BANNED USER: /comment/400933
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nopie
No bio...
User ID: 1228
Banned by: @FCfromSSC
nopie
55m ago
It didn't provide any new info therefore it was done for gasligting knowing that bunch of retarded people will see that recording as supporting their views.
nopie
1hr ago
ICE is not talking about it, in fact, they are actively denying it, blocking investigation and spreading lies.
And Trump, vice-president and other politicians are gaslighting about that.
nopie
3hr ago
If ICE was only deporting illegals, that would be true. But it doesn't seem to be the case. They are seen terrorizing not only legal immigrants but also US citizens. They even shot an innocent lady in Minnesota and decided to cover it up.
Besides Obama deported more illegals for a fraction of the cost. Where is the money going? Probably in terrorizing “brown people”, so that terrorizing part must be more by volume that ICE legal activities.
Thank you. That was exactly my thought. In my formative years I learned English from writings by Indians. I am well aware that many expressions I learned from them are unfortunately archaic or used only in India and not in the standard British or American English. I try to avoid them but it is not always easy in a second (actually my third) language.
nopie
7mo ago
I am sorry, I had seen this usage in some writings and thought that it is a standard English. But I am not a native speaker and make a ton of mistakes in every sentence.
nopie
7mo ago
In such situation the US would indeed just print the money to save itself from bankruptcy causing immense inflation. It will cause worldwide financial crisis. It is possible that the GDP for many countries will fall by 50% or even more.
That will not be good neither for the US, nor the world peace. Possible some other countries will arise more arise more powerful, especially China, Russia or Iran. The countries who have learned to become more resilient due to constant sanctions.
nopie
7mo ago
My view is slightly different. Sometimes debt is good, you would buy a house on mortgage, for example. But the current debt is purely for buying trinkets, not good. The US is also a very strong economy, the best in the world. Some more debt is not going to bankrupt it. However, excess debt can reduce growth. The fact that the US was growing faster than other developed countries, is no reason to limit this potential. Therefore this debt should be eliminated as it would allow the US to grow even faster.
Now, Musk wants more growth. Everything depends on it. It is a long game he is playing, some moves might be wrong, but it all makes sense.
nopie
7mo ago
In all those cases I was totally on Musk's side. Lockdowns were terrible and now even Scott Alexander quotes studies that they didn't do anything, only destroyed economy even more and increased mental problems of people. This is where both democrats and republicans dropped the ball on science.
Elon deserved at least some recognition for EVs.
Elon's transkid? The UK banned puberty blockers for a reason. It turns out that most “transkids” stop being “trans” by reaching adulthood, but if they are given puberty blockers, then it is almost 100% guaranteed that they will continue this transpath. Not good outcome at all and only the most ideology obsessed people cannot see why this is a problem.
The only thing I don't like about Musk is his over promises, for example, selling self-driving cars (was promised to be ready in 2024)? Clearly a fantasy although the idea to develop them is good. Of course, sometimes I don't like his talk (calling some a pedo etc.). But that is not important in the great scheme of things.
nopie
7mo ago
Not true. There have been times when printing money was correct policy, for example, after big crises of 2008.
nopie
7mo ago
Inflate? It doesn't work mathematically. Sorry, you are not making any sense.
nopie
7mo ago
You probably are better with numbers and can provide better estimates. Tyler Cowen has analytical blog post about this issue: https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2025/06/claims-about-debt-and-productivity-growth.html
My understanding is that it is a time to become “fiscally responsible”, i.e., try to cut expenses. The current growth is not enough to stop interest payments to skyrocket.
nopie
7mo ago
Yes. When I hear “fiscally responsible” on news I have no idea what it means. I just tried to offer a better phrasing that could resonate with people. If something wasn't clear, now I have provided interpretation above: https://www.themotte.org/post/2015/culture-war-roundup-for-the-week/332917?context=8#context
To be sure, I was saying how I would act and it would be a similar tantrum like what Elon does. But I am no politician nor a successful man and I don't know if Elon's actions will be ultimately victorious or destructive. The later is more likely. But his track record shows the opposite. Obviously, we don't understand the world well enough to predict the outcome. But from what we know, the world has a potential of unlimited growth. We are in a different era now, the humanity in all of its history was static, with no growth or very little growth over centuries, but then something changed and rapid growth appeared. It started with the industrial revolution and the world has never been the same since.
Musk vs Trump is the new world vs the old one. The new world will win for sure but expect many battles.
What? You interpret what I said in the worst way. What about a different interpretation – the US reduces borrowing. The borrowing is only a small part of the budget which means that by small reduction, let's say 10%, you could even not only stop borrowing but also pay off some of the debt (the numbers are as example only), and in 5 or 10 years, the US has no debt at all or very insignificant one.
As apposed to in 20 years the US debt is 100% or 200% of the GDP and interest payments comprise 20% of the GDP.
nopie
7mo ago
Not staged, it is real.
Obviously, many things said in anger now, can and will be taken back. Don't take them too seriously. But the fight is real.
nopie
7mo ago
To me it seems that if you have to pay 10% on interest payments for the debt, you could easily reduce spending by 10% and not to pay this interest payment and be in the same situation. Obviously, that would cause short term pain but long term benefits.
I personally can easily spend 4-5 years at college and/or training and live frugally to get better job or whatever. Everybody can.
nopie
7mo ago
I don't know why people are so upset. Trump was awful, Elon tried to use him for his purposes, it failed, so he is now against him. There is no point for Elon not to be against Trump now. It all seems totally normal to me, that's how I would act in his place.
nopie
8mo ago
"You should deal with COVID a certain way Or We'll All Die" has built-in life-or-death stakes,
The problem is that it is not true. Covid wasn't ”we'll all die”, it was just framed that way.
Thanks for this overview.
In Latvia melatonin is over the counter and people sometimes buy it but generally they find it ineffective. Benzos are commonly prescribed although recently the health authorities have started to push back. Still, when someone is hospitalized, the patient is almost always given alprazolam at night. My elderly mother doesn't like benzos and she has to instruct the hospital staff every time to not give any benzos to her. She tells that she has a paradoxical reaction to them that she becomes even more agitated. You would think that by now it would mentioned in her medical records but no, she still has to actively refuse them every time. I think doctors are completely irresponsible in this regard. There was a case of one famous elderly person dying from a fall while normally walking through the city. I am 100% that was due to benzos she was prescribed.
Quetiapine gets prescribed a lot for sleep but in cases when doctors suspect that anxiety or depression is the cause. In the UK it is much more restricted. Quetiapine on prescription indicates rather serious psychiatric problems or strong anxiety that is not resolved by usual antidepressants. Tricyclic antidepresants especially mirtazapine or amitriptyline get often prescribed as sleeping pills too especially when if pain keeps a person awake at night but can also prescribed just for sleep.
Interestingly that melatonin is prescription only in the UK. Most commonly it is prescribed to autistic children. I cannot believe that it works so well for them but carers seem desperate to get the prescription filled. I wonder if a placebo effect by proxy is involved. The UK guidelines are very strict that no medication is effective for autism, so all benzos, antipsychotics, even antidepressants are out of question unless one can prove respective co-morbidity indication.
The US had the Great Depression. I think post-Soviet dip was even deeper than that but clearly Americans have experienced something similar. It is just that people who experienced it are no longer alive, so you don't think that it was a big deal.
I really hope that Trump doesn't cause something similar to great depression. But you should listen to those who warn about that possibility and work hard to prevent it. It is a serious matter.
GDP by definition is an abstract measure of the country and not of an individual. It makes no sense to go back and say “hey, this one person is poor despite rising GDP”. Maybe some people are not able to see the big picture and will get stuck on individual examples?
Latvians suffered tremendously in the first years of the post-Soviet period. We never experienced famine, all the services were still working and everybody got basic healthcare and social needs covered. But income, or rather inflation made everyone very poor and limited of what we could buy. And the fact that goods finally were freely available in shops but no money to buy them probably was like psychological torture. Depression, alcoholism, suicides increased, life expectancy decreased.
Eventually the economy grew, people started earning more money, Latvia joined the EU which accelerated growth even more, some industries were restarted, yet many people emigrated to western countries for work because they wanted even higher income now instead of waiting 20-30 years until Latvia catches up with the west.
Just stop replying. You are making it worse.
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