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greyenlightenment

investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...

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greyenlightenment

investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...

3 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 04 18:26:17 UTC

					
				

				

				

				

				

					

User ID: 68

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Has there ever been a Middle East deal what wasn't 'cautiously optimistic'. Things can pop off at any moment. There was a long stretch of peace following the death of Yasser Arafat, so who knows..

As with Musk, the remaining question is did he turn weird, or was he always weird?

From https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2025/06/09/curtis-yarvin-profile

Although Yarvin tried to be discreet, he mentioned that Thiel has a bit of a “weirdo edge” and described Andreessen, the venture capitalist, as someone who, “apart from the bizarre and possibly even nonhuman shape of his head, would seem much more normal than Peter.

When Moldbug calls you weird, that is saying something,

"life without parole" (LWOP)

Why are these people paid so much for such mediocre jokes and commentary. Random people on twitter have better insights for free. Yeah, I get the economic argument (people tune in to see him deliver the jokes, not a random person), but the occupation of 'late night TV host' has long outlived its usefulness .CBS balking at paying $40 million a year for Colbert is an indication of this.

If such a big figure can fall, who will be next?

These people are surprisingly expendable. Many celebs were axed during Trump's first term. We're not talking Steve Jobs, Elon Musk, or Sam Altman here , where a trillion dollar company hinges on the directive of a single person. Right wing cancel culture, like the doge cuts, is much more methodical , thorough and organized than haphazard like how the left does it . They , the left, forgot the mass cancellations during the 2001-2006 about Iraq, 9/11 and so on, like Bill Maher's 9/11 comment that led to his cancellation. They got too cocky. It's like, "we're cancelling everyone to make up for the past 10 years"

A lot of people cheered on his death or supported the killer, but the tradeoff of LWOP or death penalty to exact political revenge, is a poor one. Hence why the incidence of these situations is very low, and most people do not have a agency to pull it off even if they wanted to.

So let's say .03% willing to take extreme lengths in support of political violence, .3% immediately visibly excited by political violence. As a percentage that's low. It's a really, low, comforting percentage. Except when you see it happen in real life. Then it's not so comforting.

That is why statistics is useful. otherwise there is no way to quantify the risk. Seeing someone win the lottery does not make it more likely you will win. Even if there is a correlation between killings instead of being purely statistically independent events, the odds are still tiny.