Nwallins
Finally updated my bookmark
No bio...
User ID: 265
Nwallins
Finally updated my bookmark
2yr ago
I don't disagree. They could have been overwhelmed in a full engagement, but recon is a thing. Run the border, run away, report back, and engage when advantageous. I'm thinking about a SWAT team as multiple vehicles and maybe 20 personnel.
Maybe this stuff was going on, but only the Israelis know.
Or you need 100 boats with 1000 person capacity if each one takes 10 trips.
Multiple trips are not realistic. I'm happy to explain why, but that shouldn't be necessary.
As I see it, Israel + USA.
Good luck with gaining access to Iranian ports.
Yes, Iran certainly does have the ability to shoot guns at boats full of Palestinian refugees while the cameras broadcast videos of innocent women and children dying to the world.
Refusing port does not imply shooting guns.
Getting from the Meditterranean to the Persian Gulf is a far simpler logistical problem than Persian Gulf to America
The destination is rhetorical. Iran can perform the same maneuver at any port of their choosing.
Your reply here is mostly fantasy.
Nwallins
Finally updated my bookmark
2yr ago
As of December 2021, there were 323 cruise ships operating worldwide, with a combined capacity of 581,200 passengers.
Nwallins
Finally updated my bookmark
2yr ago
You'd need 1000 boats with 1000 person capacity to move a million refugees. Among the refugees would almost certainly be terrorists and crypto-militants. Obviously no weapons would be allowed on board, despite a small chance of smuggling efforts succeeding. So you will need a sizeable police force. And can you trust all of the police to maintain control of their weapons and populace, and not support some kind of mutiny?
Food and water could probably be handled.
Who is paying for this, and in charge? Israel? The UN? Someone will have to take responsibility for the Iran destination, and that will prove quite contentious. Iran can reasonably blockade and/or refuse port. Eventually conditions onboard deteriorate. Maybe the crew abandons ship? Iran could commandeer the ships and park them at the Port Authority of NY/NJ.
It's whimsical but seems quite unrealistic to me.
The Comanche and Apache, at the very least, felt the same way about the Americans, and other tribes, and behaved accordingly.
Nwallins
Finally updated my bookmark
2yr ago
Related, I think nothing less than total destruction of all known tunnels should be a, if not the, primary strategic objective for Israel. Or at least how they frame it. They can't count on UN support for killing Hamas, but they could probably muster international support for eliminating the tunnels.
In the process, Hamas gets wiped along the way.
Nwallins
Finally updated my bookmark
2yr ago
Agreed, but once you're in, you should be inside the network. No doubt there are segments and isolated clusters, but all it takes is one entrance per segment.
Nwallins
Finally updated my bookmark
2yr ago
What's a good anti-tunnel strategy for the Israelis? A few things immediately come to mind:
- Blowing them up / collapsing them
- Flooding with water
- Sealing / flooding with concrete & rubble
- Attacking clean air with smoke / toxins
- Occupation / patrol / drones / auto turrets
I think the tunnels are the main infrastructure advantage for Hamas, and Israel will need to confront them directly somehow.
Nwallins
Finally updated my bookmark
2yr ago
I don't disagree. But some prominent examples would really buttress this crux, and I do think it's the crux of this position. Do they really advocate and celebrate Hamas-style barbarism?
The overwhelming majority of conservatives and right wingers are firmly on the side of civilization, on the civilization-barbarism axis.
Nwallins
Finally updated my bookmark
2yr ago
the BAP sphere, which openly celebrates murder, rape and death.
Citations needed. I highly doubt they are celebrating Hamas style barbarism, or else we are nutpicking.
The long border with Israel is about 25 miles, the length of the overall strip. Was the short border (closest to Tel Aviv) breached? Total border is 32 miles.
Surely they could dispatch the equivalent of 5 SWAT teams to run the border within an hour or two.
I am sure they have realtime satellite surveillance as well as tripwires, cameras, and other detection mechanisms. The level of incompetence on display suggests they tacitly allowed this to happen for the sake of casus belli.
Nwallins
Finally updated my bookmark
2yr ago
While I can imagine how Hamas was able to get multiple vehicles across the border to Israel, it baffles me that they could take hostages and somehow just drive back. When a sensitive border like that is penetrated, shouldn't there be a 3 alarm fire type of response?
Like, if I was a Hamas gunman, I wouldn't expect to be returning home. Perhaps there is a special strategy for the hostage takers? How are we characterizing the border breach, and for how long did it remain unsecured?
Nwallins
Finally updated my bookmark
2yr ago
Wouldn't FdB say that Marxism is quite egalitarian?
Nwallins
Finally updated my bookmark
2yr ago
You can't just say 'we won all the battles and got a great K/D but some weird political stuff happened and we left the other guy controlling the territory' - wars are about politics.
If your metric is fighting ability and military experience, then you sure can. Isn't that what you were originally questioning?
Nwallins
Finally updated my bookmark
2yr ago
Just some feedback as there are no replies here. There is a distinction between a wall of text and an effortpost, but it can be subtle. OP reads more like the latter, to its credit. But while I was nodding my head according to the first 5 paragraphs or so, I had an intense desire to "get to the point". While I understand the value of dripping out information and keeping the reader hooked and engaged, I found myself skipping ahead to try to find the thesis, or novel point being made.
I have a concrete suggestion: if it takes more than 5 paragraphs to "get to the point", then you're better off summarizing and defending, rather than buttressing and presenting.
To be clear, I guess I am delineating two different rhetoric styles: buttress and present, where by the time the point is presented, it's basically a foregone conclusion; and summarize and defend, whereby the point is not hidden til the last minute but is instead presented early, allowing the reader to grapple with it, and then defended later by the author.
Both styles have their places.
Nwallins
Finally updated my bookmark
2yr ago
Interesting, because Oz is perhaps surprisingly more woke and lefty despite the "pioneer spirit" which would lean very much the opposite. But, I suppose, now that the vast majority are softies in the cities, it makes sense.
Nwallins
Finally updated my bookmark
2yr ago
It's mostly wasteland, so very desolate and unproductive outside cities. So it's urban in that sense, but only a tiny sliver of the geography is actually urban.
Nwallins
Finally updated my bookmark
2yr ago
become a minor celebrity by breaking the law to embarrass her and then claiming prosecution.
* persecution?
Nwallins
Finally updated my bookmark
2yr ago
I'd strongly suspect there is a prison pipeline that feeds "Aryan Nation" type ideology, and these types do buy into it.
Nwallins
Finally updated my bookmark
2yr ago
Conceivably BYND could have gotten a little flywheel going and continued to innovate into healthier better options.
I sort of get what you're gesturing at. A flywheel represents the difficulty of spinning up a new market. You need to solve both supply and demand at the same time to get the engine running. Failure is catastrophic while success is a money machine. If there is an imbalance, the flywheel is bottlenecked and doesn't want to spin.
In this case, the flywheel represents the pseudo-meat market, I suppose. There have been meat substitutes and meat replacements before, but this is really a new kind of market and new kind of product. Maybe this particular market is cursed, but if the flywheel gets going, then maybe:
continued to innovate into healthier better options.
AKA the pivot
The technical term is 'scamwick'.
Interesting. I'm not really a crypto guy (read Satoshi's whitepaper when BTC were going for pennies), or a trader, but I know a little bit about technical analysis. The "wick" here is the wick of a candle chart, which shows the open & close, high & low, for a given trading period. The delta between open and close forms the body of the candle, while the high and low (which necessarily equal or exceed the open and close) form the "wicks" (upper and lower) of the candle. A so-called scamwick is a recognition of suspicious price movements which indicate price manipulation.
My prior on "price manipulation" is that most manipulators lose in the long run, at least for deep markets, but that the attempt to manipulate prices is an important part of price discovery and akin to "random noise" which motivates the true price.
I just re-learned about rabies, in the last 10 days:
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