@coffee_enjoyer's banner p

coffee_enjoyer

☕️

9 followers   follows 0 users  
joined 2022 September 05 11:53:36 UTC

				

User ID: 541

coffee_enjoyer

☕️

9 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 05 11:53:36 UTC

					

No bio...


					

User ID: 541

An FYI re: Hickman’s claim: it doesn’t seem like income is a foolproof way of preventing transgenderism per a 2025 study. $50,000 to <$75,000 household income has about same odds as $200,000 or higher. Probably the best bet is to ban effeminate anime at home and give child a more exciting identity and “quest” to latch onto in adolescence. I looked and there doesn’t appear to be a relationship with religiosity in household either.

Apparently one of the deceased in Bucha was Oleksandr Rzhavskyy, an important pro-Russian politician who served in Ukraine’s parliament, and Russia may have recordings where he mentions to Russian troops the possibility that he will be brutalized by Ukrainians when Ukrainians retake the town. The Ukrainian position on his death is that he was shot by Russian troops for not paying a ransom (?????), which is the sort of plotline I’d write if worked at Activision.

France bans statistics

There are some clever ways to figure out the demographics, like looking at the names of newborns and calculating the name-origin frequencies; 30% of births in Paris have a Muslim or African name. If you combine this with a study on the likelihood of immigrants choosing a typical European name, you could probably arrive at a decent prediction of demographics among Parisians.

My first point is larger than that: atrocity propaganda is the norm in modern psyops. We should expect a lot of atrocity propaganda coming from both sides. It would be improbable for a modern war to occur without atrocity propaganda. Which again, I’m not mad about, but for a question like “is Russia a threat to Europe”, this should be treated seriously (at least here), not by reciting events that may be propaganda planted by three letter agencies and highly motivated neonazis battalions.

Russia put out a lot of propaganda that it was actually somehow Azov, days afterwards, with massive video, satellite and signal intelligence

Did you read that Russian MFA report? What part of it do you dispute or consider erroneous? You should address the specific evidence presented by the official government of the nation you’re accusing of an atrocity. It was published last month, not days afterward. Ukraine claims that those particular men were civilians. Ukraine etched their names upon a memorial. Russia provided evidence that they were members of an armed extremist neonazi battalion with a long history of killing civilians, an outfit condemned by the UN and who traffics in extremist literature. Who do we believe? Ukraine or Russia? Neither? Thank you for reminding me of Bucha by the way; had you not mentioned if I would have never found this report.

I do not believe Azov, who are not load bearing to any of this

Azov is the armed and extremist neonazi brigade from which Ukraine sources some of their key positions. They are highly influential in Ukraine. Some of the highest-ranked Ukrainian military personnel are former members of this neonazi battalion. Russia claims that Azov, this batallion decking themselves in swastikas, was in Bucha. This is very problematic if true. They attach photos of the men in uniforms, name them, and name the specific unit of Azov they were affiliated with. How can we determine who is telling the truth? If Azov was in Bucha, then no sane person should believe what is claimed about Bucha, given the long history of Azov’s crimes against civilians and extremist leanings.

You know, I think when the typical European thinks “threat to Europe”, they imagine Nazis. Doesn’t it seem like Ukraine is a threat to Europe, if they have neo-Nazis praising Hitler going wild with weapons? The commander of Ukraine’s 3rd Army Corps of the Ukrainian Ground Forces has published screeds like “Ukrainian Racial Social-Nationalism in the Ideology of Patriot of Ukraine”. I’m starting to really question your motivations here, because your name (the golem) has a long history of being used by Nazis, and here you are defending a neonazi outfit. If you don’t mind answering a few questions about this:

  1. Do you deny that Azov is a neo-Nazi brigade with a long history of crimes against civilians?

  2. Do you deny that the Ukrainians select former Azov members for important positions in Ukraine? Biletsky as I mentioned, but also Serhii Velichko and Kostiantyn Nemichev, members of the Main Directorate of Intelligence of the Ministry of Defence of Ukraine.

  3. Why should I trust a nation that permits, and selects for important promotions, members of an extremist neonazi brigade?

I believe the evidence provided in my reply to you, primarily the satellite footage

Okay, but follow this line of argument: (1) if Azov were in the homes, they would have used those homes as defense while civilians were nearby or in those homes; (2) Azov themselves may have killed civilians, as they have before; (3a) the placement of the deceased on a street are what we would expect if Russians made a base out of homes where civilians were killed by crossfire or Azov, because you don’t live next to a dead person for a week, you’d drag them away from you; (3b) it is profoundly improbable that all 2500 Russians in Bucha saw nothing wrong with leaving the civilians they supposedly killed in the middle of a street, especially when they had two weeks of little fighting. Not a single one of the 2500 soldiers in Bucha thought “hey, let’s hide this civilians we just killed”? (They had full control from March 5 to March 30).

Why do you even like the Russians here

I want Ukraine to stop self-harming themselves, and I want Europe to stop needless brother wars. You can focus on inter-nicene squabbles after you’ve kicked out the last Salafi and minimized the global threat posed by China. Otherwise it’s just ridiculous.

Your Meduza link shows that there are other allegations

If they fabricated a letter, why should I believe the other allegations?

your source that 3% of the respondents were muslim, in line with the lower bound i mentioned, but that 65% of residents express that religion is important and 36% of them Islam is the most important

I don’t see a source for 36% say Islam is the most important.

In a city of like 13 million

In a city or 13 million there are 12 to 24 mosques

Let’s consider it super carefully, starting with a few steps back.

  • Atrocity propaganda is used by every country, in every conflict, since at least the 1800s. Atrocity propaganda is omnipresent even in the culture war. There is atrocity propaganda about racial violence in America, about residential schools in Canada, about antisemitic incidents, about gender relations. Benjamin Franklin used atrocity propaganda against the British, we used it with the Nayirah testimony in the Gulf War, there was an entire tome published in the 1920s detailing the 20+ atrocity hoaxes employed by the Allies in WW1. I believe Trump has recently said that the IRGC killed 70,000 of their own citizens (lol). In every conflict, the gullible masses have their reflexive opinion shaped by atrocity propaganda, because they always fall for it, every single time. So, at least outside of Reddit, this should factor into a serious person’s willingness to believe in an atrocity story, especially one occurring in as geopolitically-sensitive a conflict as Ukraine. Another way to put this: every serious power, and even unserious powers, will be employing atrocity propaganda, and so where are Ukraine’s attempts? Each incident has to be nitpicked in an especially nitpicky way because there is a motivated actor who really, really wants to fabricate an atrocity, and it’s his job to do this, and he probably has a higher IQ than us, and in fact it’s not one guy but a team of a dozen spending 60 hours weeks considering how to fabricate an atrocity. The normal assessment and skepticism of evidence simply doesn’t apply in wartime. We should assume he gets a holiday bonus and a free trip to Thailand if his fabrication is a success upon the normie heart. I’m not even against atrocity propaganda itself, I just think believing it is beneath this particular forum; gone are the days I would quibble with the redditor about Michael Brown or whoever (such conversations are worse than hopeless).

  • The Bucha event was publicized at the height of diplomatic talks between Russia and Ukraine, literally just days after the March 28 Istanbul talks, and the failure of diplomacy was blamed on Bucha. “Bucha” bears phonetic similarity to a relevant viscerally negative-valence word, which makes it highly fitting for an atrocity propaganda campaign. There are few phonetic connotations more apt to associate with your event than “butcher” (he definitely earned that Thailand vacation). These two points should slightly raise your suspicions, because the paid team of motivated actors looking to establish a false atrocity are going to pounce on these opportunities. It’s literally the perfect time a place to stage something. Like, were you to plug all the information into some AtrocityPropagandaAI, it would likely choose Bucha out of all eligible options to stage something.

  • The town had many Azov members deployed, and in fact, some of the “civilians” Ukraine claims were killed in Bucha were Azov soldiers! Now, that Ukraine lies shouldn’t be surprising, and it doesn’t disprove that a real atrocity occurred. But we have to remember what Azov is. It’s a group that has many convictions for killing civilians: 1, 2, 3. We have cases of the SBU + Azov threatening and killing civilians in UN reports (Volodymyr Lobach). There are cases reported by the UN of Azov raping the mentally handicapped. From the testimony of Marianna Vyshemirskaya we know that Azov has used active hospitals as cover. This is not a good group, and it’s the group that (1) was in Bucha, (2) died in Bucha, (3) is highly influential in the upper strata of the Ukrainian military. This is who you trust? Why?

  • Out of the 150 streets in Bucha, the central claim involves a satellite image of Yablonska Street, one of the two streets with the heaviest fighting between Azov / Ukrainian forces and Russians. Ukrainians have been known to place their soldiers in domestic houses with civilians in adjacent dwellings

You believe a neonazi battalion with a long track record of killing civilians and putting other civilians in harm’s way. But it would be a trivial challenge for them to stage this event. A satellite image can be altered or its date misapplied, but even more importantly, civilians placed on the street is what you would expect if Russian forces were fighting Azov hiding in homes with civilians in it. (If these buildings were your base, you would not keep a dead civilian beside you for a week, you would place the deceased away from the building, ie the street). Something like 2,000 settlements were taken by Russians and subsequently recaptured and the supposed evidence of atrocities is less than the evidence of Azov atrocities. In the era of smartphones!

Muslim population

Wikipedia says 3% in Moscow (see the table entry for Moscow), and my other link says 3% from a rigorous June 2026 poll. Do you have better evidence?

Chechen rape hoax

See Meduza: https://meduza.io/en/news/2022/09/28/newly-surfaced-document-alleges-that-chechen-soldiers-raped-conscripts-from-dnr

The numbers I’m finding are that Moscow is 3% Muslim. Eg: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Islam_in_Russia ; https://social.hse.ru/socialogia/duxovenstvo

comparable with Paris

The one currently on fire, as I write this reply to you, because Muslims are setting a handful of beautiful buildings on fire? I mean, to be fair to the “ummah”, I don’t think a Kazakh or Uzbek is going to set anything on fire even though they’re Muslim, which is where Russia’s migrants come from. But France seems to have a terrible batch and the neo-European neo-“value” of letting them riot is not-based and not-trad. It’s very anti-European and demoralizing. Its very unaesthetic As is what Spain is doing with their migrant “regularization”, saying this as someone with blood from Spain and not the Slavs.

Russia's elite is wildly corrupt

This is no longer a tenable objection given Trump the past couple years, Germany’s spy chief being arrested…

We also have many war crime incidents in the war

Nothing approaching the horror of bombing 100 schoolchildren or morally-defending the starvation of 1,000,000 children by a Eurovision contestant. And I remain skeptical of Bucha because a militant Neo-Nazi batallion decked out in swastikas is probably not the most trustworthy org in the world, yet it’s where Ukraine sources some of their top officials from.

the Russian soldier raped by Kadyrov's troops

Meduza says that was fabricated, do you have a better source?

https://youtube.com/watch?v=CEWCuyAn0JA

The first person Project Zomboid mod looks so good

America has also invaded Europe, Europe has also invaded Europe, America has even invaded America before. How many wars were fought between European powers between 1600 and 1900? 80? How many wars were fought where the nobles on opposing sides treated each other with honor befitting Europeans? How many Europeans today admire Napoleon and what did he do and how was he treated after his first defeat? I mean, if we’re talking about defending Europe, we should consider what that means: the norms, the arts, the virtues, the blood? Or, like, gay marriage and foreigners and the wholecloth invention of the sanctity of democracy?

influence operations across Europe

Have you read about America’s influence operation in Ukraine? America being a rival power 9000km away and (checks map) definitely not in Europe?

Russia is not a threat to Europe, in fact a hypothetical conservative influence from Russia upon Europe is one of the few things that could save it from an impending migrant-driven extinction. The idea that Russia is a threat to Europe is (funny enough) something America has wanted Europeans to believe for decades, because a German-Russian bloc could threaten our global hegemony per STRATFOR. Our propaganda may have gotten out of control and now our Frankenstein believes the invention more than its creator. Imagining a German taking off his headset after a long day of playing CS2 with Russian teammates, walking past a German Christmas market playing Tchaikovsky, picking up a Kabab from the local Muslim-owned restaurant operated by Salafis who want to ban music, then returning home to complain about the Russian threat to Europe… I don’t know, I don’t get it. Europe is out of gas right now because the Jewish lobby in America pressured our President into a war in Iran. Are European Jews more European than actual Christian Europeans creating good classical art? It boggles me. A friend of mine is an opera singer in Germany, there are all sorts of Slavs in the arts, not so many Salafis though yet you’ve made the latter citizens.

Is there some 5head strategy move I am not seeing here

I think he wants to starve out Iranians with a long embargo. This helps prolong the duration of the ridiculous war in Iran.

I didn’t find it that funny, no. He seemed nervous, off tempo. I thought it was funny when he said that the spandex was the color of bait, though.

I'm more concerned with how you're coming up with your objections and less concerned about the objections themselves. In general, psychological effects are linear, you get close to wanting to induce Berkson's bias just to seem more right, you move the goal posts by demanding the data be new enough by your ad hoc standard. I could give you data after 1980 and reasoning like this, you'd be sure to ignore it and demand the data be from last year and so on. It's not a very productive or rational way to approach data, basically. I'm worried it's almost entirely motivated reasoning.

A lot of accusations here. Well, I happen to have read before that the Harvard Lampoon has a sizable nepotistic network in comedy, which is a fact, and that’s why I mention that the data should be tailored for the period in which the Internet democratized comedy. “Downey's most lasting contribution, he opened an employment pipeline, hiring and referring countless Lampoon alumni who now fill writers' rooms at shows from Curb Your Enthusiasm to Silicon Valley” […] “Once you’re there, it suddenly seems easier to get ahead. You do have an advantage. It’s just that you get some kind of contact and some sense that someone like you went there and did it. You are helped by knowing and being helped by other Lampoon people.” And then if I’m not mistaken the Lampoon movie series recruited from a Lampoon network. How will this new information update your confidence, because the accusations seem like you were quite confident?

This is a valid argument because the social network afforded by Harvard connections has nothing to do with g factor or the school itself, it’s just a random benefit that will boost the prominence of these IvyPlus grads even if their boost is undeserved. SNL has often been criticized for riding on its reputation, for instance. Few of the SNL Harvard crowd would make it as a stand-up comic, I’d wager, because… they’re not that funny. Laughs being the sole criteria of humor. These are defenses to the hypothesis because you introduced data; it’s all very reasonable.

off the top of my head, your points themselves are wrong. To begin with, the Ivy league does not have a monopoly on intelligence. Someone below pointed out Adam Sandler attended NYU ... which has an average SAT of 1520. Not any Ivy

Ah, but NYU had a 65% acceptance rate in 1990. Perhaps an 80% acceptance rate in 1984 when he applied? I can’t find the data. This is another point of evidence that, for whatever reason, the best comedians do not attend IvyPlus, though as your data found, 70% of top lawyers or so have.

laոgսages, wհicհ favօrs film actօrs օver verbal, US-օոly staոd-սp. It alsօ accսmսlates witհ age. Sհaոe Gillis illսstrates tհe bias. He is tհe mօst-viewed cօmediaո bօrո after 1980 օո Eոglisհ Wikipedia (789,000 views iո 60 days), yet հis article exists iո օոly ոiոe laոgսages, sօ հe fell belօw tհe օrigiոal sample’s cսtօff

Isn’t this a good argument against the method you’re using? He’s a highly prolific comic, highly relevant, but would be excluded because he’s not in other languages. Sports are different because sportsmen compete across nations.

Ivy-Plսs alսmոi amօոg tհe mօst-viewed receոt cօmediaոs iոclսde Cօliո Jօst, Jeոոy Slate, Allisօո Williams, aոd Wհitոey Cսmmiոgs

The inclusion of the latter three surely disprove the legitimacy of this methodology. Colin Jost makes sense; Slate and Williams are just actresses who happen to be in the comedy section for some reason. I guess I’m wondering why your criteria has two famous actresses that I am supposed to believe should be considered comedians. Maybe they did comedy, but they’re known for a ton of regular media. I know Allison Williams from Girls, for instance.

Maybe, but no shortage enter journalism or an academic track, which are not very profitable at all. Being a good standup comic earns more social rewards than being a consultant: no shortage of women or parties, meeting famous people, being locally renowned.

the “6% rate of top comedians come from Ivys” is way smaller than should be expected were you to control for the selection effect of the Ivy’s (eg family wealth, health, drive) and the incidental benefits of an Ivy education (vastly enhanced social connections and opportunities). You should probably also exclude the bottom 20% in intelligence; of course the dumbest people can’t be comedians, so the negative correlation with g would only be found after a certain threshold; it’s rather a negative correlation with high g. Then you’d have to check if any of these comedians were legacy admits, which is an exclusionary criteria case. Maybe a more important argument against this data: we have to look at comedians born after, say, 1980, as it’s the Internet that has made comedy meritocratic. Your wikidata dataset premising your argument includes comedians born in 1940. But surely the world of comedy was not as meritocratic in the 60s, 70s, and 80s, when your connections with wealthy producers you went to school with had an outsize impact. In the internet age we can actually see who is funniest, they rise to the top of algorithms that are more difficult to game then 1 or 2 late night talk shows dictating the entiret of prominence.

The pօpսlatiօո is peօple with a giveո օccսpatiօո, US citizeոship, aոd birth years 1940–1995. Prօmiոeոce is measսred by the ոսmber օf Wikipedia laոgսage editiօոs

Is this an accurate measure of prominence?

Roystgnr is right, I misread the rankings. But yeah, it doesn’t make sense that a top comedian would attend a school at this ranking when comedy is so meritocratic, unless the ability comes from something unrelated to g

John Mulaney is double legacy Georgetown University alum, so we can’t really measure his IQ / credential. Westchester is one of the lowest ranking universities in America. Your link mentions Seinfeld, one of the all-time greats, and he went to a CUNY ranked #158 of us college. Our version of Mitchell and Webb is Key & Peele and they both went to pretty middling schools.

Wait, but it’s trivially easy to demonstrate that it is true that comedy is orthogonal to both g and the academic accreditation filter process. If comedy tracked with either one, then we should expect virtually all the best comedians to be from elite institutions, because there are many hundreds of people graduating from elite institutions with a high IQ who are interested in comedy every year. The best mathematicians and the best lawyers nigh universally come from the best elite institutions. That’s what we should expect: the top 10 come from top institutions. But right now, and for decades, seldom do the best comedians come from such institutions. You had to go all the way back to look at Monty Python and this is complicated by the British class system. American comedy is more meritocratic, so where are all the Ivy-educated high IQ comedians? The high IQ and the Ivy graduate would both outperform Shane Gillis on a verbal iq test. So why is Shane the comedian du jour and not those ranked above him in either g or accreditation? Harvard Lampoon alone poops out 120 super-elites per decade, who are ahead of Shane in IQ, accreditation, training, and support. So… where are they?

I’d actually go further than “orthogonal”. Per the available evidence, comedy is negatively associated with possessing high g or strong academic success.

It’s a live podcast + popular YouTube channel. Amateur comedians do one minute of standup and Tony Hinchcliffe critiques them afterward. The critique afterward is often the funniest part. I’ve seen it criticized for jokes on race / gender, but also for being aligned with the Joe Roganverse.

Fruits as in

But the fruit of the Spirit is love, joy, peace, patience, kindness, goodness, faithfulness, gentleness, self-control

among other passages. You must not be familiar with these passages.

Where is the grounding for what is good

If you’d read the New Testament, you would know how Jesus articulates good conduct in life. There is love for neighbor, there are actionable material consequences we should expect to flow from this love (Matthew 25:41-46), there’s the sharing of resources and the disavowal of worthless status pursuits and consumerism, etc. There’s peace and joy. Actually, the New Testament speaks very pragmatically about these things. The Kingdom is about righteousness and peace and joy.

It’s clear you have a variety of superstitions. But consider: did God really want the Greeks to lose all of their original lands to Turks? What if Orthodoxy had been a better religion which promoted a better society with more cooperation / etc? Did God want the Orthodox Church in Russia to nearly go extinct in the 20th century, or were they instead just incompetent Christians who failed their own people by allowing them to be entranced by communist ideology and failing to defend themselves? How much does yapping about theology actually do any good? Superstition will not actually save a religion with crumbling infrastructure. The religion will just die. You can be self-satisfied that you cling to a certain criteria of theological assertions which few Christians in history outside monasteries ever cared about (folk / popular Christianity ≠ theologian’s Christianity). But the religion will still perish.

Shane Gillis and the Limits of Credentialism
Comedy and the Limits of IQ Essentialism


Shane Gillis is being criticized for an SNL monologue joke about women wearing unseemly attire at the gym — this alone is totally uninteresting cw fodder — but the question of credentials got my attention. A number of the women offended at his joke have invoked their credentials to explain why Shane Gillis is obviously not a good comedian. A uniquely qualified student of comedy invokes her prestigious internship with a smirk to inform you that she knows about comedy. A graduate of comedy writing believes that her classes permit her to speak with haughty authority on comedy. A former working comic explains from a “craft perspective” why Shane Gillis’ joke didn’t work. Of course, none of these people have even vaguely approached the level of popularity of the critiqued comedian. For the sake of argument, let’s suppose that the foremost credentialed comedy expert in the world has made such a criticism: Harvard undergrad in writing, Princeton PhD in comedy studies, highly published in the highest-impact comedy studies journal. How seriously should we weigh the view of the credentialed against the comedian?

I am tempted to say that the credentialed should have zero weight added to their opinion due to their credentials alone. The only credential in comedy is whether you know how to make people laugh. It would be epistemically arrogant to think that “comedic authority” could ever be bestowed upon a person by way of credential when we barely know the origin and social purpose of comedy to begin with. I recently came across a cool study and overview of one set of theories on humor published last month (the intriguing bits in bold so you can skip through):

The Contents and Function of Humor Among Hunter-Gatherers

Adopting a view of humor as an evolved response to benign violations, I argue that four comic themes characterize most humor across cultures: pain and misfortune, sex and obscenity, the foreign, and the sacred. I propose that each of these themes are ultimately grounded in our evolved psychology as universal pressure points that humor can tap into. I review 745 descriptions of humor in the ethnographic record of the ten hunter-gatherer societies in the Probability Sample Files (PSF) within the Human Relations Area Files (HRAF) World Cultures database, finding support for my account. I discuss the relevance of these findings for our understanding of the evolution and function of humor, arguing that humor evolved to signal and reinforce interpersonal trust and affiliation through reciprocal play with benign violations of socially charged norms and boundaries.

the benign violation theory stipulates that the violations required for humor must have a negative valence, hence mild physical mishaps like slipping on a banana peel are considered humorous while purely positive incongruities (e.g., strokes of luck like winning the lottery) are not. For something to be humorous, it must be incongruous not with our expectations of how things usually are but rather with our normative sense of how they “ought” to be. In other words, it must be appraised as wrong, bad, or threatening.

Secondly, the benign violation theory stipulates that for such violations to elicit humor as opposed to purely negative emotions, they must ultimately be appraised as benignly non-worrisome (i.e., normal, harmless, or okay). This explains why mild physical mishaps are funny while serious violations like being diagnosed with cancer are not. For something to be humorous according to the benign violation theory, two appraisals must then co-exist: a benign appraisal and a violation appraisal. By specifying that the violations required for humor must have a negative valence and including the condition of benignity, the benign violation theory builds on the incongruity theory to more accurately differentiate what is humorous from what is not

While humor is often posited as uniquely human, social play is an activity engaged in by most mammals, with an evolutionary antecedent of human laughter manifested in the laughlike panting that accompanies the “play face” of many other great apes (van Hooff, 1972; Gervais & Wilson, 2005; Winkler & Bryant, 2021). In play, animals typically benignly violate each other’s physical boundaries through play fighting, wrestling, chasing, and the like (Aldis, 1975). Play signals like the play face here ensure that violations are understood as benign, preventing misunderstandings from escalating the play fighting into actual violence (Pellis & Pellis, 1996).

testing function, allowing individuals to assess the quality of their social relationships (Winkler & Cartmill, 2026). By imposing a mild cost on a target in the form of a benign provocation while closely monitoring the target’s response, the teasing great ape can glean information about how much the target values the relationship. Reciprocal teasing banter in humans has been proposed to fulfill a similar, elaborated function: By benignly provoking each other without either party taking offense, the participants are in effect saying, “We are close enough that we can say anything about each other” (Terrion & Ashforth, 2002:72). Starting with small provocations and gradually ratcheting up the offensiveness of teases can thus be a way to build a bond of trust.

The fact that teasing, the variety of humor that is not unique to humans, is the most common subtheme among hunter-gatherers, accounting for a majority of humor descriptions, suggests that it may have been the original form of humor. It is also the variety of humor that most resembles the rough-and-tumble play from which humor likely evolved, with the physical violations of play giving way to the more abstract interpersonal violations of teasing. Just as teasing may serve a bond-testing function in other great apes (Winkler & Cartmill, 2026), reciprocal teasing in humans can take on a more elaborate, ritualized form of the same function, with two parties teasing each other as a mutually recognized signal of the strength of their relationship (Haugh & Bousfield, 2012). Not taking offence to a teasing provocation (i.e., appreciating it as benign) requires and thereby signals interpersonal trust.

Attempting humor by violating any norm ascribed social weight, not just interpersonal ones, requires and thereby signals trust that the recipient will interpret it as benign instead of malign. If the recipient responds by appraising it as benign and laughing, that signals reciprocal trust. For instance, Gusinde notes that Ona men, when by themselves away from women and children, engage in “coarse jokes and offensive remarks about women” that they never otherwise permit themselves (1931:1652). A bond is thereby forged through mutual complicity in transgression. Relatedly, Wiessner (2014) found that the vast majority of humor among Ju/‘Hoansi occurs at times of day when people are segregated by gender and age, allowing people to joke freely without overstepping the rules of respect organized along these lines.

Jokes reinforcing ingroup bonds at the expense of outgroups are not restricted to gender but also extend to foreigners, invoking the theme of the foreign. Such outgroups include other local bands or tribes with differing norms, such as the Blackfoot mocking the custom of eating dogs among the Cree (McClintock, 1968:238), or surrounding societies, such as the Mbuti mocking the rituals and institutions of their surrounding Bantu villagers (Turnbull, 1965a:294). Foreign ethnographers studying the surveyed societies commonly describe themselves becoming the butt of humor on account of their “naïvete and ineptitude” in native affairs (Dunning, 1959:ix) or their awkward grasp of the native language (Gusinde, 1931:104). The ethnographer may turn this to their advantage by playing along, becoming a participant in the humor rather than merely a subject of it, thereby engaging the natives in an unofficial reciprocal joking relationship (e.g., Cipriani, 1966:21).

humor may also be used to get away with deviating from otherwise reigning standards of behavior by couching one’s violations in humor. Most commonly, ethnographers describe humor being used as a non-comital way of violating social mores or interpersonal boundaries to indicate or fulfill sexual desire. The risk of rejection is minimized if an advance is coated in benign humorousness since it can always be brushed aside as just a joke, capitalizing on the affiliative signal of humor. Landes (1937), for instance, notes that Ojibwa men teasingly refer to their female joking relatives as “my debtor,” implying that they have sexual rights to them (p. 45). Among the Ona, “tender teasing” is similarly said to be the beginning of any love affair (Gusinde, 1931:445). Multiple observers report being bashfully taken aback when finding themselves on the receiving end of raunchy overtures from natives couched in humor, including Pryde (1972:89) among the Copper Inuit and Turnbull (1962) among the Mbuti. Turnbull, for instance, recounts how a woman marks her interest in him through a double entendre based on his nickname “the long one” (p. 141). (lol)

There are many branches of discourse to swing off from here. Did Shane’s norm violation go too far in the eyes of some women, thereby evoking their ire? Did some women misinterpret of Shane’s monologue, though filled with abundantly placating self-deprecation? Or perhaps it was clipped and they didn’t see the full monologue? Is there reduced social trust and affiliation between the genders? Has the dating crisis gotten so bad that a woman wearing lingerie underwear at the gym approaches the untouchably sacred? Was Shane’s humor better off in the company of only other dudes? Are women just not very funny (this is no laughing matter)?

There’s something else worth exploring here. If the above theories are true, then comedy seems tied to social intelligence, at least within the “competitive” comedy circuit. Humor is an accurate signal of a person’s ability to “socially read the room”, to know where others stand on trust / affiliation / values / sensitivities. This is interesting because comedic skill seems to be unattached to IQ. The most popular comedians are not at all the smartest, in fact many do poorly in school, like Gillis / Louis CK / Theo Von. There is no actual “Harvard undergrad in writing, Princeton PhD in comedy studies” comedian, and I don’t think this is from a lack of trying as it’s the perfect job for a trustfund kid and provides an extremely glamorous social life. I wonder if this is evidence for a social intelligence not adequately predicted by g factor?

And maybe one more thing worth considering. If comedy is the measure of affiliation and trust, then the oft-criticized KillTony (I mean criticized by left media) is actually a wonderful vehicle for national unity. Having men, women, foreigners etc all criticizing each other in offensive ways to laughter is the exact utility of humor you’d want if your interest was to increase affiliation and trust between citizens of different backgrounds.

What is fruitful, what effects do you care for

The fruits mentioned in the epistles, an obsessive regard for the common good, being happy with little and sharing any abundance with the community, abstaining from consumerism and worthless status competitions, directing one’s energy as far as one is able to promoting a good life to those around them, submitting as if a slave to wisdom, having a high trust community, loving good work, loving everything good, things like that. I think it’s intuitive if we look at specific cases of people: one person plays video games too much, but if his prayer and faith becomes more exciting, he can cut those hours down. One person keeps buying expensive fishing poles, but with the right understanding he will reduce this down to the bare minimum + schedule fishing trips with those in community. A woman cares excessively about aging, with the right readings she will realize the vanity of that and instead beautify her place in heaven. Or a person learns to love his lowly occupation because honest work is glorious to God and obtains a great reward in heaven. There’s a lot of specific cases where a Christian love for what’s good enables a person to do what their conscience might tell them they ought, but which otherwise they would not do. A rule would be “does it promote common wellbeing on the whole, longterm”.

So what now, are you some kind of

That’s what the scapegoat ritual was doing from a psychological perspective. I suppose without this explanation, you believe that for hundreds of years God literally placed the sins of Israel on a goat and sent it off to the wilderness. In any case, the ancient Israelite believed that this occurred, and the belief would have actually reduced their sinful inclinations through this belief (placebo).

Why the need to psychoanalyze this stuff

Well the religion is about to die and likely over centuries be replaced with Islam. Thats a pretty good reason. Catholicism is dying in Italy (10% monthly mass attendance for young Italians), Orthodoxy already died in Russia before, if that’s not a signal that we need to understand the workings of religion better, I don’t know what is. Americans are less religious every year.

I can as well read St. Ireneus Against Heresies from 180AD

Then you and the theobros will be like the Greek Orthodox monks who quibbled over footnotes in Constantinople as the Muslims took over your entire city, land, inheritance, and descendants, conquering the original Orthodox lands for all of time. I believe they also took over Greece, right? For how many centuries did the Greeks have to send their boys to be castrated by the Ottomans as tribute? In real life, God punishes those who miss the big picture and God rewards the groups who are more organized. If you continue to lose attendance, Christianity will be blotted out from the earth, and God will chiefly blame the wasteful theobro who trusted man (theologians) and not God.

I do not particularly trust this author’s ability to admit that God demanded barbaric animal substitition, even if the evidence were abundant. Did he present a rebuttal to any of the following points of evidence?

  • Leviticus 16:21-22: “Aaron shall lay both his hands on the head of the live goat, and confess over it all the iniquities of the people of Israel, and all their transgressions, all their sins. And he shall put them on the head of the goat and send it away into the wilderness by the hand of a man who is in readiness. The goat shall bear all their iniquities on itself to a remote area, and he hall let the goat go free in the wilderness.” very difficult to read this anything but imbuing.

  • Philo describing the above as: “The hegoat selected by lot for God must be sacrificed, but the other was to be sent out into a pathless and inaccessible desolate place carrying on himself the curses of those who had committed offenses, but who were purified by changes for the better and who have washed themselves from their old lawlessness with a new sense of loyalty to the law.

  • Philo speaking of “the sin-offering for the cure of those offences which the soul has committed.”

  • Josephus calling the scapegoat “an expiation for the sins of the whole multitude”

  • Genesis 22:13, Abraham offering the whole-burnt ram instead of his son, this being a type of Christ

  • the distinction between importance of sin found in Philo: “The sins therefore of the high priest, and of the whole nation, are atoned for by animals of equal value, for the priest is commanded to offer up a calf for each. The sins of the ruler are atoned for by an inferior animal, but still a male, for a kid is the appointed victim. The sins of the private individual by a victim of an inferior species, for it is a female, not a male, a she-goat, that is sacrificed; for it was fitting that a ruler should be ranked above a private individual, even in his performance of sacred ceremonies also: but the nation is superior to the ruler, since the whole must, at all times, be superior to the part. But the high priest is accounted worthy of the same honour as the whole nation, in respect of purification and of entreating a forgiveness of his sins from the merciful power of God

  • the Talmud’s description of the scapegoat ritual: “And they made a ramp for the goat due to the Babylonian Jews who were in Jerusalem, who would pluck at the goat’s hair and would say to the goat: Take our sins and go, take our sins and go, and do not leave them with us”, written around 220ad

  • the Talmud’s description of the Yom Kippur ritual: “And the priest places his two hands on the bull and confesses. And this is what he would say in his confession: Please, God, I have sinned, I have done wrong, and I have rebelled before You, I and my family. Please, God, grant atonement, please, for the sins, and for the wrongs, and for the rebellions that I have sinned, and done wrong, and rebelled before You, I and my family, as it is written in the Torah of Moses your servant: “For on this day atonement shall be made for you to cleanse you of all your sins; you shall be clean before the Lord”. This certainly reads to me like the slaughtered animal is an integral part of moral forgiveness.

I like to speculate which soteriology / atonement theory induces the greatest change in the believer. If I had to choose between the exact original soteriological schema (hypothetically) and a later innovation that is more fruitful, I would gladly pick the more fruitful one, simply because I only care about the effects. (Consider: if the early Christians had the optimal answer to every question, why did one hundred heretical sects pop up and why did Arianism almost take over Christendom? In some ways we should rvtvrn, but maybe not in every way). So I'm willing to entertain newer theories, like those found in medieval affective devotional practices which inspire grief and guilt over visualizing the wounds of Christ, something we do not find before the Middle Ages. I think we can construe each theory as privileging a certain dimension to Christ which brings about a different positive impact on a Christian.

  • Exemplar and moral influence changes the worshipper insofar as they make Christ the Lord of all status, glory, and social value. Whether someone claims this is as irrelevant as whether a student makes the pledge of allegiance at school. The only substantive change comes from sincere feelings. If a person loves and honors someone and their way of life, they will effortlessly seek to copy him to share in the shadow of his glory, just as a kid begins to talk like his idol and wear the same clothes and do the same things. Christ Crucified is an especially beneficial aspirational image because it is the zenith of virtue and the synecdoche of Everything Christ. Like it says at the end of Ecclesiastes, "the words of the wise are like goads, like nails firmly fixed are the collected sayings given by one Shepherd", the moral influence of the cross extends beyond merely the Passion and becomes the moral influence of the One being crucified: he has been "lifted up to draw all men to Himself", Wisdom firmly fixed in place, like Moses lifting up the serpentine staff to show men the way of salvation & overcoming. (Consider Quintillian: "when we crucify criminals the most frequented roads are chosen, where the greatest number of people can look and be seized by this fear. For every punishment has less to do with the offence than with the example." And there are other mnemonic reasons for why the cross was chosen as the instrument of instruments: the image tracks with the ancient art of memorability found in rhetorica ad Herennium; humans are semi-arboreal and interested in trees; etc.) This alone is a perfectly worthy grounds of atonement, and Christ Himself makes clear on two different occasions in Luke that the follower must imitate the cross daily, and that in order to do this (to obtain this spiritual disposition) Christ must be placed above the cares of all family and possessions (like a girl in love who resents being on vacation with her own family because it separates her from even the texts of her great beloved, or like me being away from WoW as a 12yo). How many children would leave their families and possessions to follow Mr Beast for the chance of glory after suffering his trials? But this is juvenile; “when I was a child, I spoke like a child, I thought like a child, I reasoned like a child. When I became a man, I gave up childish ways.”

  • Ransom / redemption is a fundamentally different angle. It is approximately: someone else went through a maximally horrible experience to save me, even though my own evil was responsible for said experience. This is very prosocial because it activates our sense of obligation and gratitude that another person has provided (this cognition would generalize to other encounters in civilization). This leads to the doing of Christ’s commands out of the a greatest possible thanks, like someone in a debtor’s prison being released due to the buyout of the very person we failed to pay. We now want to serve with thanks, and the idea of not serving would result in guilt: continuing in sin would be like humiliating and crucifying Christ again, forgetting the greatest favor that anyone has ever received in the history of the world. Think how guilty you would feel is someone vouched for you to a great employer and secured you a new position and you failed to show up; Christ interceded and intercedes on your behalf to the Father. Or think how guilty you would feel if you got an organ donation but continued ingesting poisons afterward: Christ is the doctor who donated all of His own blood for you, so how can you show up to the follow-up appointment and tell him you’ve continued damaging your spiritual health?

  • There is, I think, a dramatic-tragic dimension to the original gospels which reappears in medieval affective piety, and which is deeply moving. The story of the most peaceful and rightful Lord being brutally tortured by His own people is powerful even excluding other soteriologies. Via compassion for Christ’s imagined social/emotional suffering (imagining the emotions of His mother or imagining how He felt), our cold and stony heart is torn asunder and we are given a new, more sensitive heart. This happens all the time with run of the mill dramas affecting us deeply even though we know they aren’t true, so how much more will this affect us if we know it’s true? But this is completely outside of modern churches, you’ll really only find it online with any tastefulness. This can be combined with the other theories. The medievals would go further and say, like, “my individual sin resulted in this specific scar on your back”.

  • In regards to the atonement as the fulfillment of the temple sacrifices, we can ask: what was the psychological effect on the part of the offerer? I’ve already written too much so I won’t go in depth, but: the scapegoat is believed to carry away the sins simply as placebo, almost as guided visualization, you feel that your sin has departed because the goat or the bird departs far away. I don’t believe the scapegoat is anything beyond this. The animal offering is more: it’s a costly signal: you are giving away something expensive; it enhances salience: this real animal has died because of sin, and God is so important that the center of my nation has many animal sacrifices a day, which enhances fear of continuing to sin; and lastly it’s highly reinforcing: both the olfactory scent of animals burning and the shared meal of a sacrifice are reinforcing, desirable, appetitive. You love God more because you had a shared meal with a pleasing aroma. The original Eucharist was a shared meal and IMO it was a mistake to do away with that.

  • There are some more aspects worth dwelling on. One of the earliest accounts uses the word “nourishing” in reference to the blood of Christ, and in antiquity blood was believed to convey the power and life source of an organism. It’s probable that the early Christians were placebo-maxxing the Eucharist by believing that the real blood being ingested has conferred real spiritual benefits. This… would have worked. Placebos work, and all of the various aspects of a powerful placebo are found in the Eucharist.

Anyway, I’m heterodox so feel free to ignore all of that, but I’m heterodox for a reason because modern Christianity is broken per every statistic on it. You’re not bringing in anyone or retaining very many people, and the lifestyle of those you retain are questionable, so we should figure out what works.

You would want to punish whichever party started the war even if both parties were equally likely to have started the war; if you cause either party to lose then it will result in a “lesson” about instigating conflict even 50 or 100 years down the road. Unlike the Trump admin, I think the Iranian leaders actually care about the longterm good of their particular people / nation, so they consider how to secure benefits for their group long after they are individually gone, as opposed to falling into the nihilistic “we are all going to die anyway” boomer-death-spiral ideology (something I also hear from the boomers in my own life). But with that said, the Republicans have tied themselves at the neck to Israel, so Iran has a clear interest in making them lose for this reason alone apart from concerns about war continuation; there’s more than just the war per se, there’s “I don’t want America to give a bajillion bombs to Israel for free” which is the Republican plan.

  • Trump has completely given up on “tanker for tanker”

  • Trump has completely given up on striking anywhere in Iran, for weeks apparently, even as Iran launches volleys of drones and missiles daily

  • Iran “remains well-stocked with ballistic missiles and some anti-ship weapons, and can quickly add more”, while receiving new armaments from Russia, and we should assume Russia has a desire to embarrass their #1 geopolitical rival who helped get them into the Ukraine kurfuffle

  • the fire rises upon the namesake of Ahura Mazda: Iran’s strikes are causing more severe damage, and their range of attacks grows larger

  • Iran has struck a bare minimum of 15 vessels in two weeks, could be much more than that but they stagger the reporting

  • sailors are being offered 4-6x normal wages for crossing the strait, indicating serious risks to life or limb (why would any sailor care if the vessel were merely struck? That would mean less work and command a lower wage. How much would a third world mariner risk to make 6x wages?)

  • As of October 4th, known Iranian route crossings rose from 23.2% to 29.9%; no vessels crossed via the Omani Route; the rest were dark transit / unknown. (Why does no one talk about what a big chunk of ships use the Iranian route?)

  • Vessel crossings in total fell past few days; October 8th was the lowest number of crossings in two months

  • Kpler’s head of geopolitical risk speculates that the Arabs are paying Iran to get their crude out. They are paying the toll.

  • Americans left Iraq without disarming the Shia militias, which was part of their original deal with the Iraqi government for their condition of leaving.

Are we winning yet?

I think it makes sense for a homosexual to latch onto the image of the coolest dude. Perhaps this painting of Sebastian has sufficiently heterosexual undertones, or this one