OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
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User ID: 359
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
1d ago
I agree with you that the US is scary. Building a fleet is an intention to use it. The US built a fleet and intends to use it, as shown by them using it all the time. I don't see the contradiction here.
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
1d ago
Well, no. The US obviously uses our fleet to maintain its hegemony. Most of the time our fleet keeps shipping safe and reliable. But more than that, we maintain our military dominance to prevent another World War. A tactic which has been successful for 80 years, we shall see if that can continue.
China building a rival fleet is obviously threatening to the US. I do not comment on the relative morality of it. They have as much of a right to it as the US. Though there is something to be said about China not showing as much of an interest in keeping shipping lanes safe.
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
1d ago
If he detects an threat to the US (which is a term left almost entirely to the executive's discretion) he has 60 days to do whatever he wants before Congressional approval is required.
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
1d ago
Anyone who tells you they understand what's going on is probably an idiot. It seems likely to me that it all makes the most sense if you have classified intelligence at your fingertips. But what I have noticed is that over the past decade or so China has been influencing a lot of current events in a plausibly deniable way.
China pushes on Iran and Russia to stir up regional trouble. Iran pushes on Hamas and Hezbollah to create Oct 7th. Venezuelan oil goes to Cuba and China to be refined (because they mismanaged their oil industry enough that they no longer have the ability to refine it locally.) Russia and Cuba have soldiers stationed in Venezuela. Russia supplied Venezuela with the Buk-M2E air defense system that the US completely stomped on last night.
These countries are all tangled with each other. You can't really have a foreign policy for one without taking the others into account. And a good proportion of the US political class is terrified of China. China has been building up a fleet and industrial capacity that can utterly dominate the US Navy. And no country goes through the enormous expense of building up a fleet without intending to use it.
It's not a coincidence that China sent an envoy to Venezuela yesterday, where they reportedly spoke with Maduro for 3 hours.
It's also not a coincidence that China has fleets of ships around South America, ostensibly to deplete the fish around the coast (which is bad enough.) But consider how many drones can fit in a shipping container. Consider how the Ukraine pulled off one of their more successful attacks against Russia. It doesn't take a lot for China to turn their annoying and environmentally damaging fishing fleet into a drone kill fleet, right at America's south.
If you want to understand what is going on, you need to start seeing the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Iranian water riots, China firing missiles and practicing live fire drills while surrounding Taiwan, and the US capture of Maduro as all different angles of the same problem.
One reason why I think the US pulled on this thread of the knot is because we have a True Democratically Elected leader of Venezuela safely tucked away, who can potentially take the reigns. That's the harder part to pull off and what will probably determine if this was actually a successful operation.
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
1d ago
Everyone's first posts are censored, it's something due to the code the website is based off of and the mods can't turn it off. They have to manually approve all comments until the user gets over a certain amount of karma. If they could turn it off, they would. They generally approve most posts but sometimes don't notice one is in the queue.
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
4d ago
Do I get to collect and battle politicians? Maybe a Pokemon Go type game for canvassing.
Didn't he go to the Ukraine and say there wasn't a war?
No, I'm not familiar with this guy. I don't know why you're negatively comparing James O'Keefe, who actually bothers to do stings that would prove something.
O'Keefe's thing:
Disguised guy: "Hey, will you do crazy illegal thing with me?"
Mark: "Sure!"
Disguised guy: "Sooo, do you ever do crazy illegal thing with anyone else?"
Mark; "Yeah, all the time! No one ever catches us, don't worry!"
Admittedly, after getting kicked out of Project Veritas there's a lot more hearsay instead of actual stings. But the original Project Veritas stuff was good quality.
This man on the street thing doesn't prove anything. It relies on priming you ahead of time to expect that anything short of seeing a kid on camera outside this facility in this 2 minutes he's there is evidence that no kids are there at all. When really that's a crazy leap in logic.
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
5d ago
I hoped we'd all care about not looking like fools, but apparently that's concern trolling or something.
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
5d ago
Someone posts a video of a Marian Apparition. It could also be a weather balloon. Even if you believe the Marian Apparition is taking place, you might still be frustrated that the weather balloon video is what's blowing up and not the miraculous healing of an amputated limb documented by 12 medical personnel.
It's like the Right is deliberately strawmanning itself. I don't have to like it.
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
5d ago
I don't believe that showing kids being dropped off debunks but it has equal weight as the Shirley video. That's the whole point.
I will say that I was surprised that the kids being dropped off knew where they were going. They weren't dragged in by their mothers. They walked calmly to the door as if they've done it before. First day drop off of all the daycare/preschools Ive seen were no where near as calm.
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
5d ago
I am surprised that everyone assumes that we would be able to hear kids from outside a preschool/daycare. I cannot hear the kids in my sons' daycare when they are inside the building. We have insulated buildings here on account of the cold winters. When they are all lined up in front of the main doors for drop off I can't hear them. When I come early to pick up a kid for a doctor's appointment I can't hear them.
If there's a part of the video where he actually gets inside for a few minutes, then that would be better evidence. But most of the examples are him standing out in front of a door, trying to open the door and then suggestively saying "This door is locked" as if that isn't the most normal thing in the world.
The one time he actually did get his eyes inside for a brief moment he saw a kid. Just one kid, but we don't know why that is. Is that kid being seen in the office and the other kids are in a classroom? We don't know - the camera doesn't follow him so we have little in the way of evidence.
Another time a woman answered the door and held it open for a while, and we heard nothing. Suspicious right! Except she readily admitted there were no kids there at the time, because all the kids were expected at 2 PM. It's an after-school care facility! Or maybe they were on a field trip, that can happen. The point is, there are many explanations before jumping straight to fraud.
If you go in with different assumptions, this video is simply evidence of anti-white racism. An ethnic conclave refusing their services to a white dad because they only want to look after Somali kids.
Shirley states, "No footprints in the snow outside" as evidence that there are no kids playing there. Well guess what? My kids aren't allowed to play outside at their preschool either for a while due to the cold. On days when it looks like the temps are above 25 degrees F, we get a text that we can send in snow pants. But if it's below 25 with wind chill, they aren't allowed to send the kids outside.
There are just so many things that make me roll my eyes. It's entirely possible that these places are committing fraud! But people jumping on this video as the one true proof just makes us all look foolish.
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
5d ago
I don't know where you get the idea that a daycare center can't sound quiet from the outside? If the kids aren't out in the playground I don't hear them. Our preschool is actually insulated on account of the very cold winters here.
My argument is not, "he's right, but he didn't say it in Good Faith." My argument is the evidence in the video is not sufficient to support his claims. He didn't systematically eliminate other possibilities. It's going to backfire, because it's easy to just show children getting dropped off in these places and Voila! debunked.
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
6d ago
Or which premise do you take issue with?
What exactly do you think I am saying here. I take issue with 0 of the premises. I also hate this video. What is being misunderstood?
My analogy to a Christian street preacher does not fall apart because the whole point is that it's not all that weird to call out arguments you hate that are on your side! I am against fraud and against Somalis that don't assimilate remaining in America. I also hate that the video is what got people interested in the problem. Just like I would be alarmed if a video of a street preacher acting crazy was getting attention as the one true proof of Christ's divinity.
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
6d ago
I don't know what stroller parking is, but in this video you can clearly see kids get dropped off at one of the locations: https://x.com/i/status/2005779133947650471
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
6d ago
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
6d ago
I live in a low population red-tribe town surrounded by farms and our elementary school and preschool are locked and no unauthorized adults are allowed in. If one tried to force their way in it would be treated seriously.
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
6d ago
It's like being a Christian and suddenly a street preacher video is blowing up online. The preacher's argumentation isn't sound and he's weirdly confrontational towards a handful of people just going about their day (and yeah, those people are sinners, but it's still confrontational.)
Wouldn't it be kind of frustrating for this to be the thing that takes off as proof of Christianity, and not all the actual scholarship? If I were to say I wasn't a fan, but I still was a Christian, would that be having and eating cake?
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
6d ago
If so, that's good. A lot of the people responding to the video are saying, "I'm going to go out right now and investigate my nearby publicly-subsidzied daycare today!" Which is just dumb.
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
6d ago
Kristin Lavransdatter by Sigrid Undset is a good classic for women. Feminist for it's time, but still aligned with reality in a harsh Nordic way.
I'd love to recommend Walker Percy's Lost in the Cosmos: The Last Self-Help Book but it's a harder sell.
Something by Graham Greene. Brighton Rock perhaps?
Anthony Trollope's The Way We Live Now.
Basically find something older than 50 years that appeals to their interests.
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
6d ago
Yes, massive fraud. No, this video isn't proof of it. This video is just outrage bait.
Was this filmed the day it was released? No, could have been filmed... December 25th? December 24th? It clearly wasn't filmed in the Summer. It's not like this was a culmination of years of investigation.
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
6d ago
I've been ignoring this for one huge reason: This video was posted on December 26th. If anyone approached my children's preschool today, they would find 0 children there. Not 0 people, because it's also a Lutheran church and there's always some kind of social happening somewhere. But 0 preschool-aged children. They're all home for winter break.
If a stranger tried to go to my child's preschool during a business day, they would not be let into any classroom. They can call the office or send an email to schedule a walkthough. But if you don't have the phone app for parents or an appointment, you're not getting through the double doors.
The fact that it's a 23 year old doing this "investigative journalism" makes my eyes roll so hard. He has no idea what "normal" would look like in the first place. I'm very tired of this genre of "Watch me make unreasonable demands of people and watch as they're weirdly defensive for no reason."
I'll admit the misspelled "learing center" was a nice touch . I'm not going to make the positive claim that these institutions are all above board and the victim of selective editing. There's enough journalism indicating that this kind of fraud is rampant. I'm just perpetually annoyed that this is what makes people pay attention and become outraged, when this sort of thing has been reported on for a while now across America:
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
7d ago
Hardcore History is fun and good production value.
I like Jimmy Akin's Mysterious World but you have to pick out the episodes that interest you.
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
8d ago
You are unfortunately correct directionally, but you underestimate just how bad it can get in other places. We can remain "first" of a metric that craters globally for some time.
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
8d ago
Honestly, I think the "We're number 1" mentality is integral to American's self-conception, but it doesn't necessarily need to be on wealth/power. We were happily number 1 in Liberty for a long while without any corresponding wealth, and that high will sustain us long after our global dominance ends.
In the comment above this you said, "The US is scary." Now you are saying the US doesn't use it's Navy. This seems like a contradiction.
The US doesn't have to shoot things in order for the Navy to be used. The Navy is used by projecting power. Every time a country wants to do something that may have geopolitical implications, they have to think, "But what about the Americans?"
The Americans don't want to have to deal with China the same way the rest of the wold has to deal with us. On some level it's sheer pragmatic selfishness, on another we believe our Christian/Liberal morals are superior to all others and so if there must be a Hegemon, it is best if it's us. But either way there's no contradiction here.
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