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Quantumfreakonomics


				

				

				
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joined 2022 September 05 00:54:12 UTC

				

User ID: 324

Quantumfreakonomics


				
				
				

				
1 follower   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 05 00:54:12 UTC

					

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User ID: 324

That's just common sense though

“🇺🇸 (Brazilian)”

“🇯🇵 (American)”

“🇬🇧 (Pakistani)”

Speaking of the school strike, I'll take this opportunity to post a contender for the Hall of Fame of cope tweets.

This guy thinks that a KH-55 (air-launched) cruise missile was fired by Iran, and then got jammed by the US in a way which just so happened to cause it to nosedive straight down into a school that was 100 feet away from an IRGC facility which completely unrelatedly was targeted by real US-launched Tomahawk cruise missiles. His evidence? AI analysis of the grainy video of a high-subsonic missile puts the wing fins at 40-45% of the way down the fuselage, whereas a Tomahawk has wing fins 50% of the way down the fuselage.

7.4 million views and 34k likes by the way.

The United States is going to expend massive amounts of financial and political capital ensuring that Israel doesn’t get nuked. We could have done this much easier via diplomacy. The benefit to Israel of doing it this way instead is that Iran also has all of its conventional weapons and economic power wiped out as well.

Iranian Americans are extremely disproportionately religious minorities. My guess is that even a lukewarm Shi’ite Iranian would not have this reaction.

The Supreme Leader is a dead man walking, but he also has access to 1000 lbs of 60%-enriched uranium.

There’s no way to deescalate. I don’t think Iran was inclined to preemptively nuke Israel before this war, but they probably are now. A nuclear exchange between Israel and Iran would increase the absolute risk WWIII by about 10% (anyone have different intuitions here?), which is obviously worth a giant ground invasion if that is the only way to disarm the threat.

I am ABSOLUTELY LIVID that it has come to this. We got completely played by the Israel lobby. We only needed nuclear nonproliferation. They wanted Iran disarmed completely.

I don't know what I expected, "black man stabbed to death at 60's music festeval," to look like, but this didn't dissapoint.

It's like a Family Guy sketch.

It’s way too early to be reading blackpills like this.

Consider the implications for a hypothetical “no hook-ups” dating app. Are they really going to ban people for consensual encounters? How would they even know?

I was right by the way.

Dating is anti-inductive. A parable:

Back in the early days of Tinder it was common for women to mention that they love to watch tv, specifically Netflix. There wasn't any subtext to this. That was in fact what they loved to do, and so they put it on their dating profile. Men, wanting to get laid, responded by also putting how much they loved Netflix on their dating profile, and by asking women they matched with to "Netflix and chill".

This did not result in previously unheard of numbers of interest-matched couples forming relationships. It resulted in the word "Netflix" or "tv" becoming a gigantic red flag.

One of the wonders of AI machine translation is that you can pull-up any Iranian state tv clip on YouTube get instant English subtitles.

One particularly amusing clip was when they had the Persian equivilent of Steve Kornacki at the big board breaking it down on the map, complete with animated missiles and drones blowing up American bases. I was surprised that the map they use for Israel The Occupied Territories includes the Golan Heights, but not the West Bank or Gaza.

Of course, despite the conspiracy theories, this works with Hebrew-language Israeli sources too. Channel 14 is what I have heard is the conservative news station in Israel. I'll let you know if I find any nuggets worth sharing.

I giggle every time I see “Operation Epstein Fury”

Lol. Obviously the mods, failing that the admins, failing that the government of the United States would never let footage of American troops getting brutally merc'd onto /r/combatfootage.

There's an interesting rhetorical strategy I have been seeing lately from tankies and Islamic Republic apparatchiks: calling the Israeli-American alliance the "Epstein coalition", and describing American troops as "soldiers of the Epstein regime".

Does this idea have any traction among the local population, or is it entirely confined to extremely-online English-language propagandists? I imagine there is a lot of demand for conspiracy theories involving Judeo-Western debachery.

I'm also getting the vibe that the military is hiding how much damage they've taken. We know that missiles are getting through, but we haven't heard a casualty report since the first strike on Kuwait.

Reports are that Iran has hit one of our THAAD radars. These cost over $500 million and we only have(had) 13.

Fuentes has personal beef with GOP kingmakers because they have been shutting him out and getting him canceled for 10 years.

He was very public about not voting for Trump in 2024 too. Here’s a clip from Nick’s election night stream. I’ll let you decide whether or not he’s happy Trump won.

Quick strawpoll to gauge the level of background knowledge for the Iran conflict.

Iran sinking two or three oil tankers at the expense of Saudi Aramco is not a war-winning weapon. Sinking two or three oil tankers at the expense of the US taxpayer might be.

The problem is that this policy makes oil tankers high-priority targets.

Well if we’re going back to the 70s, you know which country killed a lot of Americans? Vietnam. We have the technology to find the current addresses of 80-year-old war veterans in Hanoi with American blood on their hands.

Obviously it would be completely deranged to go back and bomb them now 50 years after the fact.

You can’t decide to switch from involuntary celibacy to voluntary celibacy. You are still involuntarily celibate.

Referring to Iran, Trump says: "We were having negotiations with these lunatics, and it was my opinion they were going to attack first."

Oh, so he’s just lying.

The idea that Iran would launch an unprovoked attack on the United States is almost as absurd as Ukraine launching an unprovoked attack on Russia.

Trump as far as I can tell has been the only US official to take this position. Nobody else has mentioned a possible Iran first strike.

If it’s the third or fourth time he’s done this I think I would have to let him learn the hard way that he needs to take care of himself.

I would dispute whether it is inherently glorious to bomb shit and topple governments. I suppose it is cool, but not even I am callous enough to consider that a full justification.

I guess it comes down to what America is supposed to be getting out of the alliance with Israel. I can see the appeal of having a Westernized client state in the Middle East to hold down the fort, but typically one expects foreign policy optionally to be held almost exclusively by the suzerain.

If Israel can decide where and when to start major regional wars then I don’t see what the United States is getting out of this.