pusher_robot
PLEASE GO STAND BY THE STAIRS
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User ID: 278
Yes, but the question is whether it's also better to be part of an 80% winning coalition than, say, a 40% losing one. That's why there's a threshold effect - if a party becomes minority enough that its chances of ever winning decrease below a threshold, then every rational voter will abandon it and try to effect political change through the dominant party, which further decreases the minority party's chances of ever winning, creating a vicious circle.
I think this applies generally to coalition-building -- if you plan a bank heist, you do not want to bring along extra accomplices who do not increase the probability of success.
The bank is going to be robbed no matter what. The only question is whether you will be part of the crew that gets paid for the job.
Yes, but this claim needs more than just gesturing at the marginal voter theorem. Porkpiehat is right - this can be a completely stable system. You only need to reach the tipping point that people feel they have more influence by voting in the primary than in the general for it to come to pass. The numerous municipal governments with single-party rule show exactly why this works: the real election is the primary. For the general, the winners all go vote for their person and the losers mostly stay home. Importantly, almost nobody votes for the other party in the general, because everyone has already invested all their networking, patronage, and coalition-building efforts in The Party.
There have been, and still are, plenty of nominally democratic states with effectively single-party rule. While I don't think it's probable this happens in an electorate so evenly divided that it swings back and forth every few years, simply stating "no it will not" seems like rank it-can't-happen-here-ism.
I've been using a trackball as my daily driver at work for years. For a long time I used a thumb-operated track ball but eventually I came to prefer the two-finger style track ball and landed on the Elecom Huge from Japan. Amazon says I bought it in 2018 and it's been working reliably since then. If you're going the large-size two-finger ball, I'd suggest you want left-click on your thumb and right-click on your ring finger.
This passage stuck with me since I read the novelization of The Return of the Jedi as a young boy:
Jerjerrod—tall, thin, arrogant—was the Death Star commander. He walked without hurry up the ranks of soldiers, to the ramp of the shuttle. Hurry was not in Jerjerrod, for hurry implied a wanting to be elsewhere, and he was a man who distinctively was exactly where he wanted to be. Great men never hurried (he was fond of saying); great men caused others to hurry.
Yet Jerjerrod was not blind to ambition; and a visit by such a one as this great Dark Lord could not be taken too lightly. He stood at the shuttle mouth, therefore, waiting —with respect, but not hurry.
I don't know why that passage was so memorable - maybe it was my first real exposure to the concept of social signaling - but it came back to me frequently as I hurried - or saw others hurry - hither and thither.
Second - Asimov generally is very friendly to the reader and has a large catalog of short stories, which I think are much less intimidating to an inexperienced reader.
Get a meat injector (giant syringe) and fill it with liquid soap and a green glow stick. Put on a bloody lab coat and now you're The Reanimator
I've spitballed a modest proposal around national mandatory summer camp from about age 12 to 16 (with exemptions for the employed). Being someplace away from home and family even for a couple of weeks builds a huge amount of independence, IMO. Even more so if some basic life skills (cleaning, scheduling, meal prep) are imparted. Punishment details, administered far away from where mommy and daddy can bully staff on your behalf, can teach lessons about actions and consequences, and counselors can be real about a lot of facts of life that family and schools won't, and have enough age proximity to have credibility.
I'd wager innocent black men worry a lot more about being victimized by other black men than about not being able to collect handguns.
Mental health treatment was much worse back then, and consisted heavily of involuntary confinement, surgery, or just enough benign neglect to let nature take its course. But it did have the effect of keeping it away from the rest of society to a higher degree.
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Or China. The U.S. currently has an edge due to the unparallelled easy access to capital financing. Degrade that by attacking capital and redistributing it to consumption, and what exactly does the U.S. have to offer?
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