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faul_sname

Fuck around once, find out once. Do it again, now it's science.

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joined 2022 September 06 20:44:12 UTC
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User ID: 884

faul_sname

Fuck around once, find out once. Do it again, now it's science.

1 follower   follows 3 users   joined 2022 September 06 20:44:12 UTC

					

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User ID: 884

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Your most downvoted comment ever was this one, which as far as I can tell is trying to say that intelligence is a bad trait because being intelligent increases your ability to do things and some of those things are bad? Not really sure, some of the context is deleted comments.

Your second most downvoted comment ever is the comment I'm replying to right now, complaining that people downvote you for bad reasons.

It does seem like your takes on Ukraine in particular don't land with this audience. Aside from that it seems like you mostly get downvoted when you make low-effort dunks. And you just genuinely don't have that many downvoted comments.

All that said it seems like you genuinely do have different perspectives. I don't know that we have very many people who are fully immersed in Russian culture on here. I bet a lot of your stuff would land better if you expanded a bit on the things that seem obvious to you but which the rest of the people here seem not to be taking into account, particularly the things where mottizens are pushing for policies where there's common-knowledge russian history of how that went horribly wrong.

Ultimately the left is killing their enemies and celebrating it, that seems like strength to me.

To a first approximation, anyone can kill anyone. Doing so doesn't meaningfully require strength. Doing so without repercussions, sure, but that's not what happened here.

Assuming it gets you into a better attractor

What is the executive even allowed to do here? Does the law let the president turn off the tap?

The executive didn't seem very concerned with this with the Tariffs or with DOGE. Why start now?

Car sales jobs have some of the highest turnover rates of any job in the US. North American Dealership Association says 7% monthly turnover in 2019 on page 5 which works out to about 60% / year turnover.

It would be hard to come up with a worse example to demonstrate your point. I think you could rescue it by talking about defense companies, particularly aerospace, instead. Employees of those companies genuinely don't have to deal with pressure to be competitive in the global market, and those jobs are famously highly paid and offer great job security.

Yeah, there are a lot of people criticizing Trump for always chickening out but I think "chickening out" when he starts doing something disastrous is one of his best attributes.

I still wish he would think a little before doing things, but at least he's not afraid to reverse course.

Building credibility so you can make the same offer to the next set of influential legislators

The same way if I try to find anything with search, I have to add "before:2026" or within a page or two the results are polluted by clickbait shit.

Wait wtf why does this have any effect? Not doubting that it does, I just struggle to think of a mechanism.

"Everybody knows" weirdly doesn't seem to include anybody I know in the tech industry.

Does anyone you know work for Infosys / Tata / Wipro, or work closely with anyone who works for that cluster of companies? My third hand impression is that those particular companies are the main problem, and that the venn diagrsm of (people working at serious tech companies) and (people with experience with infosys) is two non overlapping circles.

And as with FFL licensing under the previous administration, the issue is that the regulatory goals should be achieved by laws but are not popular enough to achieve the necessary support among elected legislators.

In any case I don’t know how saying "any h1bs who were abroad must pay $100k to reenter effective basically immediately" serves any non-applause-light purpose.

I don’t think we're at war with legal immigrants who came here to work. H1Bs tend to integrate pretty well, follow the rules, and just generally are productive members of society. You can reasonably make the case that 700,000 is not the right number of H1Bs to have in the US. I don't think you can reasonably make the case that we should consider ourselves at war with them.

If we're setting policy by executive order it should be

We had the era of mass immigration, we settled the country, now it’s ended, it’s coming back the next time a Democrat is in power

Having predictable laws that allow people to plan for the future is good actually.

Preventing fascism is the most important goal of democracy

Ensuring frequent peaceful transfer of power is the most important goal of democracy. Then maintaining the legitimacy of the system. Then ensuring that the representatives represent the people.

Preventing fascism is nice, but probably not even in the top 5 goals of democracy, and arguably not a goal of democracy per se at all.

I dunno, it's up against some pretty stiff competition. I think the ChatGPT generated tariffs are still worse.

100k per person per year. 100k per person per 3 year term, perhaps extensible to 6 years, would be more reasonable. This policy is bad because of the specific numbers chosen, the core idea ks fine.

An auction instead of a lottery would be better still, allowing the market to discover the price. Then you can mess with the cap until the market settles on a price you like. But I never particularly expected the government to listen to the economists here.

Also 24 hour notice is not reasonable here. That's just performative "fuck immigrants" posturing, which is par for the course for Trump but still disappointing.

Alright, reminder set

For whatever reason this has always been a disaster. I can't explain why, there's just something whimsical about the entire field, that makes it resist cookie-cutter solutions, and ends up requiring talented people who are quick on their feet. It's actually counter-intuitive for me, I'd expect IRL engineering would be the thing that would keep falling flat on it's face, due to the inherent dirtiness of the physical realm, but somehow it's the opposite

I think it's the thing where, if you have a cookie cutter solution to a problem, that problem is now solved and your engineers should no longer be spending an appreciable amount of time on it. If you're a civil engineer, and you get really good at determining how to design supports for a bridge on certain kinds of soil, you can (I think) make a career out of it. If you're a software engineer, and you write substantially the same code more than twice, you have almost certainly done something wrong.

I'm gonna bet that if the fee survives the courts, all 85k h1b slots are still going to be filled even with the 100k fee. Just that those spots will go to the best and not to the slop.

It seems to be a 100k annual fee - some of the slots will be filled, but it seems kinda doubtful that all 85k of them will be. I'll take the flip side of your bet.

Even odds, $100 goes from loser to charity of opponent's choice, bet conditional on h1b fee actually happening for a full year and at least 60k of those 85k visas actually paying the fee? i.e. if there's a "$100k fee except for this category of applicants where the fee is waived" and 90% of the visas go to people in the waived category nobody pays, if courts strike down visa fee nobody pays, if visa fee is live for 2 weeks then walked back nobody pays (unless 60k people pay the fee during those two weeks in which case I pay).

Seems like the sort of thing that would be easy to document terrible optics for Hamas. They're usually pretty good at managing optics.

I think a literal palletload of MREs dropped out of a C130 has a pretty high chance of being an accidental kinetic weapon. Probably possible to do a bit better though.

Part of it, though, is that helicopters are just not that expensive in the grand scheme of things - I see $2400 / ton from the World Food Program for their program of doing very similar airdrops of food over South Sudan.

And yeah beans and rice are cheaper, but even if you cut the cost of the food itself to $0 you still need to ship about 1-1.5kg / person / day, which works out to 1M metric tons / year of food. At that point the cost of delivering the food by air is the strong limiting constraint.

Israel has already spent $30B on this war, so if getting costs down by 10x really is viable I am even more confused why they haven't done it, absent the obvious explanation of "they really are trying to put food pressure on Gaza".

My estimate is that it'd cost ~$10B / year to drop 2 humanitarian daily rations per person per day (4400 calories / person / day) on Gaza by helicopter. You might be able to cut those costs by 3x in a reasonable way, I'm doubtful that you could drop them by 10x.

On the other hand I bet you wouldn't actually need to keep it up for a year to break the Hamas stranglehold on food distribution.

Airdrop an overwhelming amount of non-perishable food into Gaza. Hamas wants to control the population by controlling the food supply? Make sure that everyone has access to such large amounts of food that Hamas can't realistically take it from everyone.

It would be helpful if at least half the high profile stories of brutality actually fit the bill before the mass protests and riots occur

Structurally this is a hard ask, because one of the things that makes a story high profile is controversy, and things that are only debatably police misbehavior are more controversial than things that are blatant police misbehavior. And so the big name cases are George Floyd rather than Justine Damond.

Yeah, but neither of the two branches of government can write legislation.