ThenElection
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User ID: 622
ThenElection
1d ago
How likely is it for AGI to lead to communism, if achieved through corporations? I can imagine governments deciding to nationalize it, or the achieving company to become a de facto communist government. But there are other outcomes possible, and $250M isn't going to shift the needle much on which outcome is most likely regardless.
I think if your terminal goal is communism (as opposed to personal security, widespread material prosperity, etc), you'd want to do a variation of this. Invest in AI, but target a broad portfolio of research programs that aren't currently in vogue and saturated in capital, betting on the possibility that current approaches aren't sufficient. They probably are, but if they are, you can't change their trajectory much; so you assume they aren't and try to get get there first.
ThenElection
4d ago
It probably depends, but I know a radiologist who just finished their fellowship with an offer for >$500k, not in the boondocks. Another friend (more mid career) is an allergist at $250k, but working only part time. It doesn't seem that implausible for someone to get into seven figures income, though I don't have a sense of how common that is. Maybe you need to start a private practice for that? Or are those well and truly dead?
ThenElection
6d ago
Warren Farrell would be a good example, but he is about a thousand miles away from the contemporary manosphere.
Depends on how much "alignment" programs work out. If it's possible for the government to align AI and control it, you still end up running into public choice and Hayekian flavored failures of communism.
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