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8d ago
So you can like assassinate a lower level gov employee and get away with it? I don’t think that denies my point.
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8d ago
It’s a 20 min video I tried skimming it but I am not sure on your point. But guerilla warfare you could handle with a lot of surveillance drones with AI analyzing things like picking up a sniper shot and then sending a bunch of drones to go kill the sniper.
You can walk isn’t that practical in the modern day. I think the system works now because the right to travel only has limited restrictions for misbehavior like DUI. The government hasn’t truly tried to act like mobility is only a privilege. No-Fly list may have been an abuse.
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8d ago
Can you expound on the narrowness of my argument? How else can you fight the government with guns?
You’re not doing anything against 300k autistic trannies control US drones under the Biden clone Presidency. They will win.
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8d ago
Fair perhaps I should have said “becoming” obsolete. If your place the court game today and it takes years to judicate then in 5-10 years it does seem like guns are less relevant.
The main reason will be to fight urban crime if the state isn’t willing to put people in jail. My main comprehension of the 2A purpose was to either war Britain invading the US or to go to war with US government. Guns don’t seem to have any relevance for that in 10-15 years.
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8d ago
Agree, but let’s say the Tea Party went farther and rebelled and they all had guns. I don’t know if Obama is going to kill a few million of them versus having a diplomatic solution. And even in Iraq small arms against US not wanting to level the place had some success. Cheap drones are going to be effective against insurgencies if you don’t want to cause mass death.
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8d ago
You can put a gun on a drone and not just have suicide drones. And AI drone with gun it’s going to crush human with guns.
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8d ago
You really think medium term with AI improvements that a human can compete with a drone? And that’s besides in America training a soldier from birth to death on the battle field at 25 has to costs around $1-1.5m and drone tech probably improves to be a fraction of that.
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8d ago
I think Monzer is correct a lot of the expense was Israel. Keeping the oil trade routes open was fairly cheap and necessary. Iraq 1 is the only action I would label in that regard and was on the cheap side for a 50 year mega gas station.
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8d ago
True I left out the support of Israel causing a lot of pre-2010 issues. And that’s a big reason we had negative Middle East issues back then.
The broad security blanket we provided the ME wasn’t that expensive and necessary. Supporting Israel was expensive. Mea culpa I wasn’t thinking about the costs of Israel back then and it’s a glaring omission.
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9d ago
The ability to be mobile would maybe be the first right I would add to the constitution under the 9th amendment under any living constitution argument. It just seems to be a basic thing you need to be able to do to exists. Like it’s basically required now to get food.
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9d ago
Some interventions were necessary. Arming the Saudis 100%. Doing some form of balance of power politics etc.
It’s just the Iraq War and Afghanistan were not about oil directly. Iraq War 1 could be considered an oil war. The post 9/11 stuff was terrorism related and the only oil connection was some OBL hating us for propping up the Saudi regime.
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9d ago
Are gun cases obsolete at this point?
They can protect you against common criminals but they can’t do nation state war at all anymore. It seems like two new technologies are game changers.
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Drones defeat guns. You can have a human operated machine gun and you will lose to a drone. But we probably? can not let people own fleets of AI controlled drones.
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Government will control your access to mobility going forward. Autonomous cars are awesome. But mobility is key if there is going to be any check on federal power because a free people with guns will resist. The backdoor they have on your electric car will get turned off when you resist.
Technology and the ability to have industrial and post-industrial society has always been an issue the American Democracy and Freedom project.
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9d ago
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Energy prices are inelastic in the short term.
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It’s a core necessity for production of anything. If you don’t have chocolate well you don’t eat chocolate. If you don’t have energy a lot of high value add businesses needs to stop because energy goes into everything.
2 & 3. Imply that gdp impact is > import costs
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Iraq and Afghanistan were not oil wars but about terrorism. Long term backing of Saudi Arabia was oil. Iran war now is probably oil but to deny it to China. Afghanistan doesn’t even have oil. Iraq 90% of it was probably wanting to fuck some brown people because of 9/11. So the trillions in the 2000’s was mostly not about oil.
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I don’t know the true amount the US spent on securing oil supplies over decades but it’s not the trillions of the Iraq War. It also had spillover benefits for allies securing oil.
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I don’t know when the US would have become an energy powerhouses if oil surged sooner. Higher prices would have started the process earlier. The 1970’s oil prices didn’t trigger shale. And Europe has high energy prices and no plans to improve on that situation.
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9d ago
Ok but we all know group A is privileged over group B and the debate is over why. The Aliens being smart enough to space travel would clearly realize group A is the privileged group.
There is obviously a…..dark matter….that gives group A a huge advantage over group B.
Which is just discovering disparate impact or hbd from first principles.
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9d ago
You get to have that political opinion today because America got very good at shale oil and became an energy powerhouse.
Non-intervention in the ME was not a possible political position pre-2010 unless you were also willing to accept a lower quality of life in the US. Back then we needed to keep the oil flowing.
Today the biggest benefit to America playing geopolitical games in the ME is Jared Kushner getting a PE fund.
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10d ago
That’s within in my range. And you own data doesn’t support your claim that Mizrahi far outnumber Ashkenazi. And the 32% number seems to exclude Russian Jews who are some would just consider as Ashkenazi Jews and push the two groups to basically equal proportions.
It’s interesting people want to debate the Ashkenazi versus Mizrahi components of Israel. And my gut says it’s because antisemitism is actually anti-Ashkenazi because the Ashkenazi are the ones with power and money. They are colonizers. While Mizrahi are just along for the ride.
The Mizrahi would essentially be a group like the Kurds if they didn’t have some shared ancestry with Ashkenazi.
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10d ago
A Democracy is dependent on certain institutions/people broadly acting fairly and honestly so that the voters can essentially be like a baseball umpire and call balls and strikes with a reasonable set of trusted information.
That being said we also accept that certain actors get to be partisan and try to shape public opinion. Politicians and PACs get to run attack ads which do not need to be nice to the opposing side and can give colorful takes on current events. We would probably assume more groups than these get to be partisans but the exact line of who gets to be partisan is not clearly defined.
And this is where 2020 gets really confusing because there are actors who are not allowed to be partisan using professional credentials to be partisan. The withholding of the vaccine data feels like it was for partisan and probably actually killed a lot of people. Fauci feels like he had other motives (in his case his own ego). The CIA is not suppose to be propagandizing the American people and acting in a partisan way in US elections. So when 50 revolving door CIA agents write an op-ed citing their CIA spy credentials to declare Hunters laptop a Russian Op I feel like that crossed some lines.
The environment stacking felt to me like it crossed a lot of lines on how institutions are required to play in a Democracy that go far beyond the dirty politics that happen in a Democracy.
That being said the Dems probably win the election in a landslide if they didn’t go down the path of fortifying an election. The riots really did costs them a lot of votes. If they had done that then Trump probably just goes down as a one term POTUS who did Republican stuff like cut taxes and appoint conservative judges.
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10d ago
Grok tells me it’s 30-45% Ashkenazi. Mizrahi outnumber Ashkenazi but it’s not far outnumber. But more importantly the Ashkenazi are the ones who conquered Israel. That’s where the military and money to support Israel originates.
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10d ago
I don’t believe you have to want to exterminate the Jews to believe that Palestine is the historic homeland of the Palestinians and a bunch of Europeans with some shared genetics with the historical population are basically colonizers.
The Ashkenazis basically did colonize Israel. Leftists are universally against colonization. At this point Ashkenazis do have alternative places to go. I’m not against colonization so I don’t have a problem with Israel.
No I agreed that he didn’t represent the other positions charitably. People can make rational pro-Palestinian or 2020 election denial arguments. Which I do not believe you can on “What is a women” (besides a very narrow small percent of true abnormal chromosome people).
My guess is you don’t like me labeling the pro-Palestine people as being anti-might makes right, but I do think you need to take that view. It is a coherent argument to believe might does not make right. Otherwise Palestine was conquered 80 years ago and at some point they just need to accept that and quit fighting under traditional western doctrine.
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10d ago
For Hannania he first gained influence without the engagement baiting and just wrote interesting things. For me it’s seeing the transition from intellectually interesting to influencer sell-out over time that makes him different. Most of us probably knew his writings before he got a little famous.
I can’t fault someone for trying to make a buck, but he’s not the same Hannania from like 2018 or whenever he began to gain influence. I’ve come close to just blocking his comment on social media because it’s 90% hackery now.
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10d ago
I do have to agree most of the other questions have truisms to support them that I really do not believe you have with “what is a women”.
Pro-Palestine - You can perfectly take an anti-might makes right argument and declare the Palestinians as the true natives of Israel and hence have a more valid claim on the land. Most of the modern world in the west has some foundations in might makes right, but it’s still an intellectually coherent framework. Modern Jews likely have significantly less genetic connections to the historic inhabitants.
I feel perfectly fine making arguments the fourth estate completely gave up on their responsibilities in a Democracy which completely flipped the election. If people were informed the Hunter laptop was genuine then it’s an easy Trump win. Plus, Zuckbucks probably crossed legality in Wisconsin. That the vote was actually changed is a hard argument, but Democratic norms do feel like they were violated all over the place in 2020. And actual Biden administration campaigns to suppress media seem quite valid in 2020. I think a GOP staffer can validly cite 2020 as not Democracy without needing to say specific vote fraud.
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10d ago
Fairly certain Hannania has admitted he engagement baits and isn’t actually saying his true thoughts. At this point he’s essentially running a business and not a serious intellectual. He might have some very solid thoughts from time to time but if you’re spending your time reading him now….well he’s 90% optimizing for Hannania bank account go up.
But left un-said constitutionally guns are a right and driving I would argue should be a right but is legally only a privilege.
Of course I say Delaware declared Pennsylvania drivers license were not valid in Delaware it would take about 30 days for the Supreme Court to declare that driving is a right and Delaware can not do that. Because the issue would be like 95% popular. Though some exceptions for blue states issuing commercial drivers license for illegals.
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