@TheDemonRazgriz's banner p

TheDemonRazgriz


				

				

				
0 followers   follows 0 users  
joined 2025 March 07 03:43:02 UTC

				

User ID: 3577

TheDemonRazgriz


				
				
				

				
0 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2025 March 07 03:43:02 UTC

					

No bio...


					

User ID: 3577

Trump is failing. He will be replaced by Newsome.

Thoroughly tangential to the actual thread here, but I would not be so confident about this one. Newsom is coasting on name recognition. Personally I don’t think he’ll even be the Dem nominee come 2028. I’d put his odds below all of AOC, “miscellaneous swing-state governor” (think Josh Shapiro, Gretchen Whitmer, maybe even Jared Polis), and probably even “someone no one is currently considering”. He is governor of California at a time when that state is extraordinarily dysfunctional, which makes him easy to attack. He’s not an exceptional speaker and has already been known to put his foot in his mouth in public (not damning but it doesn’t help). He is too moderate for the far-left wing and too combative (and perhaps too Californian) for the moderate wing. I think he’s quite similar to Harris actually: highly successful inside his state’s political machine, but will crumble during a national campaign.

Even if he does get the nomination, I could see him losing to the likes of Vance or Rubio for the same reasons (and being governor of California for the recent past is really not going to play well with a lot of independent voters), even with the albatross of Trump II around their necks. If the Trump admin somehow manages to right the ship over the next few years, or even if they just manage to scrape through the midterms, Newsom (who epitomizes the “vote for us because we’re not Trump” style of Democrat) doesn’t look so promising at all. And if Trump II does continue to go this badly (if they get shredded in November and/or fail to deliver in the subsequent two years) there’s always the chance of an outsider primary campaign within the GOP as well, which would shake up the picture further… 2028 is still quite a ways away.

WORDS WORDS WORDS with reams of photos and pointing arrows and histories and obscure engineering diagrams

twenty-seven 8x10 color glossy photographs with circles and arrows and a paragraph on the back of each one…

Yes, that appears to be correct. Thanks!

And sometimes the soldiers (on either side) look like this.

Do you happen to know who that kid is? Just curious.

It’s all about training. An infuriatingly large (and IME growing) percentage of dog owners absolutely do not give the slightest fuck about disciplining their dogs. They don’t know what they’re doing and have no interest in learning; in many cases they don’t even seem to know it’s possible. They either luck into a naturally obedient one, or, uh, don’t. Having grown up with dogs I find it extremely frustrating.

Given the responses from the Male Motte, the most I can say is that male and female intuitions on this topic are just diametrically opposed.

For the record, I don’t think these intuitions are very much opposed at all on a male/female level. Everyone wants their spouse to trust them. This site just selects for a very particular type of person.

The only realistic path they have to a 2028 presidential election victory is some surprise candidate winning the primary over the wishes of the DNC like Obama did.

Well, if the Trump admin can’t pull its shit together it’s possible that any successor will be tainted and the Dems can stumble into a narrow win with a bland-but-inoffensive candidate, similarly to the 2020 Biden campaign. But, yeah, that’s not exactly a “strategy” worthy of the name.

There was a brief moment after the 2024 election stretching into early 2025 where it looked like the DNC might actually learn something. Alas, it seems the one thing they’re good at is avoiding information that may upset their existing power structure. Their current top prospects are Gavin Newsom and, uh, Harris again. It’s still a long way to go to 2028 but both of those choices (practically anyone from California, honestly) are electoral suicide.