jkf
28d ago
So you're avoiding a vaccine which stopped a global pandemic that killed millions because four out of every million (that is, 0.0004%) people who get the vaccine develop a heart condition because of it?
It was more like 4/10k if you happened to be in the susceptible group (young males) that we know of -- it's absolutely a possibility that low-grade heart damage was quite widespread, as only the severe cases would have been noticed/recorded.
And assuming that he's in that group (and doesn't also have cancer or something) his odds of dying from covid were essentially zero -- so the behaviour was pretty rational, really -- unlike your popping out of the woodwork to criticize his personal decisions.
jkf
26d ago
In order to be logical, the arguments must hold up when replacing words, such as "immigrant" by "native", and they do not.
This lemma is not sound -- governments exist to protect the interests of their citizenry; no such obligation exists for people in other countries.
AFAICT the rest of your points rest on this assumption -- which is certainly something you can argue is a good idea a la Caplan, but is ultimately a moral/emotional argument -- so you don't get to privilege your own moral intuition over that of others by claiming to be using 'logic'.
jkf
11d ago
Should be possible to slaughter a calf in a rad suit -- the L*** helps those who help themselves, y'know?
jkf
18d ago
Do some Kaggle (or maybe Topcoder if they still have good DS comps?) and call yourself a data scientist, start sending out resumes -- you've already got a PhD (from a Western university?) and published papers, so you are honestly probably a better hire than at least half of the candidate pool that I've seen.
Lack of direct experience might have you applying to moderately lowend DS jobs -- but that would be in the $100-130K USD range rather than $40/hr and scammy (again assuming you are in the US) and WFH is still common.
If your medium sized town is south of the Mason-Dixon line and you don't mind occasional travel I might even be interested -- I need to hire somebody in the next couple of months. Feel free to send a PM.
jkf
20d ago
All of the effectiveness stats are 'effectiveness in use' -- so 'using' condoms includes 'yeah I use condoms but sometimes run out or whatever', just as 'using' the pill includes people who forget to take it, 'using' NFP includes 'but baby I need you now', and 'using' withdrawal includes... um, accidents.
jkf
29d ago
You really can't think of any logical reason for somebody to oppose high levels of immigration? It's not a particularly important issue to me, and I can easily throw few lines of argument in the ring:
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<insert country> is overcrowded already -- bringing in more people is creating an inferior experience for the existing people in terms of overcrowding, cost of living, increased crime, etc. -- and is therefore undesirable to the current populace.
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If we are talking about immigration from less developed countries to richer western ones (which we usually are), and the pro-immigration interlocutor believes that AGW is a significant threat to the global environment (which he usually does), then bringing large numbers of people from a poorer, less carbon-intensive lifestyle to a more consumptive place where they produce more GHGs seems like an obviously bad idea.
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More spicily, if one considers the existing culture of one's country to be generally superior to that of other countries, then importing people from other cultures would dilute the existing culture, which would be undesirable. If this one is not logical enough for you, you will have no trouble at all finding somebody around here to make a similar argument based on extensively cited research around HBD -- it's not an argument I care to make, but seems to meet your criteria. (other than containing ideas that you undoubtedly disagree with of course)
jkf
23d ago
Not sure how sarcastic you are being, but considering that the last iteration of this was the fat beardy guy who claims to eat carburetors for breakfast, I'm not sure "democrat Joe Rogan" will be something they can pull off this cycle...
jkf
3d ago
that Army Corp biologist page that included fish gender.
Fish... ah, pretty clearly don't have gender? It can be pretty hard to even tell what sex they are without cutting them open, nevermind enquiring as to their feelings as to the roles imposed upon them by fish society.
Maybe next time the Army Corp biologists will write their report using proper scientific language; serves them right if you ask me.
jkf
20d ago
slightly worse than Coitus interruptus.
Coitus interruptus is pretty good though -- it works pretty much every time, you just need to not fuck it up. That's kind of your point I guess, but the other methods do all have their downsides too. Kind of like the COVID vaccine, one needs to consider one's own risk profile.
jkf
25d ago
This is a bit regional -- pickups are more common for rural tradesman than urban -- partly maybe for high/low trust society reasons as you touch on, but also decreased feasibility of having materials delivered to the jobsite leading to an actual need to, uh, pick things up yourself.
jkf
12d ago
It's just the no-fun brigade up to their usual tricks -- Peterson has been railing about this kind of mundane intervention to suck the enjoyment out of life for regular folks as incipient tyranny for some time, and I'm inclined to agree. See also health-justified alcohol taxes (now spreading to countries where people can't really afford them and could really use a drink, eg Mexico) and 20 mph speed limits in the UK.
Minus the notary I think this is in place for identity, age & residence at least; federal penalties are severe and I think it's pretty widely observed in the pro world:
https://adultbizlaw.com/2012/10/22/porn-101-18-u-s-c-2257-the-basics/
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