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ulyssessword


				

				

				
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joined 2022 September 05 00:37:14 UTC

				

User ID: 308

ulyssessword


				
				
				

				
0 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 05 00:37:14 UTC

					

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User ID: 308

Thanks for the candor.

Being self-aware that your opinions are absurd is much worse than standing defiant against accusations that your opinions are absurd, regardless of how strong the accusations are. If you already know you're wrong, why don't you change your mind?

Here.

CICO by the Second Law of Thermodynamics holds for force feeding and starvation. Everything between those extremes is confounded by biology.

Nice strawman. But even the most hardcore HBD believers would accept that the worst whites are likely worse in some aspects than the best non-whites.

Ethnonationalists are (often) also HBD believers, and they say that the important aspect of a person is their race, full stop. You could point to higher intelligence, longer life, better health, or lower criminality among other ethnic groups, but that still wouldn't convince them that someone from another race is better in the ways that matter because that's not what they're judging people on.

I think brawnze is pointing out...That's how I read it anyway.

I read it as fullhearted participation. From the post (emphasis added):

When I meet someone with conservative leanings I have to determine what that guy's specific deal is, because there always is one. Redneck? Really religious? Too-clever-by-half contrarian? Socially retarded?

followed by a clarification that their judgment is deliberately rooted in bad standards.

It's usually difficult to distinguish people who are unserious jokers from those who have foreign (for lack of a better term) values that I'd like to learn about. At least unless they identify themselves.

Did you calculate your base metabolic rate (or whatever the fudge factor is called in your system) so that it all worked out? If not, you got lucky that it happened to be both correct at the start and steady over time. If you have adjusted it, then that means your calculations are on target, and adjusting the inputs so that 3500 kcal = 1 lb resulted in a trendline at 3500 kcal per lb.

This study gives some people a 20% headstart on your dieting goals (admittedly they didn't measure "CI"), which is a pretty notable difference.

Assuming weekly sex with people from a pool of how many partners?

A big enough pool that it looks exponential instead of sigmoidal. Once it's spread to >50% of the group, you can't exactly double the prevalence.

As I said, swapping partners annually from that pool is frequent enough for the dynamic to play out.

Maybe your source's sensibilities are a bit more delicate than mine, but I would not be shocked by someone having sex with their partner 52 times in one year, then with a different partner 52 times in the next year, and so on.

Ah ok... uh, so why did you completely ignore the attached image?

What did I ignore? I saw the rate for anal sex, I saw the rate for vaginal sex. Was I supposed to discuss blood transfusions and needles? Construct a model that is more detailed than "heterosexual" and "homosexual"? Increase the precision from "1%" to "1.11%"?

I mentioned his deceptive claim because it jumped out at me. I hadn't noticed the problems with his second sentence when I posted that.

Sure. Selecting the correct reference class is also pretty hard, but that cuts both ways too.

I have a few friends that use https://www.thingiverse.com/thing:3146835 with good results.

You did not say "no"

Why would anyone answer a thought experiment with a direct factual analysis? I wouldn't use the trick calculator because I would use a normal one, or possibly specialized software that has error-checking that goes beyond faithfully calculating my button presses. Wow, I'm so insightful.

I notice that you haven't answered the question either: Have you seen humans? I personally see dozens of humans on an average day, but I wouldn't want to assume anything about your answer.

I know its long but seriously watch the video essay on Badness = 0 I posted up thread. It is highly relevant to this conversation.

Where's the relevance? Was it "Using an LLM to answer your questions will cut your workload by 99% but not 99.99% because you have to follow one link to confirm its response"?

0-6:00 Detail orientation!

6:00 - 9:00 Instead of watching >100 videos each about 10-30 minutes long and assessing them himself (or using any other research strategy), the author used a (now) old model with 5% the parameters of GPT4, and it confused a video about error correction algorithms with a video about admitting to and correcting your errors. He got his answer within minutes.

9:00-12:00 Intro to LLMs and his toy example.

12:00-19:00 BoVeX, which is a typesetting software he made that rewrites text to eliminate "bad" breaks in text (e.g. hyphens, overspacing).

19:00-22:00 Conclusion/credits.

When you find something via Google, do you immediately and unconditionally trust it? I don't, because Google's results are full of nonsense. In response, I've developed google-fu to both refine my queries and judge the results. The same goes for every other source there is, from physical libraries to subject-specific Discord servers.

Do I compare LLM output to Google results? Sure, but that's nothing special. Comparing what you find in different sources is a pretty basic tactic.

LLMs are part of a complete breakfast research strategy, and a pretty good one at that.

That being said, overperformance of multiracial students would be consistent with heterozygote advantage.

I suspect that it's some amount of selection bias as well. Specifically, being multi-racial is higher class than being single-race, so people with X% of their genes from one race and Y% from another would answer differently on the survey based on their class.

Okay? So ban porn advertising on any site that targets children. I'm pretty sure that law isn't even necessary because websites have a lot more control over their ads than stores have over their neighborhood.

If a city council sorted their areas by crime rate and excluded adult bookstores from the bottom X%, then I'm pretty sure the (prospective) store owners would have a good case the restrictions are illegal. If the city pulled all its cops and banned private security from them, it would be a slam-dunk case.

Maybe it's just a skill issue, but I didn't get the joke.

How would you go from their comment (as written) to "it was self deprecating to link the really religious to the socially retarded" (as they explained downthread.)?

flatly unwelcome at our various employers' pride networking corporate events.

Is that your moral barometer? I've heard of people using the Church's approval as a proxy for moral behaviour, but this might be the first time I've seen someone use corporations in that role.

You did not count as vaccinated and dead unless you died > 2 weeks after your vaccination?

A couple years ago, someone here claimed that the risk stats were thrown off because of that. Essentially, that the reports were looking at:

  • (unvaccinated deaths + recently vaccinated deaths) / (unvaccinated population)
  • (fully vaccinated deaths) / (fully vaccinated population + recently vaccinated population)

When I looked into it, I couldn't disprove that interpretation with the raw text of the data analysis, but surely they can't be that bad, right??

What was the point, in your opinion?

I can't see anything other than bare-faced racism because the name doesn't mean anything to me.

...and therefore the scenario doesn't illustrate their point.

I know that context windows continue to be able to be expanded regularly - but AI ain't gonna be able to take over the world or even my job if it can't watch the entire Star Wars trilogy in one sitting.

I just checked, and the current leader has 100 million tokens ("equivalent to 750 novels"), while non-specialized models are in the 100k-1M range. You're going to have to update your arguments (then update them again in a few months when AIs meet your new standards, then update them again...).

And what actions does it take in pursuit of those goals?

I enjoyed that series, but I've almost never recommended it. There is a level of autism on display that is truly mind boggling.

Yeah, I don't foresee a second opportunity any time soon. "You wanted plot in this chapter? Nah, here's a character sheet along with how the bonuses are calculated. Isn't it awesome?" (Yes, it is)

It is a better way to fill subway rides than doomscrolling, but...it disappointed me.

May I suggest the Power of Ten series? It's a solid 4/5 through all 3M words I've read so far, and I assume the other 2M will be similar.

EDIT: And instead of 170 chapters, you should be able to decide by the end of chapter 7. The first four are abnormal, and the rest are typical enough to judge it on. It does improve as it goes on, but it doesn't transform into some other kind of work.

The very rough plot summary for all of the books is (no real spoilers IMO): The world runs on Pen and Paper RPG physics (closest to D&D), and the main character has been incarnated from Earth and is familiar with the system. Using their (absurdly powerful) knowledge of the system and (honestly pretty decent, but completely overshadowed) starting buff, they make their way into the world, find a terrible problem, and spoiler redacted.

It's also very much an action story in the XKCD sense.

The setting for Book 1 is very, very strongly based on Dungeons and Dragons, with only a few of the serial numbers filed off.

Book 2 is Warhammer 40k.

Book 3 is Urban Fantasy.

Book 4 is Marvel comics.

I haven't read books 5 or 6.

From your first comment:

I struggle to understand how anything but higher promiscuity could explain the difference between gay and straight people contracting HIV.

This comment thread is how something other than higher promiscuity could explain the difference between gay and straight people contracting HIV. The different transmission rates of different sex acts are enough on their own with no difference in promiscuity.

Sorry, I rephrased it to make it less accusatory.

Thanks, that clarifies it. I was mostly focusing on the image, which is why I mentioned his bad comparison in a parenthetical aside instead of the main part of the comment.

The size of the moral circle was examined in that study, but was not used to generate the heatmap:

Heatmaps indicating highest moral allocation by ideology, Study 3a.

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-12227-0/figures/5

EDIT: nvm, they just reused the same term to refer to two different things.

That data was not used to generate the heatmap.

>Heatmaps indicating highest moral allocation by ideology, Study 3a.

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-12227-0/figures/5

EDIT: nvm, they just reused the same term to refer to two different things.

The power goes in, then...? The only power expenditure he laid out is cooling the material. That deals with the inefficiency in our technology, but it is still generating free energy at its heart.