anti_dan
15d ago
Below 100 IQ is improbable. Below the IQ of your average white male county judge is very plausible.
anti_dan
15d ago
It's worth noting that Kagan, though she agreed on heightened scrutiny, declined to join the Court's low-IQ wing to assert that also the law failed under heightened scrutiny. Once again she shows herself to be, by a wide margin, the most competent jurist on the Court's left wing.
I will just chime in to agree with this 100%. Kagan is the smart left of center justice and it is not close. I think she might actually be the smartest justice right now. Gorsuch being younger has an argument and Alito being more concise also does. It is certainly those 3 though.
anti_dan
15d ago
Gorsuch signed onto it, so I guess he must agree? Or maybe he didn't want a bunch of circuit court misreadings if this case ended up in a 4/1/1-3 mixed-majority. But the reasoning here's vague enough that red circuits can draw every other transgender case that isn't specifically a CRA thing (and maybe even some that are) as about Skrmmeti-like distinctions, and blue circuits can draw every other transgender case as more like Bostock.
People often forget SCOTUS justices are politicians. Gorsuch wrote Bostock when he was in a DC swamp that was overwhelmingly trans-triumphalist. He almost certainly thought he was HELPING by making it less of an issue. A few years later and its now basically mainstream thought that trans treatments for teens is the modern day lobotomy. He would not write Bostock again.
anti_dan
15d ago
Follow up question, does abstinence only sex education show any efficacy in preventing pregnancies?
Certainly not in the current welfare-state environment. It seemed like a stable norm, when combined with shotgun weddings, in previous environments.
anti_dan
15d ago
Pretty sure abstinence only sex ed resulted in the highest rates of teenage pregnancy
We'd have to fisk both sides of the claim, and I'm tired, but doesn't this sound to you like a classic case of where black population clusters also correspond with conservative Christian clusters (aka southern states)?
anti_dan
15d ago
This strikes me as an odd theory based on the fact that married folks with kids remain the core of the Republican coalition.
The reality is position 2 is a compromise position because you go to the war with the army you have. And the army of married folks are very nice people who are uncomfortable letting toddlers and homeless people die in the streets to save 5% of GDP or whatever the numbers bear out to be. The married people also have been paying social security and medicare all their adult lives at this point and want that security they were "promised". Thus, entitlement reform is a losing issue. Not with me, presumably me and you could win tens of thousands of votes nationwide campaigning on a platform of eliminating Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security, LINK, and all the other poverty-reduction programs. But that doesn't work for a party that wants to have presidents and congressional majorities.
So what do you do? You target the unsympathetic leeches like single guys age 29 playing lots of COD, because those are the cuts you CAN make. The alternative is you lose handily, the cuts you made are reversed, more foreigners are added to the roster, and they lop off a lot of penises and breasts of confused 15 year olds.
anti_dan
18d ago
Should we be holding Republicans responsible for the recent stories of people trying to kill protestors yesterday?
Held responsible? OR Get credit for?
This is the really intractable portion, because killing protestors is probably net pretty good when done by private individuals. Protesting, even the "peaceful" kind is still highly antisocial, at best being a massive waste of time and resources. But usually also significantly interrupting business and people's lives. And more realistically, nowadays, most are used as cover fire for violent crisis actors. Its probably bad if police just shoot them, but guys sniping them out of windows would get us back closer to a more healthy equilibrium where protesting is reserved for important government scandals like covering up sex rings and the like, not for when a teacher's union wants a 10% raise or ICE agents are check notes executing lawful detention orders.
anti_dan
18d ago
Maybe at trial that helps you get to reasonable doubt, but given the video evidence there was no way he wasn't getting arrested and the case with just the video is strong enough to indict (indeed few are not). Its not a slam dunk case you would want to prosecute without the gun on his person, but you can still ethically put it on.
anti_dan
18d ago
That would have done nothing for him. The key flaw in his plan was his inability to anonymously exit the heavily videotaped area that is Manhattan.
anti_dan
19d ago
The success of this fellow and the Luigi fellow re-enforced my long standing belief that the primary reason we don't live in a world rife with terrorism and crime is because terrorists and criminals are almost exclusively stupid. Even the ones doing "complex financial crimes" (as categorized by prosecuting attorneys) are typically dummies stealing social security numbers from the people at the nursing home they work at, or bilking medicaid "on behalf of" the people living at the nursing home they work at.
If more smart people become motivated to do crime, we are screwed. Not only with the trains, planes, and other targets be successfully destroyed, we wont even catch them.
anti_dan
19d ago
Children that are themselves illegal is probably in the low million, children OF illegals in the high single or low teen millions.
anti_dan
19d ago
Illegal immigrants aren't supposed to vote. That doesn't mean they do not. Many states give them DLs and auto-register everyone with a DL. In addition, many jurisdictions dont actually check ID (as in photo ID or any other) when people vote, particularly by mail.
anti_dan
19d ago
The clicking is quite annoying and it conveys minimal information even in crowded traffic, let alone open road navigation.
anti_dan
20d ago
Yes - cyclists breaking laws is much more tolerable than motorists doing so and people that want to hold them to the same standard are being ridiculous. Cyclists rolling stop signs is completely fine, for example.
No thank you. The risk to both parties is similar. There is a great chance of both lives being ruined.
anti_dan
20d ago
- No. Totally useless and actively harmful like most traffic laws when strictly enforced.
- No. Totally useless and actively harmful like most traffic laws when strictly enforced.
- No. Totally useless and actively harmful like most traffic laws when strictly enforced.
- No(ish). The left lane is a lane. We should utilize all lanes. When traffic is slow it is better to use them all and it would be stupid chaos if people were passing, merging, then being passed in the left lane. But, if you are slow in the left lane while there is open road, you should be tailgated, and all liability for any collisions should attach to you, the slow loser.
- This situation does not exist. People don't have time for this shit. Just drive everyone.
- I find these rules largely evil and written for the purposes of giving out arbitrary traffic tickets, not improving driving conditions on the road. So lots of people should be allowed to ignore them. HOWEVER, many people who have drivers licenses should not have such driving privileges. The test should obviously be much more vigorous and then we could make traffic laws that are actually reasonable.
- A drunk driving test should be part of the licensing process, wherein your BAC is monitored while you execute various driving tasks and are force fed alcohol and you should be personally assigned a legal BAC just like you are issued a personal prescription from your eye doctor for your glasses.
anti_dan
20d ago
I think people underrate persuasion, its just often not visible.
When I was in high school I was a Diablo II forum moderator and trader, and ideas like that there are significant racial IQ gaps simply were not among the facts or topics I was in contact with. But as Diablo II kind of died (its not actually dead even now) the forum got interesting and political from time to time. And then topics were introduced. And I was able to learn about such topics, expand, etc.
anti_dan
22d ago
I don't think ending the K-12 system is happening anytime soon, I do support all sorts of efforts to reduce its scope such as vouchers and the enabling of homeschoolers. But, if I were a governor or even merely on a school board, I would be pursuing measures to make my children healthier. And that would mean starting school with a vigorous, non-optional, PE curriculum.
anti_dan
22d ago
Yes that is true. It should not be an option though. School PE should resemble an R. Lee Ermy boot camp at the start of each school day and failure to participate would be treated with latrine duty instead of being able to go to other classes.
anti_dan
22d ago
If we are talking about a genuine Austistic kid who in 1850 would have been called slow and awkward and given some simple job like feeding chickens and brushing horses. Nothing changes. Vanishingly few of these people exist, and none are transitioning of their own accord. What the system is doing to them is another thing, they do mostly need to be relocated out of schools and into outdoor day laborer positions as soon as practicable.
If we are talking about colloquial autists, well contention #1 for me is they will be cured of this mental condition by being physically fit and having boot-camp like conditions imposed on them every morning from 8-10 AM. In addition, it will not matter if one girl can beat him at a footrace, he will beat most of them and some other male will beat that fast girl handily. Also if the physical fitness program is well done, even that strong girl at his school will get utterly demolished in anything even resembling physical combat, so say one accidentally runs into him in the hallway. She will fall, he will not. This will be obvious so long as she's not some absolute physical freak like Brittany Griner.
anti_dan
23d ago
We are talking about children. They are already being forced to go to school. I am merely advocating that the time spent there be productive.
Sympathy is just another word for bad public policy. People who are sympathetic are mostly just weights to be borne by the people. The less sympathetic a state is, the more functional it will be, holding all other things equal.
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