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greyenlightenment

investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...

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joined 2022 September 04 18:26:17 UTC

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greyenlightenment


								

								

								
								
								

								
							
					
 
				


				
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...

				
				
				

				

					2 followers  

					follows 0 users  

					joined 2022 September 04 18:26:17 UTC
				


				
					

					
blog https://greyenlightenment.com/



				

				

				

				

				

					

					

					
					
					

					
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	 Hot Bump Top Bottom Old Controversial Comments
	



		

	






	

		
		

		
		
	

	

  







		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
I am glad I didn't have any money on this. I have found no one can  predict political outcomes reliably, and nothing confers an edge unless you are an insider.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
elon is one of those people who can make anything work


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
meant in terms of polling. 538 unchanged


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
meant in terms of polling. 538 unchanged


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
A good running mate is someone who covers her weaknesses. So this would be be a center-leaning while male.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
it would  go down as one of his most original  jokes


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
it cannot be worse than Biden's performance.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
The evidence suggests Trump is more popular. Trump's turnout for 2020 was 10 million greater than 2016. You'd have to go as far back as Reagan  for a candidate to be have a >55% of popular vote. Most candidates are not that popular, and the outcome comes down to the margins, like swing states, and that is where Trump shines.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
i don't think it matters that much. The debate performance already caused voters to lose confidence in him. Him stepping down does not come as a surprise.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Debates do not matter that much. Even Biden's polls did not budge after the  worst debate performance ever. Swing states are what matter, and this is why trump will win. Her problem is that expectations will be higher compared to Biden.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
interesting how both our comments were downvoted despite being at odds. goes to show how it's irrelevant what you say, but who says it. respected members can post anything and always gets lots of votes.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
So in the span of 8 days: trump assassination attempt, Cloudstrike, and now the presumptive democratic nominee steps down, a first in decades. I think you'd have to go as far back as LBJ the last time this happened. The big winner is Elon Musk and twitter by putting himself center in the media spectacle. In hindsight, it looks like his purchase will pay off as the news cycle continues to intensify and twitter surges in use.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
but the problem is norms can change suddenly and unpredictably, for both sides


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


but the existence of repercussions for voicing seriously delusional takes creates a chilling effect and prevents many of those takes from being voiced




this is good in principle, but it would seem as of it when one side is typically on the  of said repercussions. California has the right approach in this regard, for everything else that is wrong with the Golden state.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
i think the culture of secrecy is the bigger problem. they are paid lot and expected to not blabber to the media if they expect to be employed now or in the future by other companies


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
When the pendulum precesses , you don't know when you're on the receiving end until too late.




The more conventional the opinion, the more cartoonishly sadistic its enforcement. They love to talk about what ought to be done to pedophiles — not because they have unusually strong opinions about the well-being of children, but because pedophiles provide the broadest possible canvas on which to fantasize about social cruelty.




I think this has more to do with rallying support  among a shelling point: pedos deserve to have violence inflicted on them, so as a way of making their other views palatable by first establishing a common ground..


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
Automatic updates are the worst thing . Everyone hates them yet companies do it.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
This is like seeing a jet plane crash in the 1960s and being like "this idea will not work"  or the Titanic sinking and thinking the same thing. Enough companies rely on such services that evidently it's worthwhile despite these risks.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


But you bet your ass that everyone lost a lot of money today and that it may take weeks (or months) for some businesses to get back to the black.




The market's reaction was surprisingly  sanguine to this. CRWD stock opened 11% lower and stayed that way; almost everyone thought it would be down 30% or more. The Nasdaq was green for the first 2 hours and then went red, which could have been due to anything.


The economy is huge. Even when critical things fail, there is enough stuff that works, plus rapid response to fix the problem, that the damage is not as bad as the hype would  suggest.  Ironically ,a bigger problem entails a more rapid response  to fix it, so it ends up being briefer or not as bad.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					


Boeing's planes fall out of the sky.




I could be wrong, but the number of fatal Boeing crashes or lesser incidents  is not an outlier compared to past incidents and other manufactures  before all the media scrutiny. Anyone remember  the 737 rudder jams during the 90s? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_737_rudder_issues#:~:text=During%20the%201990s%2C%20a%20series,board%2C%20157%20people%20in%20total.


It was a different model and hardly got similar media attention despite two major accidents with lots of fatalities close together


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 15, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
It's already over. The biggest non-crisis ever even if it was the among the most widespread.




No direct culture war implications, but goes to show just how much of a house-of-cards the tech ecosystem is. 1 little, simple, stupid bug can bring the whole world to a halt. Yet, the industry continues quarterly-earnings chasing.




That seems overdramatic. I have not noticed any disruption at all; if not for all the headlines this morning I would have never known about this.  An upgrade was rolled out and it was fixed. This requires manual intervention of servers, which is why IT exists as a profession in the first place.  It's not a crisis like on the order of Covid or 2008, but more like a mass disruption. I think too many people are overreading into this as some sort of harbinger of the awaited collapse, and really it's not.


Airlines were grounded; again, this is a common occurrence.  There was a similar incidence as recently as 2023 when many flights were grounded https://www.reuters.com/world/us/why-us-flights-were-grounded-by-faa-system-outage-2023-01-11/


it's bad, no doubt, but the mass-grounding of flights is something that typically happens every 2-3 years.




End of the day, tech workers are treated as disposable labor. Executive bean counters are divorced from the product. And the stock price is the only incentive that matters.




The fact they are paid so well and exhaustively  vetted in the hiring process suggests they are not disposable. Companies invest a lot of resources in new  hires . There is also a loss of perspective in that people forget the other 3650 days of the past decade in which there is no major failure, but a single failure is suddenly a major indictment on the entire tech industry, as opposed to something more mundane like a mistake.


Crowdstike stock was only down 11% today, which is far less than expected given that it has been implicated in the greatest IT failure ever. By comparison, Meta stock fell 15% in a day last after it missed the highest of earnings estimates. This is reason to believe it's not as bad as the overly dramatic language would suggest.


One would hope such companies learn from past mistakes, but as tech changes, consequently so do the mistakes. So I can expect incidents like this in the future.


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 8, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
before the advent of modern medical care and decent body armor , aiming for the torso would have been better . infection would have been lethal if  initial bleeding/trauma  wasn't


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 8, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
photos and eye witness describe it it being a riffle


it instantly killed one of the audience members after being hit to the head


snipers regularly aim for the head ,as the secret service had done for example. they didn't shoot his torso


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 8, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
agree. when has experience  ever been a major deciding factor? Palin anyone?


				

				

						

							

								
							

						


						
					

				
			


			

	


			
			
				

			
		

	






		

			
			
				Culture War Roundup for the week of July 8, 2024
			
		

	

	

	

		
			

			

				

			

		

			


				

					
agree. this center of mass rule is for police shooting at ordinary civilians who do not have body armor