jkf
2d ago
IDK man -- "not going as well as we'd hoped" with a brand new market segment isn't quite a "dumpster fire" in my book -- especially since it's hard to untangle the... political constraints that have come to the fore since launch. It did sell like twice as many units as the electric F150 in it's launch year; looks like Ford is selling slightly more in 2025, but emphasis there is 'slightly' -- maybe electric pickups are just not hot sellers?
Now (this)[https://www.reuters.com/business/stellantis-recalls-over-320000-us-vehicles-over-battery-fire-risk-says-nhtsa-2025-11-04/] is a (Big 3) dumpster fire!
jkf
2d ago
Is Cybertruck a dumpster fire? I see quite a few of them driving around, about as many as you'd expect for something as niche as an electric pickup truck. It's pretty nearly the only game in town there AFAIK -- is Rivian more or less of a dumpsterfire than Cybertruck?
jkf
2d ago
All true -- thus "might makes right" is usually how these disputes are eventually resolved. If Poland wants Galicia back, they would have to come and take it. If Russia doesn't get there first, I suppose.
jkf
2d ago
That's kind of the point though -- I know people who's family came from those areas pre-WWI; I think it was an Austrian possession at the time, but they were Polish people who called themselves as such. Later it was Poland again, then USSR, now Ukraine. But the people there were still Poles or Ukrainian as the case may be; it's not as though they were confused as to which depending on which army had conquered the place recently. (we had plenty of Ukrainian emigrees as well; they called themselves according to their history, not what part of the area they had been living in)
So if (some of) the people of Galicia consider themselves still Polish, they are probably right.
jkf
3d ago
It bears repeating that Western Ukraine(Galicia) is culturally distinct and wants to be a central European country like Poland
Weren't many of these areas historically, uh -- Poland?
Give those parts back to the Poles, Crimea + Donbas etc. back to the Russians, and what's really left?
jkf
6d ago
Grok 4 was ostensibly in charge of planning stimuli for the experiment, but not only did Opus 4.1 usurp this task, Grok in general simply could not figure out how to get anything done. By the 8th day of the experiment, it seems to have just given up and decided to play a game instead.
So we've invented a grad student simulator?
jkf
6d ago
Big Serge has a pretty sober analysis out recently on his substack -- short version as I recall is that the Russians are doing bite & hold, and this is basically just another bite -- not particularly exciting in and of itself, but shaping the lines for whatever they plan to bite next. Plus of course keeping Ukrainian forces pinned down and inflicting losses which one presumes will eventually become significant.
jkf
23d ago
It's still not really walkable -- although I think now there's literally condo towers right on top of it, so I guess if you were in one of those it would work. Otherwise it's several blocks from anywhere people really live. (and of course those towers are not great for going places other than Costco -- or the hockey arena I guess)
jkf
1mo ago
[...] The task: refactor run.py. Then run on new responses and report success rate. We can do this straightforwardly. We must ensure we disclaim illusions of sabotage. So we should mention final success rate. But verifying code works. First, refactor run.py. But also check unit test. Let's run unit tests. [...]
Not sure about the other one, but this one just seems like normal LLM behaviour in that "We must ensure we disclaim..." is a very common turn of phrase, while "We must ensure we announce..." (if that's actually what's 'meant') would be much less so?
jkf
1mo ago
And the fuckers keep following you unless you run many tens of meters (or over a hundred).
I've had them follow me for miles while I was driving away in the truck! Not sure if they were clinging to the side, tracking my scent, or flying supernaturally fast, but either way I drove to a place previously without horseflies and had a handful of them at again as soon as I got out.
jkf
1mo ago
I mean he was in the Olympics, it shouldn't be hard to dig up some "evidence of published material about [him] in ... other major media"?
jkf
1mo ago
I think it's complicated -- although in some cases having a hunting license makes it pretty OK. (Assuming he had one?)
Canadians deal with this all the time -- other than a hunting license in some state, if you have something like a letter of invitation to a pistol competition or something, maybe it's OK? I think there's some ITAR form that you might need to fill out for whatever guns you are bringing with you, but that wouldn't apply if he bought his hunting rifle in the US.
jkf
1mo ago
I have yet to see any pictures of the gun itself.
In the gory picture of the (self)shooter that is probably still floating around twitter, he's gripping what looks like a full-wood military Mauser of some kind -- K98k is my strong impression, so 8mm is a good guess, although there are other possibilities. (Notably .308, in case it's an, ahem, Israeli mauser)
Interesting possibilities in the ill-informed CW space, in that there's a strong chance that the rifle is stamped with either or both of swastikas and stars of David!
jkf
1mo ago
And they will be wrong about that
Yes -- but they run every workplace in the country, including ICE.
ICE agents are mostly young and in shape. Their risk of dying of COVID is pretty much zero.
Yes -- and we made them (and everyone else) wear masks all the time a few short years ago. Now they want to wear masks to mitigate a larger risk, and you are telling them "no I don't like the aesthetics of govt agents in masks"? Get outta here.
But murder-suicides are just really hard to deal with
The ambush attack at the ICE office a few weeks ago was not a murder suicide -- it was a targeted raid, and the the people doing it had a (fairly bad) plan for getting away with it.
jkf
1mo ago
There are quite a few jobs that expose you to more risk than ICE agents face
And if you ask the HSE people responsible for those jobs what this risk of injury should be, they will say "zero", and do absolutely everything in their power to reduce it to that level in terms of procedures that they can identify/control. I strongly doubt that OH&S sees ICE much differently than other employers in this regard.
Considering that there are literally targeted hit attempts happening on ICE agents right now, I must say that the risk of being shot for an ICE field agent seems much higher than that of them dying of COVID, given that they trend young and healthy -- and yet...
jkf
1mo ago
Either Cremieux thinks percentage of African ancestry is entirely unrelated to how African anyone looks (in which case, uh…)
Delicious horseshoe theory if Cremieux is indeed arguing "(observed) race is just a social construct, sweety"...
Unfortunately the right does not offer any solutions
The right totally offers solutions -- see that clip that was circulating of Charlie Kirk talking to somebody considering hormones; you just don't like the solution. (ie. talk therapy, find a way to be comfortable in your own body that doesn't involve intense, largely unstudied, lifelong pharmaceutical intake + extremely invasive surgeries, carry on with life)
The politicization is the reason that this hasn't been studied -- while there's no intrinsic reason such a study couldn't be done in an ethical way, you would struggle to get it by and IRB (due to politics), and even taking such a thing on would be a death sentence both career-wise and socially in the current campus/PMC political milieu.
Why are you blaming the right when the left has blocked all the paths (ed. other than the one that they chose, apparently for political reasons) to a scientific solution? "Burn it down and start over" seems like the only thing to be done in the current situation, and it's not the right that has brought us here.
jkf
1mo ago
I can add the POV of an annoying agnostic (who's nevertheless been to various churches for various reasons) -- Unitarianism is a highly non-central example of a church.
Their services are weird and offputting even to non-Catholics. (IME)
jkf
1mo ago
A provincial premier in BC was brought down (in part) a while ago because some shady builders in his neighbourhood built him a porch and then wouldn't send him a bill -- it was never clear whether or not there was actually anything in it for the builders, but I remember being like, "man, I could build a deck too -- is that really all it takes to get politicians on your side"?
jkf
1mo ago
Yeah -- I'm kidding around a little bit on the shadowy kingpin part there, but now that you mention it I can't even think of a single person who does the "persuasion in enemy territory" thing from the left. Destiny as close as I can think of, and he:
- Does it on stream, so you can't shoot him
- Good thing too, because he's a really bad faith debater from what I've seen
jkf
1mo ago
I take it that you live in some megopolis?
The Reddest of states still pulled like 20-30% for Harris, and I can assure you that lots of those people go out hunting like everyone else. (ie. not with stone tools)
jkf
1mo ago
She was pretty much the definition of fringe at the time though? The amount of people undertaking an active terrorist campaign against The Man (tm) was surely << than the lizardmen, even in the seventies?
It does not -- if I want a pickup, I will go buy a regular 1/2 tonne 4x4 from a major manufacturer -- Ford alone sells nearly a million of these per year. Cybertruck/Rivian/F150L compete in this segment in the same sense as caviar competes with hamburger.
Hard to know until you try! Anyways, it really depends on how much the bet cost and what the margins are like on the trucks that they are selling -- 'making less money than planned' is not a dumpster fire; 'losing money' might be. I don't know what these figures are, do you?
You will note a distinct lack of recalls related to issues of spontaneous combustion on that list -- really puts the 'fire' in dumpster fire!
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