ulyssessword
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User ID: 308
ulyssessword
4d ago
Show me the table entry for "brown adipose tissue heating" on a CO calculation and I'll believe it. Otherwise it's just part of the fudge factor.
Quantizing that component (and every other one) to individual variability is the weakness of CICO, as they can result in wildly different results based on unmeasured variables.
ulyssessword
4d ago
Did you calculate your base metabolic rate (or whatever the fudge factor is called in your system) so that it all worked out? If not, you got lucky that it happened to be both correct at the start and steady over time. If you have adjusted it, then that means your calculations are on target, and adjusting the inputs so that 3500 kcal = 1 lb resulted in a trendline at 3500 kcal per lb.
This study gives some people a 20% headstart on your dieting goals (admittedly they didn't measure "CI"), which is a pretty notable difference.
ulyssessword
4d ago
ulyssessword
5d ago
That's exactly what I'm talking about: It's a Calories In, Calories Out, Body Weight system and that third variable is essential.
Skimming through the paper, it appears that the difference between cold and hot is about 100 Calories per cold day, or about one pound per month. A pure CICO system couldn't explain why one person gains a few pounds every winter while an ostensibly-identical person (but fertilized in cold weather) doesn't.
ulyssessword
5d ago
A) CICO necessarily follows from the Second Law of Thermodynamics,
The naive version of CICO compares your meal plan to your gym time. The normal version compares all the food (including drinks!) you consume vs. all your planned or incidental physical activity. The true version compares the bioavailability of all the nutrients you consume vs. all of your metabolic activity, whether that's moving your muscles, thinking, growth, healing, generating heat, or anything else.
I have yet to see any diet plan that uses the true model of CICO. The closest I've seen is a single number for "base metabolism" that you back-calculate from your weight trends.
I think you're pushing a strawman, but I'm open to seeing a diet plan that uses the "true CICO" model I described. Anything less precise can't follow from raw thermodynamics.
ulyssessword
6d ago
...and therefore the scenario doesn't illustrate their point.
ulyssessword
6d ago
Scott would characterize the Developer as having lied to the contractor about having the approval, but did they?
Yes in your scenario, but it's not necessary. Try this:
Thus the Developer tells the Contractor to start pouring concrete. The building permit isn't their responsibility and the contractor is paid based on work done (not buildings constructed), so they have no reason to refuse. Worst case they get paid to tear up concrete afterwards. The contractor starts pouring.
ulyssessword
8d ago
I have two monitors here, and my alt-tab selection only shows up on my primary monitor. The taskbar does show up so you can select one application or the other regardless.Windows+arrow keys does work to reposition windows, so I'll have to remember that.
One of the more challenging parts of it was diagnosing the issue in the first place. It looked like every application simply refused to launch despite being "open".
ulyssessword
8d ago
Windows windows insanity?
A coworker brought his laptop up to the conference room, but (in hindsight, I think) it was still remotely connected to his monitor in his office. Every application opened its window on the office monitor instead of the laptop screen, so we couldn't use it for anything. We tried to change the display settings to cancel that...but the settings window opened on the other monitor as well.
We ended up restarting it.
ulyssessword
9d ago
I'm not that optimistic. It reminds me of The Simpsons:
The judges are empowered to help criminals. You thought judges were empowered to help? Empowered to help criminals, not you.
It'll take a good action to move my opinion in a good direction. Not just "they can do something; good things are 'something', therefore they can do good things."
ulyssessword
12d ago
Anything by Daniel Abraham (link to my old review), particularly the Long Price Quartet.
ulyssessword
13d ago
Do you have to drop it off at that specific apple store, or can you ship it to somewhere and get it shipped back? Even super-express return shipping is probably cheaper than $320.
ulyssessword
13d ago
Pretty sure. If you can find something better at predictions than the market is, you should be able to make tons of money (and incidentally make the market as efficient as your source).
ulyssessword
14d ago
Could be, but I'm blaming Microsoft regardless. Those ads have no place in the Microsoft Office Suite, regardless of who did it.
ulyssessword
14d ago
I'm following a lawyer's advice and will keep a tractor fender close by, at all times.
ulyssessword
15d ago
New Microsoft insanity.
I made a powerpoint presentation1, and went to save it. There were the normal options: Save, Save As, Export, Share, and one new one: Save as PDF.
Great, I thought. I want to save it as a PDF, so I will select the "Save as PDF" option. What a fool I was. Microsoft hadn't given me a convenient option to Save as PDF. It had embedded an ad for Adobe Acrobat Reader Pro's integration with their software, and offered me one free sample per 30 days, and the wonderful opportunity to buy (or rent, I assume) their software to unlock unlimited use and access many other features!
Needless to say, I went to "Save As", selected the .pdf filetype from the dropdown menu, and saved it as a pdf.
1 Not really, but Powerpoint some of the best software there is for simple image editing.
ulyssessword
17d ago
I recommend reading https://slatestarcodex.com/2018/07/10/melatonin-much-more-than-you-wanted-to-know/ before using melatonin, as there are some misconceptions out there. Specifically, the standard pills you can buy have about 10-30x the dose you want.
ulyssessword
17d ago
@07mk: "I guess that's just a long-winded way of saying that The Boy Who Cried Wolf is, unironically, a pretty decent fable with a pretty decent lesson."
...
Again, as far back as 2016, I recall reading someone, maybe on SlateStarCodex, saying that they're not afraid of Trump, they're afraid of who might come after Trump. Now, I'm somewhat afraid of Trump, but not that much more than any other Republican POTUS, but I'm definitely more afraid of what could rise up from the farther, even more extreme right wing due to much of the left having so completely discredited its ability to criticize such people.
Sounds like the person you remember was riffing off of You Are Still Crying Wolf:
This, I think, is the first level of crying wolf. What if, one day, there is a candidate who hates black people so much that he doesn’t go on a campaign stop to a traditionally black church in Detroit, talk about all of the contributions black people have made to America, promise to fight for black people, and say that his campaign is about opposing racism in all its forms? What if there’s a candidate who does something more like, say, go to a KKK meeting and say that black people are inferior and only whites are real Americans?
We might want to use words like “openly racist” or “openly white supremacist” to describe him. And at that point, nobody will listen, because we wasted “openly white supremacist” on the guy who tweets pictures of himself eating a taco on Cinco de Mayo while saying “I love Hispanics!”
...
Stop crying wolf. God forbid, one day we might have somebody who doesn’t give speeches about how diversity makes this country great and how he wants to fight for minorities, who doesn’t pose holding a rainbow flag and state that he proudly supports transgender people, who doesn’t outperform his party among minority voters, who wasn’t the leader of the Salute to Israel Parade, and who doesn’t offer minorities major cabinet positions. And we won’t be able to call that guy an “openly white supremacist Nazi homophobe”, because we already wasted all those terms this year.
ulyssessword
18d ago
Though I think your second part is a little unfair. In a crowded city, there will always be a park or school or something with a couple blocks of the site.
There are a few stories of that. IIRC, one city has "sex offender bridge", which is the only location within city limits that's more than X distance from Y locations, and therefore the only legal place for registered sex offender to live in the city.
ulyssessword
19d ago
Thanks for link. Based on that last quote, I definitely wouldn't want to buy a "0% receiver". I'd even be a bit worried about buying a small piece of 6061 aluminum bar stock from a (normal) metal supplier. Raw ore is probably outside the letter of the law, but I know how much I trust the courts with that.
I think it's safe to say that an empty field is not a gun. Until you start digging.
ulyssessword
19d ago
the ATF's rules are so broad that they cover anything but a literal "unformed blocks of metal",
Was there ever any further debate on what they meant by "primordial state" in that legislation? To my mind, a formed (simple block) piece of precisely-alloyed metal is not "primordial" in the sense of "from the beginning of the world" or "constituting an origin; fundamental". To reach that status you'd have to go back to bauxite or magnetite ore that you could dig from the ground.
ulyssessword
19d ago
I find it interesting that it took more than 24 hours for @HereAndGone to point out that 1937 movie is in not original but is based on Grimme brothers tale.
I don't know about everyone else, but I didn't mention that fact because I thought is was already well-known, and (unlike you) didn't have any arguments that relied on it. I wouldn't read anything more into it.
ulyssessword
20d ago
It's not the "one drop" rule if it isn't strict. That strictness is the defining characteristic of the "one drop" rule.
See also: This Black woman's bone density scan results list her ethnicity as 'white.' Why that's a problem. I looked at the picture at the top of that article and went "...really??"
ulyssessword
22d ago
By that standard, a good fraction of cars on the road don't qualify as human-driven.
(My idea for self-driving car laws: It has to pass a standard driver's license exam, and has to carry insurance. Anything past that is consumer protection instead of a valid safety concern.)
Then stand by your convictions, admit what you're doing, and argue that it's good.
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