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celluloid_dream


				

				

				
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joined 2022 September 05 23:43:20 UTC
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User ID: 758

celluloid_dream


				
				
				

				
0 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 05 23:43:20 UTC

					

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User ID: 758

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It even does this unprompted when it's confident enough. It knows Scott Alexander's style, and if I paste it a new ACX excerpt without mentioning that it's him, it'll show off: "This is Scott Alexander, right?". It gets Sam Kriss easily. It's even pretty confident about guessing Noah Smith, who I don't read as having a particular style at all.

I was startled a month or so ago when I pasted in a thread from the Motte as context to ask about sports ticket policy (from after its training cutoff), and in its answer, it casually used female pronouns for @2rafa, who had made a short comment that was not at all revealing of gender.

How tf does the model know that? No one in that thread had referred to her gender. I triple-checked. It must be in the weights somewhere. It must have picked it up over the years of people using "she/her" in reference to that handle, and just follows suit.

I wonder if it has this kind of built-in knowledge of all minor internet hangouts, or is the Motte special? - elevated as a high quality source explicitly or implicitly

1-3 drinks, once a week, socially. 30s.

We're in a strange time for alcohol. A confluence of factors moved against it. The ones I've witnessed:

  • Work From Home killed the standing drinks-after-work outing at my office. Even when enough people happen to be in, no one expects enough people to be in, so don't make contingency plans that allow them to go out ("oh, I would do drinks but I drove", "I have to get back and feed my cat/dog/crippling-social-media-addiction")
  • The economy. Alcohol is expensive af. Other vices are cheap. I hear people say: "Why would I spend $10 on a pint, when I can fill my vape for" ..whatever it costs. I forget. I don't vape. People are getting laid off and are worried about their financial future. They are cutting back.
  • It's just not cool any more. This is vibes, and it might just be my circles, but it's seen as something like smoking cigarettes - unhealthy, dated, low class.

But I'm sure it'll be back eventually. Alcohol is Lindy.

Fun framing, but I think it proves too much.

Almost every technology has this advantage. Is a Roomba tax-advantaged over cleaning staff? Is a tractor tax-advantaged over farmhands? Productivity gains are good. If you tax them, you will get less of them.

"LLM’s are highly unlikely to get us to AGI. It’s the wrong architecture for getting there, period."

What makes you so sure about that? This sounds to me like: "fixed-wing aircraft are unlikely to get us to flight. It's the wrong architecture for getting there, period. We need flapping wings. Every animal that flies flaps its wings"

How do you deal with your nose becoming acclimatized to the specific scents, and to scents generally?

Presumably you pick one because you want to smell it, and smell like it, but as the days go by, it fades into the background of your perception, and you either unconsciously start applying more to compensate, or else get to appreciate it less. Do you worry about becoming one of those people suffocating everyone else in the elevator? How do you gauge the strength on a daily basis? (your wife, sure, but she probably gets used to it too)