Quantumfreakonomics
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User ID: 324
Quantumfreakonomics
17hr ago
Just so we're clear on the timeline here:
Saturday March 21, 2026, 7:44 PM (ultamatum expiring 7:44 PM Monday March 23, 2026) -
If Iran doesn’t FULLY OPEN, WITHOUT THREAT, the Strait of Hormuz, within 48 HOURS from this exact point in time, the United States of America will hit and obliterate their various POWER PLANTS, STARTING WITH THE BIGGEST ONE FIRST! Thank you for your attention to this matter. President DONALD J. TRUMP
Monday March 23, 2026, 7:23 AM (ultamatum exteded to Saturday March 28) -
I AM PLEASED TO REPORT THAT THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, AND THE COUNTRY OF IRAN, HAVE HAD, OVER THE LAST TWO DAYS, VERY GOOD AND PRODUCTIVE CONVERSATIONS REGARDING A COMPLETE AND TOTAL RESOLUTION OF OUR HOSTILITIES IN THE MIDDLE EAST. BASED ON THE TENOR AND TONE OF THESE IN DEPTH, DETAILED, AND CONSTRUCTIVE CONVERSATIONS, WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE WEEK, I HAVE INSTRUCTED THE DEPARTMENT OF WAR TO POSTPONE ANY AND ALL MILITARY STRIKES AGAINST IRANIAN POWER PLANTS AND ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE FOR A FIVE DAY PERIOD, SUBJECT TO THE SUCCESS OF THE ONGOING MEETINGS AND DISCUSSIONS. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER! PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP
Thursday March 26, 2026, 4:11 PM (ultamatum extended to Monday April 6, 8:00 PM)
As per Iranian Government request, please let this statement serve to represent that I am pausing the period of Energy Plant destruction by 10 Days to Monday, April 6, 2026, at 8 P.M., Eastern Time. Talks are ongoing and, despite erroneous statements to the contrary by the Fake News Media, and others, they are going very well. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP
Sunday April 5, 2026, 12:38 PM (Ultamatum extended to Tuesday April 7, 8:00 PM)
Tuesday, 8:00 P.M. Eastern Time!
Quantumfreakonomics
2d ago
Polymarket removes prediction market on when the downed F-15 pilots would be rescued.
Yesterday, a two-seater USAF F-15E was shot down over Iran. One of the crew members was successfully rescued. The other is still unaccounted for. This was big news in the United States, and probably across the whole world.
Polymarket, being Polymarket, put up a prediction market on when the pilots would be rescued. United States service members are a sacred class in our society, and so this market got a lot of heat, including from congresspeople.
Polymarket responded by immediately removing the market, citing “integrity standards”.
We took this market down immediately as it does not meet our integrity standards.
It should not have been posted, and we are investigating how this slipped through our internal safeguards.
Of course, the market doesn’t violate Polymarket’s integrity standards. No specific policy or clause is cited. Anyone browsing the “geopolitics” section on Polymarket knows that war markets are allowed. They even provide a helpful note on Middle East conflict markets to let you know what their position is:
Note on Middle East Markets
The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.
It goes without saying that removing the pilot rescue market flies in the face of the principles stated above. Maybe Polymarket never believed in them, and markets on foreign wars involving Eastern Europeans and Middle Easterners was a cynical way to get eyes on their website.
So if the stated rules are fake, then what is the real rule? I don’t think it is, “respect American servicemen,” exactly. I suspect that, “do not jeopardize American combat operations,” is a much better fit for what is and is not allowed in a de facto sense.
Quantumfreakonomics
3d ago
Quantumfreakonomics
4d ago
Once the ground operation starts he won’t need to worry about the markets anymore. The market manipulation was to buy time to either get a capitulation(lol) or finish preparations for the invasion.
Quantumfreakonomics
4d ago
back to the Stone Age
Don’t threaten me with a good time.
Is your contention that Adam and Eve came out of the Garden of Eden knowing how to smelt copper?
Quantumfreakonomics
5d ago
I suppose Grand Ayatollah Shmeza Pahlavian is being loaded onto a sealed train car in Yrevan as we speak.
Quantumfreakonomics
6d ago
The communications from Trump are almost 100% market manipulation. Like, what on Earth is he even talking about here?
Iran’s president is Masoud Pezeshkian. He has been in office since 2024. He is still alive. Did he mean the new Supreme Leader Khamenei? It doesn’t really sound like it. He’s just making shit up.
Quantumfreakonomics
6d ago
Global warming will turn the arctic permafrost of Canada and Greenland into prime real estate.
Quantumfreakonomics
6d ago
I like this string of cases because the Supreme Court got roped into literal line drawing. Eight-foot radius no free speech zones are fine. Thirty five-foot radius no free speech zones are a grotesque violation of rights.
Quantumfreakonomics
6d ago
The kind of war where they bomb everyone else, but nobody gets to bomb them.
So I guess all of these domestically manufactured missiles and drones that are currently raining down on the Middle East are the product of some other civilization that happens to inhabit the same geographical location?
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