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5hr ago
Of those gambling was probably the most universal. The local Italian that the cops mostly ignored running a neighborhood book likely wasn’t trying to run a lot of juice and the violence. He likely spent his days hanging out at the local bar taking small bets in the community. Knew every guy within a 10 block radius. A social creature of the community versus people just betting on their phones all day.
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6hr ago
This is a frequent issue you see in society where “semi-legal” is better than “illegal” or “legal”. Most things we consider vices are mostly fine if the upper class does it but can be disastrous when everyone has access to it. Prostitution, drugs, alcohol, gambling, homosexuality, infidelity, etc all fit in these categories.
Paying players had issues on having a level playing field as some schools didn’t cheat.
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6hr ago
I wanted the Steelers to take Sorsby in the supplemental draft. But I doubt they would have and instead will be floating in the our QB isn’t good enough to win a championship land. Also wanted them to sign Willis. They seem very reluctant to take the kind of risks you need to in order of finding a top 10 QB. Allar has potential with all the physical traits but he’s still a developmental QB who had bad coaching at PSU so maybe there is a 25% chance it all comes together. That is just not enough risks to take at a position like that. And they refuse to be bad enough to get a top 5 pick where you can land a great prospect. Which you can’t get to trading up if you start at pick 20. So they will end up drafting the 4th best QB in a strong QB class who generally has a major flaw.
Kalshi just raised at $40b valuation or half of CME. I wouldn’t invest because gambling has two bad business traits - there are a lot of firms competing and my vote in our Democracy would be to regulate it out of existence.
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7hr ago
I would almost compare major college football to engineering. Not in terms of math but it’s a hard major. Even with an athletic training staff there is still a lot of discipline of actually doing the work. Understanding your role in the scheme can be complex. Some athletic geniuses can just be isolated but many positions require an intellect that’s as hard as basic accounting or getting thru a marketing major.
Someone like say Tommy Rees since a ND example was used above who was caught by the cops running from a keggar but managed to be a starting college QB is going to be a functional cog in any organization he ends up in.
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22hr ago
IMO I would probably hirer a football player with a .5 gpa who clearly outperformed his athletic ability than the average college grad. Football is harder mentally and discipline wise than most college majors. And college majors rarely matter for what you do in business.
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1d ago
Political Violence is a semi-protected Constitutionally protected 2nd Amendment Right in the US which obviously disagrees with a lot of things related to having a functional society.
But I do think a bunch of rebels writing these words “ A well-regulated militia, being necessary to the security of a free state” has a meaning that is broader than everyone has guns so the British can’t come back. It’s also an idea that political violence is one of the checks and balances in the US system that checks the power in Washington DC.
How this applies to modern level technology I have no idea. But I do think actual political violence is within the Spirit of the constructs of the US Constitution.
The Counter I think is the Civil War meant something in a common law sense and has the power of an actual written Amendment that ended the day of America being a bunch of rebels. I have no idea what this means in a practical sense and most likely nothing but the US would seem to be the only government ever formed that built in rebellion as a right. In which case armed rebellion as a form of protest is culturally within the American culture.
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2d ago
It doesn’t matter. Maybe I am a cynic or narcissistic but we have to be honest that most people are NOT as smart as people here. There are areas where you need to be intellectually honest - I guess with high IQ elites etc trying to honestly debate things and then report them to the masses.
To me mass migration is the biggest risks to Human Civilization. Dark ages likely occur if we get this wrong. The point of 250k is it emphasizes the magnitude of the issue to the masses which is true.
I like that fact that India has extremely high IQ people but IQ testing seems to indicate low IQ averages. My instincts tells me that science just doesn’t happen in those type of societies. There are probably as money Vivek types in India as the western world has but some kind of agglomeration effect can’t occur in this society. If that happens to America then science dies is my guess.
And then maybe in 1000 years so very smart group develops somewhere. They have a lot of bloodlust and tribe by tribe they expand and kill the natives until they start to rebuild industrial society again. That’s my downside case for mass migration.
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2d ago
The 50% of European energy supply comes from a rough guess of European inputs that are shipped in by sea which the US dominates the high seas. The US can basically cut off all trade Europe does with any other country besides Russia.
I have zero idea what Europe provides US as an ally today. They don’t have any fighting men or tech we need.
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3d ago
I am using his name as a stand-in for great programmer then.
But he’s credited with developing MSFT originally software and had a 1590 SAT score back when that was rare and students could get into Harvard with 1300. If he’s not a stand-in for great programmer then I have no idea whose a great programmer.
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3d ago
Mahomes is 50-50 probably even a little over 50% white. Super white mom with black dad. Hurts is probably 25-75 looking at skin tones. Njigba and Brown are both white moms too.
Once you drop the 1 drop rule the nfl becomes probably a little more white than black. With some positions being darker black.
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3d ago
This actually gets to why conservatism is often a good system without very good reasons to do something different. Evolutionary pressures would tend to select a tribe to grow if their beliefs produce positive results.
Tribe A: Men stay home with kids. Women get weapons and fight tribe B for the best agricultural land.
Tribe B: women take care of kids. Men fight rival tribe.
Which Gods tribe A and B pray to does not matter. Tribe B will kills the babysitting male tribe and turn their women into sex slaves.
Tribe B beliefs are now the beliefs of the now larger tribe B combined with tribe A.
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3d ago
An interesting question with all the “autistic trans programmers” where is the trans-Bill Gates in his 60’s who transitioned a decade ago when it became normalized. Last I checked Bill Gates is on Epstein Island in his old age not suddenly trans.
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3d ago
I thought NBA getting whiter was mostly a result of countries with very high average height began playing more basketball two decades ago. Basically the Balkans entering basketball.
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3d ago
The progressive would never admit to being a scientific racists. But this is scientific racism: “ “The migration policies of Reform and Restore Britain would destroy football throughout the UK”
I don’t think it’s a big leap to go from “some population groups run faster” to “some population groups do management/science better”.
Twitter went off yesterday about how all the African countries suck at football despite having far more genetic stock of football talent. France is the lead country in producing World Cup players (around 100 players). African teams have a lot of African players born in Europe. But they can’t develop players in their own country. A lot like the resource curse which only applies to certain countries.
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3d ago
I feel like you are referencing a right-wing view that it is terrifying the US has dominant power which is true and I agree with. But we do in fact have dominant power which is what I am arguing is true.
It’s interesting you reference a constitution because I don’t believe the US has a constitution witness 2nd Amendment cases where the right to bear arms as written on paper is far broader than what the US regime allows.
The opinion of other world leaders is irrelevant here. I am stating their opinions do not matter because America is the hegemon.
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3d ago
- Yes the preferred end game was regime change
- Never articulated. But the US in a better position today than they were pre-war.
- No condition here. But it’s being diluted and facilities damaged.
- Sure he did. It’s considered negotiating leverage. Perhaps America is too merciful here and we should take out infrastructure.
- Not sure what this refers to.
It’s a Win America is stronger today than it was pre-war. You’re not being honest if you disagree with this. And we can still come back and bomb the shit out of them again.
Sure this is more like winning the Championship 4-2 instead of beating Iran 11-0 and to use a soccer analogy getting Iran Relegation. Relegation was the desired outcome but we still won the championship.
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3d ago
The US though is not bearing any of the costs. US consumer suffer some on high oil costs versus producers having windfall profits so they balance.
Probably costs us a little extra money running blockade but that’s probably not much more than just having sailors doing nothing and cruising around.
I am not opposed to bombing Israel to show them who’s in charge.
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3d ago
The US though probably is past the point it matters. Provided we can figure out how to legally ban oil exports domestically so the US market balances on domestic supply/demand.
It can hurt the rest of the world. But we do have policy levers for it not to effect the US.
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3d ago
How is it biting us in the arse? Ever since the rise of American Tech and Energy Independence what happens in the rest of the world just doesn’t matter to us.
The consequences to the US is a bunch of French men angry tweeting us they are freezing and can’t drive their cars because no petrol.
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3d ago
I think Trump is Jewish and it’s not that he can’t stand up to the Zionists. And the US economy is heavily ran by Jews. Israel is a rival tribe as well as an ally but they are practically the only other civilized nation in the world.
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3d ago
Who of our allies are sovereign states moreso than the barbarian tribes in Roman?
The power gap between the US and everyone else besides China (not an ally) is equally large. We can if we wanted to debank and cut energy consumption in Europe atleast 50% if we wanted to. Probably can’t just kill them like the Romans could but even then we may be overestimating how easy it would be for the Romans to do that.
You don’t pull out and kill the judge in a patent dispute is become the US federal government has a monopoly on violence here.
Who has an international monopoly on violence? That would be the US which makes them the judge in this case.
Yes we can just do things and there is no one that can stop us.
And spare me….but but but there are exceptions to the US having a monopoly on global violence. Yes I know it’s not a 100% true it’s only 80% true. We can bomb Israel tomorrow if they disobey us. We can cause Iranian population collapse if we want to.
I have no problem if you move to China.
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3d ago
People like you make me want to just kill every Palestinian and Iranian to prove a point we won because we can.
Iranian Nukes are pushed back a decade minimum. We can bomb then again in the future because easily because their air defenses don’t exists anymore. Their conventional military is degraded.
You are setting the win conditions to Iranian statehood or turned into glass. We don’t want that.
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3d ago
We basically won the war so we won’t agree. Their leaders are dead. All aims were not achieved like complete regime change but the reason we failed at that is primarily domestic US politics and an unwillingness to cause a lot of Iranian civilian deaths.
Whether the War was worth it is a much different question than whether the US is in charge.
IMO your data on where QB are drafted is dated. The last 5-8 years of drafts we’ve seen many more QB draft classes clustered with picks 1,2,3 QB if teams like them. And picks 8-20 be true second tier prospects. Good prospects are getting pushed higher up the board. Mahomes, Allen, Ben types aren’t going pick 10 anymore.
Willis is an example of a QB that needed time to develop. His traits are absolutely elite - rocket arm, 4.4 ‘40, Motte poster level Wonderlich score and IQ definitely matters at the QB position. Some reason he only played at Liberty University. Willis was bad in the NFL because he played as a rookie at Liberty which is a giant competition jump.
Elite Traits + 4 years development + 4 good NFL games is 100% an interesting background to bet on. And for the same money as Rodgers.
Steelers have 0% probability of getting a top 3 pick and a shot at a clean QB prospect.
Sorsby had a good shot at going first round this year and most draft prognosticators have him as a top 15 pick without the gambling next year. Not a third round guy. Allar with slightly worse arm, better tape, and far better legs.
I don’t bitch about the Steelers. A lot is well run. It’s just they need to take bigger variance risks to find a QB.
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