coffee_enjoyer
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User ID: 541
coffee_enjoyer
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1d ago
“80% of their missile facilities are gone” is not equivalent to taking out 80% of their missile facility capacity. This is a linguistic trick that the administration used for morale. The most important facilities for their missile production are below ground in the missile cities. The easier and less sensitive production facilities are above ground, in a plurality of smaller facilities. Those last 20% of facilities may absolutely dwarf the remaining 80% in importance and complexity.
coffee_enjoyer
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1d ago
What is your source that we had destroyed most of their missiles and launchers? And why would the NYT of all outlets lie about it? We’re not talking Al Jazeera.
coffee_enjoyer
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1d ago
I imagine the CIA would have a team tasked to produce this report. Why wouldn’t the NYT see it? They’ve received leaks in the past.
coffee_enjoyer
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1d ago
US intelligence by way of NYT, WaPo
The fees (toll) has been reported here: https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/irans-fars-news-agency-says-hormuz-maritime-fees-added-to-us-deal-last-minute/
coffee_enjoyer
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1d ago
He can increase public awareness on a variety of important topics: that increasing school funding doesn’t work; that hiring post-bachelors teachers is actually harmful, let alone unnecessary, for increasing performance in schools; that you can download free books on libgen and free scientific articles on sci-hub; that IQ should be a permissible factor in hiring; that corporations should consider bypassing the university system and just hire promising high school students; stuff like that. Just break through the Overton Window like the kool-aid man. Do it on live television.
coffee_enjoyer
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1d ago
It’s oil executives and experts who predict an economic catastrophe from a prolonged strait closure. This seems to be the majority opinion among those who know a lot about oil. Iran’s missile capacity has not been meaningfully damaged (only by 30% of pre-war levels and we should assume the remaining 70% is harder to target as tactics developed). The regime is intact and stronger than before. So we got into a ~ $100bil conflict, killed or wounded 400 soldiers, all just to kill an old cleric and sizably damage Iran’s economy. Iran benefits by getting a new tollbooth for their new strait in 60 days, weakening the American-Israel relationship, and plausibly weakening the American-Arab relationships.
coffee_enjoyer
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1d ago
It’s notable that Iran still has 70% of their missile launchers and missile stockpiles. This is something I was most interested in when the conflict started, yet I couldn’t find a good estimate on Iran’s ability to manufacture and retain launchers. But it’s the most important part of the equation! If they have the launchers, and the drones, they control the strait. That’s it.
coffee_enjoyer
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3d ago
How are you in the mood for Somali and Pakistani food so often that you can write the clause “whenever I’m in the mood for Somali and Pakistani food”? The mind of a foodie is beyond my understanding.
coffee_enjoyer
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3d ago
Perhaps the reason local sports are uncommon outside of city rec leagues (which I hear are weirdly competitive) is that we normalized professional consumer sports as the default male “sport” pastime. (Ignoring golf and video games). If we were united in hating them, then it would cease to be weird for unathletic adult men to gather for a casual game for the pure fun of exercise and socialization. Give me your tired, your poor, your fat masses yearning to play free…
coffee_enjoyer
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3d ago
To quote your handle, I think people should just opt out of sportsball culture. The reason celebrities are at the game is because the billionaire franchise owners want you to think it is important. If they can trick you into paying attention to it, they’ll make money selling you $20 hot dogs and your son $200 sneakers. They conspire with the gambling companies to steal even more from you. If it were legal and profitable, they would skin you alive to turn you into a sportsball and make your children fight to the death over it like in Mesoamerica. The telos of this phenomenon is recruiters scouring the earth to find remnant populations of prehistoric man in Dagestan or the Congo or wherever and dressing them up in the flag of civilized nations. What’s the point? A single backyard game of touch football with a random assortment of neighborhood figures is better for the country than all of the franchises combined. Even the steelman argument that there’s joy in seeing expertise — just go get hibachi, it’s cheaper.
coffee_enjoyer
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4d ago
The Russian Orthodox bishop who was recently found with cocaine in his car, although he may have been set up due to politics, is actually a good classical composer.
coffee_enjoyer
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4d ago
Do you think AI could be used to turn concept art into playable 3d games in the future? I wouldn’t call this “ai generated” in a negative way if it’s only handling the technical side but nothing on the artistic side.
Cash only matters to fertility if you give it to men. If you give women money it decreases their fertility. (Income levels don’t represent this because they have class and health baked in, so they’re not equivalent to cash infusions). There is no feminism-tolerant solution to the demographic decline. The closest is to hyper-venerate motherhood and censor media and education accordingly. This gives women a status advantage, even an advantage over men, eg men will always be sweet and helpful to women and they would be helped first in crises as in the Victorian era. But women would then need to be restricted from obtaining status via non-maternal means, ie they need to be shamed if they have a good job.
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