@yestrusocialist's banner p

yestrusocialist


				

				

				
0 followers   follows 0 users  
joined 2023 July 03 10:31:57 UTC

				

User ID: 2545

yestrusocialist


				
				
				

				
0 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2023 July 03 10:31:57 UTC

					

No bio...


					

User ID: 2545

No, they are an indication tariffs are a net negative for currently existing publicly traded companies.

If every market participant believes there will be major creative destruction as not yet public companies replace existing public ones, stock prices will go down even while every participant believes this will be good for the world.

(Not a tariff defender, just think it's worth making explicit what market movements mean.)

Malaysia has.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mahathir_Mohamad

I have seen a theory that some of it was intended to create a (nonexistent) Jewish scapegoat for Malay ethnic mobs to distract them from (very real) Chinese and Indians they were currently targeting.

Similarly, "Black americans stop beating up Asians. Your real enemy is the Uzbeks."

Yes, it's all lies. Big mean Trump is fooling the innocent construction company and permit offices of NYC, all of whom are completely non-corrupt innocent idealists seeking only the best for everyone.

Back in reality, trump is a NYC real estate developer the same as all the others. Everyone involved knows the game. Trump didn't make the game this broken, NY politicians did. Trump has always been critical of them, and engaged in theatrics to expose them - e.g. writing a book, public clashes with Ed Koch over what later became Trump skating rink, etc. This is what led him to enter politics.

What would you have preferred he do? Be the only honest real estate developer and go bankrupt cause nothing gets built? (Similarly, I don't fault Soros for breaking the pound.)

In india it's never been a "rough cost" for me. It's an exact cost as a nice round and memorable figure - e.g. 80k rs. I have never been charged a rupee more than the quoted figure.

That's true if I get out 3 days early or complications make me stay an extra week or whatever. The hospital treats it as their job to amortize these costs over multiple patients because it is unreasonable to expect patients to predict and guess this stuff in advance. Also, in india, if they changed the price afterwards I just wouldn't pay and they'd be screwed.

India is complicated. If it happens in a developed area to middle class folks, you can generally expect the response that @KulakRevolt calls for when white people are the victims (unless politicians kids are the rapist, in which case it gets covered up).

High profile example: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012_Delhi_gang_rape_and_murder

All but the juvenile were either hanged or epsteined.

In many cases things will be handled extrajudicially. In a case I know about, the perpetrator of a crime that fell far short of rape was beaten nearly to death and put on a train back to his home village, told he'd be killed if he returned.

If it happens in some village, that's a whole different world and all kinds of things might happen: blame the victim, public lynching of perpetrators, forced marriage, wait for a sign from God...

Treating India as a single country is kind of a fallacy.

There is a free lunch here: the productive output of folks who prefer not to work and consume welfare instead.

They can do the jobs or starve. In either case the rest of us benefit.

The fake socialists like AOC have given up one of the key tenets of socialism: from each according to his means.

Note that you are citing a politician who is widely criticized for opposing the death penalty for rape due to concerns over false accusations. "Boys will be boys" is not a reasonable English translation of his comment, but Indian media is just as biased as western.

The median rapist in the US serves 4.2 years and US leftists think this is too long.

https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2019/03/how-much-time-do-criminals-really-serve.html

India has many issues, but it isn't Pakistan by a long shot - although UP (where Mulayam is from) is of course one of the more Pakistan-like places.

As it relates to recent discussions more relevant here: the Indians going to Britain and America are Tamil and Bengali Brahmins.

I want to replace our fake socialism/welfare state with real socialism where people contribute what they can.

The "weak" as you call them are not people incapable of producing value. They are just lazy wreckers who consume welfare and refuse to work. I want them to work for their dinner. This might be a net negative in EV - their consumption might exceed their production - but it's higher EV than having them sit around playing video games and doing drugs.

At least some of them have concrete - albeit quite small - policy proposals. An example is the "Idaho Project" which consists of getting the legal right to turn most of Idaho (i.e. all of it except Boise) into the white ethnostate. Idaho ex Boise is chosen because it is already like 97% white and 3% native American, and they don't seem to care much about the Native Americans.

I kind of support them. If they can turn Idaho into a white paradise, let them do it. I've never been to Idaho, I don't really have any plans to go, and don't see why anyone else should care either.

People who are skeptical of certain aspects and express that skepticism of the narrative (the beheaded babies) are screencapped and shared as 'the worst people'. Does this remind anyone of what happened to those who were simply skeptical of the narrative that American police were on some racist killing spree, and demanded to see harder evidence?

Can you link to this? I certainly haven't seen it. I have seen plenty of frog accounts expressing skepticism of the specific "beheading babies" narrative and basically no criticism of that skepticism. Of course most of the skepticism also comes with "what they filmed themselves doing is enough, kill them all regardless."

That's an important distinction between the current situation and BLM. Cops aren't going house by house, shooting old black ladies and rap music enjoyers, then posting videos of their deaths to their own facebook so their friends and relatives can watch. For the most part, bodycam footage shows Adam Toledo/Makia Bryant/Ricardo Munoz type situations of cops killing a criminal when interrupting a violent crime. So when you post bodycam footage and crime stats, you completely destroy the BLM narrative.

That's why the left attacks you for skepticism - it's all they can do. Making the case based on facts isn't really possible. In contrast, the right mostly attacks you for posting celebratory photos of Palestinian paragliders or saying that Israeli music enjoyers deserved it for being too close to Gaza.

https://nypost.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2023/10/Screen-Shot-2023-10-10-at-81118-PM.jpg

The highest position on the progressive totem pole is being Jewish, not black or trans.

I don't think this is true. For example, when black nationalists (not sure how better to describe Black Hebrew Israelites) murder 5 Jews in a terrorist attack, progressive sources just leave the ethnicity/photo/motives of the perpetrator out.

https://archive.ph/VyNhJ https://archive.ph/hqN5U#selection-1714.3-1724.0

When there is an increase in antisemitic attacks, there's a distinct lack of curiosity as to who is doing them - at most a brief mention that it's (surprisingly!) not white nationalists.

https://archive.ph/zL1P1 https://archive.ph/XOjPZ

You need to look on social media to find out who actually did it: https://www.facebook.com/assemblymandovhikind/videos/1899927243445157/

I think this guy was just exceptionally dumb for doing it literally 1-2 days later.

Here's my proposal for how to solve this, with a plan I am shamelessly stealing from Greg Abbot and Camp of the Saints.

Step 1, just start rounding up Palestinians and putting them on boats. Let them grab their possessions if they want to cooperate. These are nice, safe, clean boats with cameras everywhere to film all the food/medicine/clean water being provided. Maybe also Gaza is 100% blockaded and no food goes in, giving people an incentive to leave.

Step 2: the boats set sail to Iran. Egypt allows them to traverse Suez because...well keep reading.

Step 3: the unarmed boats full of refugees and cameras go directly to shore in Iran. They ignore warnings to stop. They let the Iranians inspect them for weapons. They land, tell everyone to get off, and repeat.

This puts Iran in the unenviable position of either a) having to martyr thousands of unarmed Palestinian refugees on camera or b) live with Palestinians. If Egypt doesn't let them through Suez, then Egypt can have the Palestinians.

What you guys think of this plan?

If you read your own link, you'll discover the reason Ford got lower priced workers is because they hired lower priced negros and minimized racial discrimination. As many right wing economists have noted, taste-based discrimination costs money and free markets penalize it.

One reason the (majority white) workers voted for unions was to reduce labor market competition by colored workers. This was a major motivator for many other pro-Union laws such as Davis Bacon and minimum wage.

https://www.archives.gov/publications/prologue/1997/summer/american-labor-movement.html

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Davis%E2%80%93Bacon_Act_of_1931

Of course, having on the market a rather large source of cheap labor depresses wages outside of that group, too–the wages of the white worker who has to compete. And when an employer can substitute a colored worker at a lower wage–and there are, as you pointed out, these hundreds of thousands looking for decent work–it affects the whole wage structure of an area, doesn’t it?

  • Senator John F. Kennedy of Massachusetts, 1957, after many colored workers moved to MA and started competing economically with his constituents

Did the white conservative protesters actually do anything?

Near as I can tell, the public's vague conception that they did is mostly based the lie - spread by the NYT - that protesters killed Brian Sicknick. That's why the left was so mad when Mitch McConnel released the tapes of Qanon Shaman wandering around peacefully and listening to cops telling him "don't go in there".

There's a 25% import tax on light trucks, which are 69% of the market and consist of basically anything bigger than a Toyota Camry. So as long as the unions steal 24% or less, it's not actually cheaper.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chicken_tax

https://www.autoweek.com/news/a1714156/light-trucks-take-record-69-us-market/

This is primarily caused by Obama era fuel efficiency rules, which hold big cars to unrealistic fuel efficiency standards but allow trucks to escape fuel efficiency standards by becoming larger. For obvious reasons unions have opposed attempts to fix these rules.

https://www.thedrive.com/news/small-cars-are-getting-huge-are-fuel-economy-regulations-to-blame

https://old.reddit.com/r/interestingasfuck/comments/kdkdx3/normal_truck_vs_american_truck/

Against whom? The Palestiniains? Sure. They wanted a war, they got one.

Against Iran? It doesn't seem any more an act of war than Mexico or other nations cooperating with illegal immigration to the US.

I already mentioned the most extreme method needed to do this:

Maybe also Gaza is 100% blockaded and no food goes in, giving people an incentive to leave.

And when the bottleneck goes the other way companies can push down wages and so on. It's just swings and roundabouts.

When a union refuses to work unless excess pay is provided, men with guns will harm the employer if they seek alternate arrangements with willing third parties.

When an employer refuses to pay enough to employees, nothing happens if the employee seeks alternative arrangements with willing third parties.

This is not an emergent process. It's explicit coercive action by the government to favor one side over the other.

Or you need 100 boats with 1000 person capacity if each one takes 10 trips. I'm shocked at your suggestion that the Palestinians are a bunch of terrorists, rather than innocent victims of Israeli oppression!

Who is paying for this, and in charge? Israel?

As I see it, Israel + USA.

Someone will have to take responsibility for the Iran destination, and that will prove quite contentious.

USA and Israel can certainly provide tons of Israeli/American flag branded food/water/etc, which Iran can distribute as they see fit.

Someone will have to take responsibility for the Iran destination, and that will prove quite contentious. Iran can reasonably blockade and/or refuse port.

Yes, Iran certainly does have the ability to shoot guns at boats full of Palestinian refugees while the cameras broadcast videos of innocent women and children dying to the world. How is showing Iran to be bloodthirsty killers of Arabs and getting rid of Palestinians not a huge win for Israel?

Iran could commandeer the ships and park them at the Port Authority of NY/NJ.

Getting from the Meditterranean to the Persian Gulf is a far simpler logistical problem than Persian Gulf to America, and Iran is far less capable of logistics than Israel or the US.

Why vote to pay union dues for no benefit?

I was responding to this. They voted for unionization due to benefits they hoped to achieve for white workers, at the expense of black ones.

As noted in the article, the higher pay for black workers also reflects that Ford was greedy where others were racist.

That's the whole point of unionization - letting some workers get a great gig at the expense of others.

HELOCs are a thing that let you turn home equity into actual cash.

If a typical American believes their eyes over the economists and focuses on housing, they will view inflation as being close to zero.

Typical situation: not moving this year.

If you aren't moving, rent increases for lease renewals are generally much smaller than rent increases for new tenants. (See Zillow Rent index = asking rent for stuff on the market, vs CPI Rent which is what people who take a survey actually pay.) If you are a homeowner and have a mortgage the only thing that is going up is either home insurance or property tax (which often gets rolled in, i.e. my mortgage bill is actually principal + interest + escrow to cover property tax/home insurance), which is at most 1/3 of the total.

People see this, they feel trapped and frustrated by it

The illiquidity of the market is unfortunate. People made an interest rate bet and won a lot of money. Consider a mortgage with 25 years of $2000/month payments (principal+interest) - this was worth $446k to the bank at a 2.5% discount rate (i.e. 0% interest + 2.5% to cover default probability) but if the bank sold it today they'll get $284k (assuming 4.5% interest + 2.5% to cover default = 7%). The homeowner is richer by $162k in NPV!

But it is unfortunate that this $162k comes with a lot of hassle - namely they can only realize it slowly over time by holding onto a specific piece of real estate. A regulatory fix I'd propose: if a mortgage holder sells the loan the debtor gets a 30 day call option at the sale price + $1k.

Israel can of course do the same thing that African migrants to Europe are doing: ensure that by the time the Palestinians are 11.9 miles from Iran, they are in boats capable of traveling only 30 miles (i.e. not enough to cross the gulf to reach Saudi Arabia).

The Iranians can shoot them out of the sea, let them land on the beach, or even render assistance.

Kind of strange how Europe is incapable of turning back migrants, but sending migrants to Iran is of course impossible.

Greg Abbott is seeing success with his immigration policy because the people he’s bussing more or less by definition want to go somewhere

I already addressed this point. The Palestinians want to get on the boat and go to Iran because there's food in Iran, and none in Gaza.