Quantumfreakonomics
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User ID: 324
Quantumfreakonomics
16hr ago
The United States is going to expend massive amounts of financial and political capital ensuring that Israel doesn’t get nuked. We could have done this much easier via diplomacy. The benefit to Israel of doing it this way instead is that Iran also has all of its conventional weapons and economic power wiped out as well.
Quantumfreakonomics
17hr ago
Iranian Americans are extremely disproportionately religious minorities. My guess is that even a lukewarm Shi’ite Iranian would not have this reaction.
Quantumfreakonomics
20hr ago
The Supreme Leader is a dead man walking, but he also has access to 1000 lbs of 60%-enriched uranium.
There’s no way to deescalate. I don’t think Iran was inclined to preemptively nuke Israel before this war, but they probably are now. A nuclear exchange between Israel and Iran would increase the absolute risk WWIII by about 10% (anyone have different intuitions here?), which is obviously worth a giant ground invasion if that is the only way to disarm the threat.
I am ABSOLUTELY LIVID that it has come to this. We got completely played by the Israel lobby. We only needed nuclear nonproliferation. They wanted Iran disarmed completely.
Speaking of the school strike, I'll take this opportunity to post a contender for the Hall of Fame of cope tweets.
This guy thinks that a KH-55 (air-launched) cruise missile was fired by Iran, and then got jammed by the US in a way which just so happened to cause it to nosedive straight down into a school that was 100 feet away from an IRGC facility which completely unrelatedly was targeted by real US-launched Tomahawk cruise missiles. His evidence? AI analysis of the grainy video of a high-subsonic missile puts the wing fins at 40-45% of the way down the fuselage, whereas a Tomahawk has wing fins 50% of the way down the fuselage.
7.4 million views and 34k likes by the way.
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