jkf
5d ago
you just paid for one ad a year in the plumbers section.
Those ads were pretty expensive too though -- thousands a month for a decent sized (1/2 - 1/4 page) 'attractor' in the yellow pages IIRC.
jkf
5d ago
Out of curiosity, I disabled all user personalization, removed the NHS thing, removed Dase
Notably it seems to think that almost everyone might be Ilforte -- which is weird because he's got a pretty recognizable and unique style actually.
I'm guessing that corpus frequency is a big factor here -- have you tried posting less/shorter?
jkf
5d ago
you'd need training programs for, with like, budgets and performance evaluations.
"true, this dog won't hunt -- but he's very rapey..."
jkf
5d ago
If you can abolish one (presumably arguing that "bear" != "carry"!?), then there's no reason the next guy can't abolish the other on some similar pretext.
jkf
6d ago
I can't be arsed to do it, but it seems pretty trivial to plug whatever parameters you like into some simulation code and let it run a few million times? Some cases you will take one box but the alien predicted wrong and you get nothing; sometimes you take two and he was wrong and you get 1M + 1K. So long as he is mostly correct I don't see how the EV is not strongly driven by the cases where you pick the mystery box and get $1M -- no loss of free will required.
jkf
6d ago
If it's possible for someone to get away with two boxing and get both boxes, and you can put yourself in that scenario, then you can win by two boxing.
Let's put a number on it -- what successful prediction rate would Omega need to have for you to consider taking both boxes? Depends how badly you need a thousand bucks I guess?
Assuming you're in the US, I'm surprised this isn't already a thing -- it's been normalized for all manner of things in Canada since... I wanna say 2008? The last time we had a big sudden spike, anyways.j
Amazon etc. probably won't do it because they don't need to -- they will just tell their supply chain to eat it, and it will.
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