Quantumfreakonomics
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User ID: 324
Quantumfreakonomics
1d ago
They're paranoid about the big labs convincing the government to ban open weights (caveat: just because you're paranoid doesn't mean they aren't after you).
Quantumfreakonomics
1d ago
I don't know. "High-end escorts fuck him for free," doesn't exactly make Nate look bad.
Quantumfreakonomics
2d ago
The discourse didn't make sense to me until I realized that the pro-acceleration+anti-Anthropic faction consists entirely of venture capitalists who want unregulated open weight models so they can use them to found B2B SaaS startups. Just a complete failure to grasp the implications of the situation we are in. If they fully understood what it means for Anthropic (or OpenAI) to solve alignment and build superintelligence then they would be the ones begging the government for a slowdown.
Quantumfreakonomics
4d ago
A few clusters off the top of my head that hate each other to varying degrees:
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The Emily M. Bender/Timnit Gebru woke academic cluster.
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The Coefficient Giving(aka Open Philanthropy) mainstream EA cluster.
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The MIRI/Lightcone Infrastructure cluster.
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Current OpenAI employees.
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Current Anthropic employees.
Quantumfreakonomics
4d ago
Depends how far we are into AI integration into the economy. If the weights have been exfiltrated, we'd have to shut down the whole internet until we can figure out what is going on. If the AI controls its own supply chain, then it's straight-up Terminator 2 and we lose.
Quantumfreakonomics
4d ago
The simplest explaination is that the speakers agree with Osama Bin Laden's overall worldview but think that his tactics aren't very productive (obviously they can't admit this outright).
Like, imagine yourself in the mindset of an open-minded devout young Muslim man and read Bin Laden's Letter to the American People. Your response is probably something like, "well I am not about to fly a plane into a building, but he makes some good points." He's worried about the same things you are: Israel, secularization, sexual debauchery, consumerism, the plight of the Ummah. When you think about it, the tragedy of 9/11 isn't really Islam's fault, because America started it.
Quantumfreakonomics
4d ago
Coefficient Giving just launched a new funding project for AI Safety orgs. They are currently begging for applications. Shoot your shot.
Quantumfreakonomics
4d ago
Suppose that AI risk is a hoax. Suppose that the alignment problem is easy.
Then Anthropic plows ahead, builds AGI, and takes over the world. Despite not falling for the Democrat “hoax”, we still end up with a Democrat one-world government.
The only winning move for Trump is to stop Anthropic from doing frontier AI research and/or nationalize the labs.
Quantumfreakonomics
4d ago
Allegedly, one of the ways OpenAI and Anthropic poach talent is to offer top researchers unlimited tokens to use on their unreleased frontier models.
Quantumfreakonomics
4d ago
Yes. Amazingly, this fact alone makes them better than every other AI organization in existence (with the possible exception of Redwood Research and METR).
Quantumfreakonomics
4d ago
The number 1 rule of AI safety is don’t build the AI that takes over the world. The fact that Anthropic and OpenAI think that the best way to do this is to build superintelligent AI and take over the world has much more to do with Silicon Valley startup culture and utilitarianism than AI safety.
MIRI seems to be the only AI organization that understood the assignment.
Quantumfreakonomics
4d ago
Right now Trump is reTruthing Fox News clips framing AI safety as a global one world government Democrat control-seeking scheme
Oh my God, we are in the stupidest timeline. Mr. President sir, AI safety isn’t a global one-world government Democrat control-seeking scheme, Anthropic is a global one-world government Democrat control-seeking scheme. That is the thing that they are building the AI to do. Your job is to stop them so that they don’t take over the world, or worse. They are willing to risk the lives of every single person on Earth if it increases the chance of their global AI cult ruling what used to be human society.
Quantumfreakonomics
6d ago
I strongly suspect that network effects are ≈ the only thing that matters about a dating app. Your best bet is using Hinge and looking for subtle class clues.
Quantumfreakonomics
6d ago
It's pretty impressive how the Catholic Church was able to survive as an institution for almost 2000 years, far longer than anything else currently extant in the Western world.
That's about all I can come up with.
In case anyone thinks I'm making this up:
New York Post - OpenAI and Anthropic oversold AI security breaches to pressure feds into protecting turf: insiders
Reading the headline, you might assume that the "insiders" referred to here are anonymous employees of OpenAI and Anthropic. This would be incorrect. All of the "insider" sources are executives of SaaS AI wrapper companies.
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