In Japan's case they had a period of self-imposed isolation, which was forcefully ended by the U.S. demonstrating how much they fucked themselves over militarily by refusing trade and technological advancement, and them scrambling to catch up.
Korea later similarly scrambled to catch up, but Japan had the lead and took over Korea in the run-up to WW2.
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I'd compare it to voting third party on the logic that a third party could be viable if enough people were willing to vote third party. Whether it's true or not, you changing your stance doesn't make everyone else operate on that logic.
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