but somehow NHTSA can't find an effect.
MollieTheMare
2yr ago
I don't think I disagree with any of this. I certainly recognize the importance, and do feel sympathy and sadness for the situation. I would say that I have "empathy" in the sense of an intellectual understanding of what the people in the scenario are experiencing, but not in the visceral sense. When I see the video I only see something I would absolutely never want to be involved in.
Just to be clear, I'm not the person @Amadan was responding to. My main objection was to the "don't even actually know." I thought it was clear that we do know, but that doesn't mean I endorse embracing tribal hatred.
I will say one of my guilty pleasures is novels like Sharpe's Revenge, where Sharpe teams up with with his long time battlefield enemy Calvet to defeat his nemesis the duplicitous Ducos. I realize its fiction, but I do think that kind of justice resonates with me strongly. That there is a right way and a wrong way to do battle with an enemy, and that in a just world those that do it in the wrong way would be the ones to suffer.
MollieTheMare
1mo ago
Based on a vague recollection of your training history, you should be able to at least temporarily recomp effectively.
One of the nice things about strength vs muscular mass is it's much easier to measure benchmarks , especially with respect to proficiency. For someone with no training history they should be able to go from untrained to somewhere in the novice/intermediate range while maintaining or even losing weight. My recollection is you had taken training "some what seriously" before, which probably brought you to mid-intermediate. In that case it should take 50-75% of the time it took the first time to reach the same place. All doable while in a 0.25-0.5% BW per week lost deficit. So if you went from a 65kg to a 100 kg bench in 9 months before, myonuclei retention might get you there in in 4-6 months. There is a bit of a compounding effect where if you stop and restart repeatedly strength and size seem to come back even faster. Longer if it's been more than 4 years. Beyond the proficient level and outside of a retraining effect recomping is a slow and painful process.
Protein recommendations I would still shoot for the tried and true 1 g/lb body weight. 2 g/kg bw for round metric numbers is probably fine. There had been some (pretty sus) analysis that got cemented as lore for lower recommendations. The newer stuff seems to have rediscovered the tried and true. Why would you expect a hard threshold in the first palce? If you are not that lean 1 g/cm height works surprisingly well as a benchmark. The easiest way to drastically increase protein uptake is to have a pre and post workout whey shake. Whey is very fast digesting so should not decrease appetite much for your "normal" meals. If you don't want to do dairy for some reason brown rice/pea combo, or soy protein is probably fine. If you are worried about phytoestrogens from soy, corner an endocrinologist in a dark corner of the hospital and wring the truth out of them. Report back what exactly the deal is with phytoestrogens is, I'm interested in knowing.
MollieTheMare
5mo ago
Marriage without physical attraction in that age bracket seems pretty miserable - don't do it.
I'd be interested if you expand on this a bit. Like OP is early 40's and, uh GF?, is late 30's. At what point is it normal for sex drive to appreciably decline. Somehow I thought that 45 is early, but not supper early, for menopause to begin.
I would have thought that there are healthy marriages, where both people have taken good care of themselves and look good for their age, but neither is close to their objective peak physical attractiveness. Is the expectation that experience and comfort with self/partner makes up for not being as young and hot? That the attractiveness is found in the intimacy of knowing your partner so well.
Surely it's unreasonable to expect your partner to be as physically attractive, with respect to sexual intimacy, as she approaches 40 then when she was 24. What's reasonable to expect? Do you need like > 80% physically attraction relative to the hottest young thing, or just some irreducible quantum of attraction that you share with each other?
MollieTheMare
5mo ago
Nutritional deficiency was more or less also my instinct when I read the description. The mechanism I had envisioned is:
- Sweating + some diuresis triggers a thirst response
- OP reacts by consuming a bunch of sodium and water, thus the night time need to pee
- The increased urination flushes other critical minerals (including Iron which I failed to mention)
- Deficiency in blood mineral concentration increases thirst, return to 2.
I also agree that blood-work could be helpful here, but it would still be hard to interpret. Finding a physician who can properly interpret the results usually requires a specialist, and even that is hit-or-miss.
Even with a multi-vitamin, do you you think separate supplementation for each under covered nutrient with individual or a multi-mineral would also be advisable? My recollection is most common multi-vitamins still do not come close to even 50% RDA on several important minerals (including iron and potassium). Blanketing the spectrum does seem a lot easier than accurate tracking, but also makes it really hard to isolate variables.
Assuming, you do need supplements in addition to the multi, how important is nutrient timing in your opinion? For example if OP is supplementing vitamin D, calcium, and iron. How strong is the synergistic effect of D+calcium and how strong is the antagonistic effect of calcium+iron?
I was also thinking last night that perhaps the need to supplement magnesium in the first place is already mostly explanatory. OP didn't mention which type of magnesium supplement they was using. Of the zillion options which do you think is best for bio-availability, the ability to cross the blood-brain barrier, and sleep, Magnesium L-Threonate? Is it possible the version OP is using is just barely available enough to affect RLS, but not available enough at the brain? On timing, most recommendations are to take magnesium at night for sleep. In my personal experience if I take magnesium right before bed I end up with crazy dreams. With my last big meal of the day, or even at breakfast, tends to work better for me.
MollieTheMare
8mo ago
This is exactly what I think every time I see the
24+ hours in a row
argument. It seems pretty likely it's easier to select three people who can competently work 8 hour shifts than one person who can competently work after being awake for 24 hours.
MollieTheMare
9mo ago
Is the theory that batteries were augmented with explosive or are these explosions from thermal runaway of regular lithium batteries? Even a regular lithium fire can be quite explosive if triggered in an enclosed vessel.
In either case shouldn't there be some trace in the battery management system firmware?
In the case where the batteries are internationally being sent into thermal runaway, this must be commanded by the device or BMS firmware. Shouldn't you be able to dump the firmware out and check it's hash against an uncompromised version?
In the other case that the batteries have been augmented with additional explosives, shouldn't the BMS see that the battery has always been under rated capacity. Or in the case where the BMS was set to miss-report capacity, that you should be able to detect it as in the first case.
MollieTheMare
1yr ago
For some sectors though, I would imagine time spent knowing how much things cost for an ordinary consumer is valuable learning a CEO could do?
e.g. If you are supper out of touch $15 vs $8 a month for twitter blue is approximately 0 difference to you, but it could put you on opposite sides of the marginal elasticity curve.
This discussion reminds me of "Neutral hours: a tool for valuing time and energy" (pdf link) by Owen Cotton-Barratt
The central idea is not to count hours spent on an activity by the clock, but to weigh them according to how draining or recuperative they are
Like whether clipping out a coupon is worth it depends on
- The expected net present value of additional post-tax marginal income from additional work
- Your ability to substitute time
- How long it takes
- How much you like or dislike clipping coupons
MollieTheMare
2yr ago
Unfortunately, I don't think it was that sensible. I've never bothered to dig down through all the references (you have to go back to actuarial tables from 100 years ago), but this review paper quotes a 1995 WHO report (internal citations omitted emphasis mine)
WHO Expert Committee on Physical Status referenced the meta-analysis ... presented the U-shape mortality rates that sharply increased when BMI <18.5 and >30.0 kg/m2 with the acceptable BMI range as 18.5–25.00. The WHO experts underscored that the cut-offs were chosen arbitrarily based on the “visual inspection of the relationship between BMI and mortality”...
I don't understand why you would set the low threshold at the point where the curve turns up sharply, but the high threshold at a point close to the minimum.
MollieTheMare
2yr ago
F) Healthy at more weights than you thought. IMO, people overstate the health risks of being overweight and don't sufficiently differentiate between overweight/obese and active/inactive.
I'd be interested in this if someone wanted to dig a bit deeper on the subject. In particular I'd be interested to know if some one could figure out how the original BMI based thresholds were set. I'm particularly interested in knowing why a BMI of 25 is considered unhealthy while a BMI of 18.5 is not. I've yet to see an all causes mortality chart where the point at 25 had a higher hazard ratio than the point at 18.5.
This was of particular interest to me when states were rationing COVID vaccine shots. In the state I was living in, having a BMI of 25 made you eligible for the full two shot sequence before people with a BMI 18.5 were even eligible for one. When I tried to figure out why, the state department of health website referenced the CDC. Clicking three or four times and past a circular reference on the CDC site reached a paper that showed minimum risk around 24, if i recall correctly. I don't think this is the same paper, but It seems to show something similar. With the identified minimums in Figure 2. between 23.7 and 25.9. I still can't fathom how the state health officials justified to themselves prioritizing otherwise healthy 18-39 year olds with a BMI of 25 over 49 year olds with a BMI of 18.5.
I'd also be very interested in high quality population level research that controls for body composition as well as BMI with respect to mortality. Surely for a male at 5'10" (178 cm) it healthier to be 175 lbs (80 kg), BMI of 25, with 15% body fat than 130 lbs (59kg), BMI of 18.6, with 20% body fat.
MollieTheMare
28d ago
Depending on the market it might sort of be there. I don't remember where @naraburns lives, the length of his commute, or the size of car he wanted. But... You can get a used electric Hyundai Kona for a list of $14.5k right now. All up you would probably just push over $15k, but you can probably find one for $15k private party in the right part of the country. With a level two charger in the garage, you would probably come out okay for all but the longest commutes.
It is probably small and crappy relitive to an equal cost compact crossover, though I have never driven one. Could be great or horrible for all I know.
I would expect the Hyundai IONIQ 5/6 is probably roughly as comfortable as a comparably equipped new Honda HR-V/Accord. With a few years of depreciation it should hit that 15k point sooner rather than later. You probably don't need 100% of original battery life if you are just using it for a city commuter and have a gas car for road trips/backup.
MollieTheMare
2mo ago
I've never tried soylent, but had a coworker who switched to hule. He's the one that told me about it. I think Hule Original is probably the closest. It doesn't have a bunch of sugar like soylent but I think does have artificial sweeteners, if that matters to you.
I replaced lunch with Hule black. For sure saves time over meal prepping, and is very macro friendly.
MollieTheMare
2mo ago
New Balance
They are also the only main stream brand that has size EE across almost their whole product line.
Width D is almost always too narrow for me, yes even if your band claims to have a "wide toe box." Especially if you have flat feet, shoes are also too narrow around the arch. Width 4E is apparently for people with crazy hobbit feet, where they feel like they are wider than they are long. My experience is like 95% of shoe salesmen will try to tell you you'll be fine with D or 4E. Why would I be asking if you had EE if one of those would work?
A probability density function does not have to be transcendental to be able to integrate for a cumulative probability. I have no way of knowing what convention you use for work, and there might be good reasons to use a left hand rule numerical integration for your application, but there is nothing magically more correct about a left hand rule integration. Probability of death is strictly increasing by the time you reach 78. If you use the left hand rule to integrate over a region where a function is monotonically increasing, you will systematically underestimate the area under the curve.
With respect to the Social Security Actuarial Life Tables, it is in fact meaningful to talk about regions between nodes. The numbers in the table are not raw population deaths. In fact part of the methodology for producing the table in the first place is reconciling five year central death rates and exact age one year probabilities. Once you have meaningful nodes 365 days apart you are not dealing with a sampling problem if you want to estimate a value at 301 days—you are dealing with an interpolation problem. They do anticipate people using the table for intra-node calculation. From the methodology notes:
Although a life table does not give mortality at non-integral ages or for non-integral durations, as can be obtained from a mathematical formula, acceptable methods for estimating such values are well known.
MollieTheMare
5mo ago
I guess the entire difference is down to if you should index by 78 or 79 then. The table is on "Exact age," so I guess @netstack was right to use 79. He even rounded down from there to "about 24%" from 24.6%, so it probably is about right interpolating. As the comments above point out, additional factors probably are more important at that level of accuracy already though.
MollieTheMare
5mo ago
I was also surprised the number was that large, but also got 24.6% both taking the ratio of "Number of lives" and the complement of the product of the complement "Death probabilities."
Interestingly, in the notes they include cause-specific ultimate rates of reduction, so you could exclude the violence category if you are only considering health related causes.
MollieTheMare
5mo ago
If you are worried about the fat macros from using butter, cooking oil-spray (like PAM) also work well for frying eggs in cast iron.
IMO it does work better than just vegetable oil but not quite as well as butter. It's also much much less tasty than using butter. The ones in the pressurized cans seem to work better than the pump versions. I'm not too worried about the propellant as the amount used per serving is minuscule. For daily eggs one can lasts me 6 month to a year. The classic version works the best, olive oil version works well but you have to be careful of the smoke point using in cast iron, the coconut oil version works well as long as it's above 74° F in your kitchen but has a hard time aerosolising otherwise.
If using cooking spray to conserve calories, go easy on how long you spray. One serving is something like 1/4 of a second. It's supposed to be ~1g fat per second spray.
MollieTheMare
1yr ago
I wasn't planing on publishing the source, since my code it is a bit idiosyncratic, but I guess there seems to be enough interest.
A pastebin with the code. Uhh, I guess I didn't put a license statement. Let's say BSD Zero Clause License. Do what you want, but don't blame me if it ruing your love life.
Is there a way to publish a pseudonymous/anonymous gist on Github?
MollieTheMare
1yr ago
For general introduction maybe "set your back stiff like a board, not flat like a board."
If you're experiencing frequent back tweaks maybe this series. Much more advanced. For an intermidate level reference, I guess maybe this video.
MollieTheMare
1yr ago
Almost certainly a form issue. It's possible your anthropometry isn't great for deadlifits, but the vast majority of people should be able to perform the lift safely. Wearing a belt can help, but I don't recommend relying on it to save you if you are pulling from a less-safe position.
For a novice I would recommend only owning one belt for everything. If you are not planing on competing any time soon, I would prioritize adjustability and comfort. A uniform width is generally considered better for the type of bracing you should be using for deadlifts. That is, I would personally avoid the bodybuilding style belts that have the wide part "for you back". A good intra-abdominal pressure based brace is far superior to the proprioceptive benefit of a tapered style belt.
IMO the best overall pick for a training belt is a single or double ply, 3" or 4", leather single prong belt. Something like this can be nice because of the extra adjustment. Go for the 3" if you have a short torso, or if you have a hard time getting into deadlifit position with a belt on. Single ply can be more comfy but is less supportive if you get really strong. For sure single prong for ease of use. Lever belts can be nice, but entry level models are usually too annoying to adjust to be nice training belts. Having the extra holes can be nice, as most people can get a slightly better position deadlifting with a belt ~1" larger setting than their squat setup.
For general training, or if you plan on doing Olympic style lifts, a nylon velcro belt (never tried that brand, just an illustrative link) can be good. Cheaper and easier to deal with than a leather belt, but not quite a stiff or durable as a leather belt.
MollieTheMare
1yr ago
I've seen badass PT Marines who can do 20 pullups fail to deadlift their own bodyweight.
Like literally you've seen someone who you know can do 20 pullups fail to deadlift their own body weight? Or just like with poor form? I'm trying to understand how that's possible, like worst case they should be able to row that weight and stand up just pivoting around a bar that is already at waist height. I've seen people that can can do 20 pushups who cant deadlift their own bodyweight, but that's a totally different part of the kenetic chain.
All that being said, I do tend to agree, which is why I used fahves in my example below. I didn't want to be too dogmatic about it, because other stuff can work. My rough view of the literature is that somehow it even suggest that it 'should' work just a well or better. My not very well supported theory, on why the other stuff seems to work less well than the laboratories studies suggest is that normal people have no idea exactly how hard you have to go to reach true failure in rep ranges > 10. Like a 20 rep set of squats to total failure feels uncomfortable at rep 6, starts noticeably slowing down at 8, feels like your legs are going to explode at 12, feels like you're going to vomit at 15, feels like you're going to vomit blood at 18, and requires entering the shadow realm the last rep or two. The lab studies that indicate higher rep ranges work tend to at least have a undergraduate telling the participants to keep going if they obviously have reps left in the tank. From casual observation, I think unprompted most people stop at very uncomfortable which can be very far from failure in high rep ranges.
I do actually recommend the starting strength book as well as practical programing. The big advantage being the novice linear progression is pretty idiot proof, or more charitably novice proof. I was a little bit surprised that it's no longer on the fitness wiki, because it used to be the go to suggestion for beginners on their fitness journey.
MollieTheMare
1yr ago
I completely forgot not everyone has dumbbell hooks. It's a real game changer not to have to kick up heavy dumbbells.
I guess it must vary by gym? I would guess there are at least as many people in the average gym using the dumbbell rack vs the barbell benches.
I mentioned above that I think bench press is a sub-optimal exercise, I probably should have specified barbell bench press. I do think there is a place for both bilateral and unilateral exercises though. A lot of real world horizontal pressing involves using both arms. I also think the average gym has 100's as the heaviest dumbbells which is not really that much above the level of all the people you see barbell benching 225. You do see 120's in some gyms, but in most gyms big enough to have them you see people benching at least 315 on the barbell.
For overhead press I am actually pretty certain I see more people using dumbbell vs barbells.
Edit: Also, which muscle do actually get more engagement in dumbbell bench? If your lats are fully engaged aren't your scapula constrained by the bench anyway? Substantial loading of the rotator cuff during the bench press doesn't sound like a great idea.
IMO the practically available volume is the biggest advantage of using a wheel-less bag. On a standardish 22"x14"x8" (~55x35x20 cm) international carry-on size bag, one with no wheels can easily have 25% more interior volume than an identically box constrained wheeled bag. Especially those four castor bags you are losing a full 3 inches off of the bottom of the bag. People also underestimate the volume used for the collapsing handle and structure to transmit the load to the wheels.
In practice for me, this means that I can fit a "normal" amount of stuff in a max size personal item 18"x14"x8", and never have to worry about being forced to pay for a carry-on or have my bag gate checked.
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