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ulyssessword


				

				

				
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joined 2022 September 05 00:37:14 UTC

				

User ID: 308

ulyssessword


				
				
				

				
0 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 05 00:37:14 UTC

					

No bio...


					

User ID: 308

We have a pair of H2Ds at work, and I have an Ender 3 at home.

I don't find most 3D models (e.g. on Printables) that impressive. If I'm going to go searching for something to get, I might as well search a store-store for physical objects and buy them. What you gain from cutting out the shipping/storage/infrastructure costs of a traditional store, you lose in restricted materials, personal labor, and quality control.

If you want to get the most out of a 3D printer, you need to know how to design 3D models to match your needs. This starts with problem definition, goes through measurement and design-for-manufacture, and ends with actually using the new thing. Train yourself to notice when a custom object would fix a problem, learn how to design it, then enjoy.


Get TPU. Having the option to make flexible things in addition to rigid ones gives you a lot more options, if you know how to take advantage of them.

I've found PLA to be good enough for most stuff, but PETG or ABS are fine as daily drivers too. They're harder to work with, but last better (impact resistance, heat tolerance, and mechanical fatigue are all better. Strength is near-identical.) You can get fancy engineering filaments if you want, but I haven't found much to be in the niche of too demanding for PETG, but not demanding enough for someone else to injection-mold or machine it instead.

6402373705728000 years old is even better than 700, clearly.

Lol, "It's only four-nil, it's only four-nil, how shit must you be, it's only four-nil" (while losing). I guess you've gotta chant something in that situation.

That is not what I said, and it is not what I implied.

That's the impression I got at the time. Reviewing it now, I stand behind my interpretation.

Going through it line-by-line:

A noble effort.

...to promote the official narrative that there was no sex crime occurring or at risk of occurring when she responded with an axe.

But hopeless. The first thread already demonstrated that priors were set by who you hated most:

Their belief in the narrative (true or false) depends on their personal biases.

(1) females; (2) young hoodlums who bullied you;

These people believe the girls were up to no good and fabricated the original assault. They believe that because they hate females and/or hoodlums, not any of the reporting.

(3) brown people.

These people believe the man was up to no good and committed the original assault. They believe that because they hate brown people, not any of the reporting.

This thread will not shift any priors.

...because (as above) priors are set by hate instead of information and argument.


It may not be what you meant to say, but I don't see a serious alternate reading of what you did say there.

I don't think the full info is out yet. Axios has one news article with a bit more (found via Zvi), but no specific law is named.

It reads like they are saying, "here are our demands for submitting to the authority of your government".

Did you read to the start?

The US government, citing national security authorities, has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States, including foreign national Anthropic employees. The net effect of this order is that we must abruptly disable Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all our customers to ensure compliance.

They are submitting to the authority. We can't get anything perfect (and it remains to be seen whether we can do anything good enough), but surely we can do better than this??

Did you read to the end?

As we have stated publicly, we believe the government should have the ability to block unsafe deployments, as part of a statutory process that is transparent, fair, clear, and grounded in technical facts. This action does not adhere to those principles.

Reminds me of straight lines on a graph. More specifically:

If [societal controls driving steady improvements] were true, you wouldn’t see the effects of pollution-busting technologies on pollution. You’d see them on everything else. For example, suppose that absent any other progress on air pollution, politicians would regulate cars harder, and that’s what would make air pollution go down by 2% that year. In that case, the effects of inventing an unexpected new pollution-busting technology wouldn’t appear in pollution levels, they would appear in car prices.

If the productivity-boosting effects of AI were true but society controls the overall trend to a steady 2% growth rate, you could see the effects of AI on everything but productivity. Dark Leisure is one attempt at explaining it away.

This reminds me of "More Communication" from last week. You can call for calm because you want the sentiment to go away (with no substantive action), or because you've received the message and will take action (so any further excitement is wasted).


Imagine that you're in the wild west. A local commits an atrocity, and a mob gathers to lynch him. The sheriff steps out in front of them and says "You need to calm down...

  1. "...because violence is not the answer. You need live and let live. It wasn't really that bad, after all."
  2. "...because I will arrest him and bring him to trial, and there is a very high chance he will be executed for his crimes."

Those are wildly different messages, that could both be described as telling the townsfolk to calm down.


EDIT: See Montreal mayor urges calm, vows to uncover truth after police unit suspected of racist behaviour. The government discovered misconduct and is in the process of fixing it. Consequences are already on the way (with or without further outcry), so any excitement is wasted.

Do the police pursue it with equal zeal? Do the prosecutors put as much effort into getting the same punishments? Do judges and juries treat them equally? I'll grant that there are external limits on their choice, but that's a far cry from being just as illegal (unless you treat illegality as a binary, in which case it's just as illegal as walking with ice cream in your back pocket or whatever zany oldtimes law you can find).

Consider Nick Olivas: At 14, he unknowingly fathered a child with a 20-year-old woman. Later, he was pursued for child support and the mother was never charged with any crime. Hermesmann of Hermesmann v. Seyer "contributed to a child's misconduct" when a 13-year-old got her pregnant. There are a few more in this pdf, but I think the pattern is established well enough: Women who commit statutory rape against boys are not consistently prosecuted, even in the face of incontrovertible evidence.

Let's imagine the opposite situation, accounting for biological reality. A girl in her early teens becomes pregnant, gives birth, and gives up the child. Later, the (significantly older) father claims paternity, which is confirmed. The state shrugs its shoulders, gives him the child, and goes on with its day.

That's even less of a legal burden than the real cases have, and yet it feels pants shittingly insane. It would never happen in a million years. If you could find something one tenth as crazy, I'd consider it a significant blow against my stance. Can you?

You sure about that? I know the law sets equal boundaries, but I have my doubts about the legal system doing the same.

I don't get it. Satyress is one step removed from "satire". Juicero is...?

not paying employees the fair "value" of there labor as unethical.

You can pay fair market wages to everyone your company employs and set agreeable terms with all your contractors. That doesn't mean the wages are "fair value" under whatever framework they're using, or that the circle of concern stops there.


I think all of the examples are going to be in software of some kind. Notch made a billion dollars from Minecraft with only minor contributions from others, and I heard of a billion-dollar aqui-hire in AI. There are probably a bunch of $10M+ projects run by a single person, and scaling that up 100x doesn't seem impossible.

The other possibility would be sports or celebrity. If your personal labor is creating a billion dollars of value, then it seems fine to get a billion dollars.

That's an accurate description. Doesn't mean it's the right choice.

I'm saying that competence and riggedness are orthogonal.

and I'm saying they aren't. A competently run election isn't just counted correctly, it's verifiable as well. It produces evidence which exposes fraud (if present).

I don't think saboteurs would design a system to catch themselves in their schemes, then proceed to get themselves caught carrying them out. Hence, incompetently-run elections can be caused by people wanting to rig elections. Since the reverse isn't true (incompetent elections aren't caused by people that want an honest election), it is Bayesian evidence.

What do you mean "rather than"? The incompetence enables fraud.

It's not necessarily "the incompetence was deliberately cultivated to create a pathway for fraud", but it still counts.

That's one hell of an error bar, so the research is garbage.

Score one for AI. Claude traced it to here, and said it was a range of results across different studies (with different methodologies and populations), not error bars for a single measure. I retraced the source and read the abstract, but I honestly didn't gain anything that the AI didn't hand to me already.

As an aside, I've stopped listening to the news in my car because I can't fact-check them while I'm driving, but it's easy to do on the web.

Exactly. The "domestic" part is noteworthy, which is why we invented a term for it.

Why do you think it's noteworthy? I think it's noteworthy because it's significantly different than other crimes. I also think those differences need to be taken into account when comparing it to other crimes.

Why is domestic violence a "category" of crime, instead of simply being rolled into the non-specific whole? You don't see people talking about near-fire-hydrant crime, after all.

I think it's categorized separately because it's different. And because it's different, it might not make for a good basis for comparisons.

"More Communication" is sometimes code for something one level deeper.

  • The product has to match the end-user's use cases.
  • The project has to use land in a non-disruptive way
  • The limitations have to be understood and planned around (by those impacted, not the creators)

But it can also be used as an object-level good:

  • Evidence of consent has to be gathered
  • Blame has to be shifted
  • People have to be pacified

There's a huge gap between more communication as a means of creating/spreading knowledge and more communication as an end in itself. The phrase "More Communication" is almost always code for the latter in my experience.

I’ve also detested those academics who say things like “if you can’t explain it in 5 seconds to a 5 year old, you don’t understand it.” Homie. There are concepts I haven’t been able to understand for my entire life. Same for you.

If you feel like being mean, ask them: "How long did your education take? That long, huh. Did your professors not understand the material, or are you worse at understanding things than a five-year-old?"

At best, a 5-second summary is a label that well-rounded individuals can use to find what you're talking about. At worse, it's a semantic stopsign that gets them to stop asking questions and fake understanding. It doesn't have enough information to explain anything with any complexity.

if someone tried to abuse this system, the town charter would get amended pretty quickly.

Before, or after that abuse let them illegitimately affect the system?

Will it ever replace all workers? No. By the nature of economics, that's basically impossible. People's desires are infinite and there arent infinite resources and labor, so there are always niches to fill.

Minimum wage and related barriers put a finger on the scale though. Currently, very-low-skilled people are unemployable because the assorted costs of hiring them outweigh the expected benefits. In the future, will that extend to moderate skill levels? high? I don't think it'll cut off 100% of people before extinction and/or post-scarcity, but I could see the labor force dropping from about 50% of all people today to 10-20% even if AI remains a normal technology.

I'm not too surprised that a secure piece of software exists, or that it's only 6 MB zipped with more installations than there are humans on Earth and a 30-year history.

Why are you highlighting this anecdote so much?