WhateverHappenedToNorman
No bio...
User ID: 3324
WhateverHappenedToNorman
7hr ago
International law wise, I don't think there is a case. The political reason is part sovereignty (not wanting a stronghold of a foreign power near your shores, kind of like Cuba in the times of the Soviet Union) and economic (by having the island, Britain gets a chunk of fishing rights and offshore drilling that would've been Argentinian otherwise).
The emotive reason (the one that really matters to most people) is sort of a sunk cost fallacy: we fought for them, and our people died for it, so it's sort of a disrespect to their memory to give up the claim, nevermind that the war was started by an illegitimate and unpopular military government.
It's also gotten more salient recently due to a couple of reasons:
- The football team took up the cause as a part of their rallying cry, and since they won the world cup they're basically heroes.
- The left wing is very third worldist, so a faction that would be anti-conflict instead took up the cause as anti imperialistic.
- The right wing has become a lot more online, and there is a sense that the UK no longer deserves to hold the islands (due to their ongoing political crises)
So while before you could reasonably claim to not care about the islands and not be laughed out of the room, nowadays Milei gets flak for having expressed his admiration for Margaret Thatcher a decade ago.
That being said, I don't think anything will come out of it in the short term, and in the long one it'll be settled with some sort of shared ownership deal, that maybe phases the UK out eventually, if anything.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
10hr ago
I think Spain takes it unless Argentina scores a goal early that throws them off, they're extremely disciplined and have a top tier midfield, so I don't think they'll fall for the classic Argentinian antics.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
1d ago
I don't think it'll flop, woke fatigue usually takes time to set in (Star Wars 8 grossed a gigajillion dollars) and Nolan's track record gives him the benefit of the doubt.
As for whether it'll be good. Probably? It's a good story, by a good director with good actors. I'm of the opinion that you should lean into the goofiness of the Odyssey because the underlying plot is kind of grim, but we'll see how this one goes.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
3d ago
"We" are the reigning world champs and we talk a lot of shit. Last world cup we also came up with this gem, so there's also a racism component to it. It's all banter, but in a fully interconnected world of people without context, people get mad.
All the "rigging" allegations are ex post justification of the hate, if you started to dissect every call in other games with the same level of scrutiny you could build a similar narrative, soccer refereeing is contentious by nature and VAR hasn't helped. I know because back when we weren't winning anything, people were also coming up with stupid conspiracies as well.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
4d ago
But that's why I'm not sure it's a net benefit: insurance provides coverage against risk, if the risk is lowered, the market shrinks. Also, it moves ownership and liability from individuals to companies (ride-sharers, whoever is responsible for the self-driving software) who are more sophisticated and solvent, and have better negotiating power for rates, or might forego insurance altogether (via self insurance).
WhateverHappenedToNorman
6d ago
along with car insurance providers
It's not fully clear to me that self driving cars are a net benefit to the car insurance industry.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
7d ago
I can't name a specific example, but there was a whole thing with "Nice Guys(tm) are not actually nice" which, like many feminist trends, started with a legitimate complaint but then overextended massively into just punishing guys they didn't like.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
12d ago
Can't blame you, I'd do something similar if I could afford to.
What are you moving into? Global equities? Farmland? Gold seems to have acquired risk asset characteristics this past year.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
13d ago
A mismatch between FIFA ranking and big tournament performance for a couple of years.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
13d ago
I'm not sure professional Basketball is ultimately salvageable as a sport.
This is mostly because there's too much cultural inertia to do what has to be done: eliminate the three point shot.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
14d ago
Right now I'm trying to write a post about how Fender is in the middle of a lawsuit that's threatening to upend the entire midlife crisis industry, but I don't know if I'll bother to finish it. If I provide all the necessary context, I fear nobody will particularly care
Doooo eeeet
WhateverHappenedToNorman
18d ago
Huh, this strengthens my view that we're due for a ~20% devaluation. Hopefully after I close on my mortgage.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
18d ago
And I can say that because I’ve been living in Argentina.
Look, I love this country and would love it if all the mottizens lived here, but are you sure this is not just "I have American resources in a poorer country"?
WhateverHappenedToNorman
21d ago
I don't think there's any impetus right now. And if I had to bet even odds, I'd bet very strongly against independence ever happening, I'm thinking more of a pathway to it possibly reigniting, from the younger natives and naturalized children of immigrants.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
21d ago
A bunch of things:
- Demographics: Dilution due to immigration, and revolution is a young man's game, and Catalonia (like the rest of Spain) is increasingly old.
- The EU sided with Spain
- Economic constraints: as a consequence of secession risk (well, that and left wing anti-business governments), lots of corporate headquarters and business are moving from Barcelona to Madrid.
Now, I think there is a chance it comes back due to couple of factors:
There is a generational gap, older Catalonians are more independentist, as are the really young, there is a large cohort of youngish/middle aged people who don't really care that much, but as the younger generation comes to power, they might move the issue back into play. Immigrants are not loyal to Catalonia, but they're not loyal to Spain either, and Catalonia is expending effort into integrating them: free Catalan lessons, education primarily in Catalan, etc.. If the EU falters (not that unlikely), you might find yourself with a population that is once again pro-independence, without the guardrails that prevented it last time.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
21d ago
It is not a coincidence! Since, for Americans, the US taxes your income no matter where you are, that is something you have to pay attention to.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
22d ago
As an American, you should at the very least seriously consider a geographical arbitrage exit strategy.
Of course, it's not always feasible due to family and friends, cultural barries, etc. But the retirement math in the US is much different than that in Italy/France, let alone somewhere like Brazil/Paraguay, so I would consider it.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
22d ago
Man, I can't believe we're 20, I was hoping for at least 50
WhateverHappenedToNorman
30d ago
Feminists think it should be illegal and polyamory never works out like that.
"Polyamory" when explicitly called that, sure, but that's a tiny part of what can be broadly understood as such. I'd say polygamy, either explicit or implicit, makes up for most of polyamorous relationships, across the political spectrum.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
1mo ago
I guess those would be Scott and Kelsey Piper
The "it's called soccer" one is good, actually, though they should put more energy into it. The other two are terrible.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
1mo ago
I think you're confusing IQ with intellectual sophistication.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
1mo ago
He also bought land in Uruguay, so I'd say it's a hedge against nuclear war/de-globalization. Even though I'm sure he's on a special regime, it doesn't make a lot of sense as a Tax move.
As to why stay in Buenos Aires vs someplace in Uruguay/Chile/Paraguay/Southern Brazil, it's probably a combination of politics and (zero bias here) Buenos Aires being the best city to be in South America.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
1mo ago
You get two guesses as to which one I'm at.
That being said, Japan seems to be in the innings of a very similar process right now.
The Brits are wise to that strategy and there are significant restrictions to immigrate into the Falklands.
More options
Context Copy link