I think it was called out because it's pretty notable for a woman in Tumbler Ridge (55° N) to be wearing a dress in February -- local fashion I'd expect to run more towards lumberjack shirts even in the bug warm season.
The fact that the person was wearing a dress is in-and-of itself indicative of trans status IMO.
95% true -- it's a very small town where everybody literally knows everybody, and neighbours etc. have more-or-less confirmed the shooter's identity (both kinds!) on twitter.
There are fake (well real, but the wrong person) photos of a ridiculous young tranny from Ontario floating around; AFAICT that person has the same last name but is not the shooter; a yearbook photo of Jesse Strang for Tumblr Tumbler Ridge shows a much better effort but is still identifiably trans.
A (young and incompetent sounding) American reporter from ABC NY called into the press conference last night and was referring to the shooter as a "gun-person" -- the cop answering questions mirrored it for a while but seemed unenthused; politicians today are picking it up in their statements so maybe it will catch on!
A true win for peoplekind...
Apparently they are used only for "serious crimes" so probably not in this case. Unless it were to be framed as sexual assault, which seems unlikely.
Also it seems as though as of this year they've eliminated the Scottish quirk of "not proven" as an option for juries -- hard to say what the impact might be, but I don't think that's a verdict that judges return so it shouldn't impact the bet.
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Strong chance that this demographic is also on SSRIs, so that hypothesis still has legs too, IMO.
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