WhateverHappenedToNorman
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User ID: 3324
WhateverHappenedToNorman
1d ago
A mismatch between FIFA ranking and big tournament performance for a couple of years.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
1d ago
I'm not sure professional Basketball is ultimately salvageable as a sport.
This is mostly because there's too much cultural inertia to do what has to be done: eliminate the three point shot.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
1d ago
Right now I'm trying to write a post about how Fender is in the middle of a lawsuit that's threatening to upend the entire midlife crisis industry, but I don't know if I'll bother to finish it. If I provide all the necessary context, I fear nobody will particularly care
Doooo eeeet
WhateverHappenedToNorman
6d ago
Huh, this strengthens my view that we're due for a ~20% devaluation. Hopefully after I close on my mortgage.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
6d ago
And I can say that because I’ve been living in Argentina.
Look, I love this country and would love it if all the mottizens lived here, but are you sure this is not just "I have American resources in a poorer country"?
WhateverHappenedToNorman
9d ago
I don't think there's any impetus right now. And if I had to bet even odds, I'd bet very strongly against independence ever happening, I'm thinking more of a pathway to it possibly reigniting, from the younger natives and naturalized children of immigrants.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
9d ago
A bunch of things:
- Demographics: Dilution due to immigration, and revolution is a young man's game, and Catalonia (like the rest of Spain) is increasingly old.
- The EU sided with Spain
- Economic constraints: as a consequence of secession risk (well, that and left wing anti-business governments), lots of corporate headquarters and business are moving from Barcelona to Madrid.
Now, I think there is a chance it comes back due to couple of factors:
There is a generational gap, older Catalonians are more independentist, as are the really young, there is a large cohort of youngish/middle aged people who don't really care that much, but as the younger generation comes to power, they might move the issue back into play. Immigrants are not loyal to Catalonia, but they're not loyal to Spain either, and Catalonia is expending effort into integrating them: free Catalan lessons, education primarily in Catalan, etc.. If the EU falters (not that unlikely), you might find yourself with a population that is once again pro-independence, without the guardrails that prevented it last time.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
9d ago
It is not a coincidence! Since, for Americans, the US taxes your income no matter where you are, that is something you have to pay attention to.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
9d ago
As an American, you should at the very least seriously consider a geographical arbitrage exit strategy.
Of course, it's not always feasible due to family and friends, cultural barries, etc. But the retirement math in the US is much different than that in Italy/France, let alone somewhere like Brazil/Paraguay, so I would consider it.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
10d ago
Man, I can't believe we're 20, I was hoping for at least 50
WhateverHappenedToNorman
18d ago
Feminists think it should be illegal and polyamory never works out like that.
"Polyamory" when explicitly called that, sure, but that's a tiny part of what can be broadly understood as such. I'd say polygamy, either explicit or implicit, makes up for most of polyamorous relationships, across the political spectrum.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
20d ago
I guess those would be Scott and Kelsey Piper
The "it's called soccer" one is good, actually, though they should put more energy into it. The other two are terrible.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
27d ago
I think you're confusing IQ with intellectual sophistication.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
1mo ago
He also bought land in Uruguay, so I'd say it's a hedge against nuclear war/de-globalization. Even though I'm sure he's on a special regime, it doesn't make a lot of sense as a Tax move.
As to why stay in Buenos Aires vs someplace in Uruguay/Chile/Paraguay/Southern Brazil, it's probably a combination of politics and (zero bias here) Buenos Aires being the best city to be in South America.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
1mo ago
You get two guesses as to which one I'm at.
That being said, Japan seems to be in the innings of a very similar process right now.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
1mo ago
As someone who's lived through multiple currency debasements, anything fixed income has a very large psychological hurdle to pass before I consider it.
That being said, I like, and have owned this one: https://www.preferredstockchannel.com/symbol/c.prn/
It's SOFR+ so it's kind of inflation hedged, relatively safe and has a good yield. Due to some weird capital structure rules it's unlikely to get called, but it is still possible and a real risk.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
1mo ago
Objectively option 2, but I wouldn't feel comfortable until option 3.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
1mo ago
When you account for the fall of infant mortality, fertility rates were significantly more stable prior to the baby boom.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
1mo ago
enforce a one-sided/Islamic polyamory model.
"Open relationship" is the way to launder this arrangement to make it palatable in a politically progressive context.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
1mo ago
Not much to criticize here, but one bit of nuance: she's been married two years, it may well be that they make it all the way (hope so), but it's a bit early to do victory lap. Which I guess is one of the best things about settling down early: If it doesn't work out, you have more breathing room to start again.
I’m more confused why the FreePress is running this piece. I thought this was a conservative mag? Is it not anymore?
The Free Press is Bari Weiss's outlet, so the editorial line is generally speaking heterodox center left (like a 90s/early 2000s liberal) that goes soft on Trump because he's very pro Israel.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
1mo ago
I don't have decades of experience, but have outperformed for the past 6ish years, with a combination of a few high conviction bets (tempered by a number of duds), luck, and discipline to dump a significant percentage of gains back into the market rather than doubling down every time.
Selling options and market making have positive expected returns, since you're basically providing a service (you're basically selling insurance and providing liquidity), but in the former you're explicitly taking on extra risk, and for the latter you'd need to find a niche market to operate in, because the big ones are crowded by actors with way better economies of scale.
WhateverHappenedToNorman
1mo ago
usually redditors
Unkind, unnecessary
Can't blame you, I'd do something similar if I could afford to.
What are you moving into? Global equities? Farmland? Gold seems to have acquired risk asset characteristics this past year.
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