jkf
1d ago
The thing is, a >7.5T truck is probably a strictly worse tool for mass murder than a regular chud-mobile -- they aren't very maneouverable, and the gearing isn't great for snappy (and sustained) accelleration.
I know that a regular one-tonne pickup is not an everyday item in the UK as in North America, but I don't think that they're like banned or anything -- if somebody wanted to do Nice in a crowded English downtown, I'm pretty sure they could.
jkf
2d ago
Lashed out at his mother and young sibling? Based on the mothers' social media she was more than supportive; I don't think this will fly. (which doesn't mean that it won't be tried I guess -- some people are pretty out of touch)
jkf
2d ago
We don't fully know the nature of the victims quite yet, but I'm getting the impression that most of them (other than his mother and one teacher) were pretty young -- there's a twelve year old in critical condition at the hospital.
"I was bullied so I shot my family and a bunch of grade 7 kids" seems like a tough sled...
jkf
2d ago
Strong chance that this demographic is also on SSRIs, so that hypothesis still has legs too, IMO.
jkf
2d ago
jkf
2d ago
I think it was called out because it's pretty notable for a woman in Tumbler Ridge (55° N) to be wearing a dress in February -- local fashion I'd expect to run more towards lumberjack shirts even in the bug warm season.
The fact that the person was wearing a dress is in-and-of itself indicative of trans status IMO.
jkf
2d ago
95% true -- it's a very small town where everybody literally knows everybody, and neighbours etc. have more-or-less confirmed the shooter's identity (both kinds!) on twitter.
There are fake (well real, but the wrong person) photos of a ridiculous young tranny from Ontario floating around; AFAICT that person has the same last name but is not the shooter; a yearbook photo of Jesse Strang for Tumblr Tumbler Ridge shows a much better effort but is still identifiably trans.
jkf
2d ago
A (young and incompetent sounding) American reporter from ABC NY called into the press conference last night and was referring to the shooter as a "gun-person" -- the cop answering questions mirrored it for a while but seemed unenthused; politicians today are picking it up in their statements so maybe it will catch on!
A true win for peoplekind...
jkf
3d ago
Apparently they are used only for "serious crimes" so probably not in this case. Unless it were to be framed as sexual assault, which seems unlikely.
Also it seems as though as of this year they've eliminated the Scottish quirk of "not proven" as an option for juries -- hard to say what the impact might be, but I don't think that's a verdict that judges return so it shouldn't impact the bet.
jkf
3d ago
co2 emissions per capita peaked around 2000 in the developed world
Now do industrial production...
jkf
3d ago
"no donations to the Stormfront server fund," got it.
I'd also prefer the cash -- details on that can be TBD; it depends how private you need to be I suppose, but we can figure it out. (and I'm gonna say ~50/50 we won't have to given the "no bet" possibilities)
jkf
4d ago
I'm fine with the honour system if you are -- thanks anyways @ArginFerman!
So AIUI -- no resolution if neither of these two is tried on these charges (ie. some plea bargain to a lesser offense would be no bet; a guilty plea on what's described above is probably a win for me though?), or if nothing happens within two years.
In the event of a trial, I need a guilty verdict; "not proven", hung jury, not guilty etc. all resolve in your favour.
If you have any other scenarios we should cover, let me know?
jkf
4d ago
pro tip: saying you are in the top 1% of brainpower out there is just going to make you come off as an arrogant jerk, so drop that line
Either that or they'll say "well actually we are kind of after the upper .01%, sorry" -- probably a bit of both actually!
jkf
6d ago
I'm pretty high trust myself, and can certainly find a way to get you 25 sterling without resorting to crypto -- but if you need someone to hold the dough that's fine with me. Pick somebody and we can both send them some cash -- I don't expect the mills of Scottish justice to grind excessively fast on this one.
jkf
6d ago
I grant that they aren't garden-variety Trump voters, but do you think Mennonites vote for Harris?
Mennonites are notoriously non-federalized, but AFAIK the conservative ones don't vote at all. (with possible exceptions made in the event of the Second Coming, but even then you'd want to watch out for the Antichrist!)
I think this is true though? Why would your notes to yourself be any more protected than anything else you might write, like a manifesto or whatever?
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