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MadMonzer

Temporarily embarassed liberal elite

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joined 2022 September 06 23:45:01 UTC

				

User ID: 896

MadMonzer

Temporarily embarassed liberal elite

2 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 06 23:45:01 UTC

					

No bio...


					

User ID: 896

In so far as there was a real attempt at British nation-building after 1603, it was mostly based on anti-Catholicism in general and anti-Frenchness in particular. Hence the difficulty of including Ireland.

Empire-building as a national project was an example of civic nationalism, not ethno-nationalism. Upward mobility was always (in theory) and frequently (in practice) open to colonials who displayed the characteristics of an English or Scottish gentleman, starting with loyalty to the Crown and not being Catholic. No ethno-nationalistic society would have elected Benjamin Disraeli Prime Minister.

When did Catholic-Protestant intermarriage become socially acceptable in America? You cant combine Anglos and Italians into a single "white American" ethnicity without it.

Germany coalesces as a stateless (because the Holy Roman Empire is both over-inclusive and not really a state) nation surprisingly early - certainly before 1600, and in my read by 1400. (The academic politics of the University of Prague - now Charles University - up to and including the Hussite crisis make most sense understood as a conflict between Germans and Czechs as national groups). Post-Reformation, there is an issue to resolve about whether the German nation is Lutheran (with Catholic Austria excluded) or biconfessional, but nothing as fundamental as the Breton and Occitan issues in France.

Despite being a state, France coalesces as a nation later than Germany. Perhaps because of being a state - from the point of view of a feudal dynastic monarch national identity among your subjects is potentially awkward.

Bezos was already rich by normal-person standards after four years at DE Shaw, during which he was promoted unusually rapidly so was presumably a high performer. (Incidentally, I think this answers the question about where Bezos Sr got the $600k from - a lot of it was Jeff's own money but in the 1990's startup culture daddy was a better story).

At least two - Germany and Switzerland. (You may have meant only one country in the EU). Belgium and Spain are marginal cases - they don't use the word but they are probably federal in substance - definitely the top-tier subunits have executive, legislative and at least some judicial power entrenched in the constitution.

The UK and USA are both explicitly not nation-states from their foundings - that is why they have "United" in their names. (FWIW, Belgium doesn't work as a nation-state either and the Flemish-speaking Belgians who talk like it is one are somewhat ambivalent about including French-speaking Belgians in their project)

You can have a concept of Britishness as a civic identity shared by a closed class of English, Scottish, Welsh and Irish (or Northern Irish) people, although there isn't an attempt to actually do that until modern right-populist movements, and it goes down like a lead balloon with the Scottish and Welsh. But the idea that an Englishman and a Scot are part of the same blood-and-soil folk community is offensive to both of us.

The US just is a nation of immigrants as a matter of historical fact. The de facto leader of the anti-immigration movement in American is the grandson and husband of immigrants.

I use a similar definition - fascism is totalitarian socialism with right-wing aesthetics. (As opposed to communism, which is totalitarian socialism with left-wing aesthetics).

Incidentally, although Singapore is a long way off being totalitarian socialism with neoliberal aesthetics, it is proof of concept that it would be possible.

This is in the context where the US government has accepted a (probably below-market) premium for quasi-commercial insurance. Sending Xi an invoice would be the US ratting out on an obligation it voluntarily accepted as a gutsy move just a few weeks prior.

There are a lot fewer stories of the Gilded Age billionaires being personally depraved than there would be for an equivalently-sized group of medieval aristocrats whose escapades were equivalently well-documented. "Robber baron" refers to business practices that were and are considered evil by leftists, but in many cases are still SOP today.

They really were better people than most elites through history. I suspect they were better people than most modern-day billionaires, although it is hard to tell because modern-day celebrities are so well-documented that you hear about every minor extramarital affair, which would not have been the case back in the Gilded Age.

Particularly if they were headed for China. "US taxpayer spends billions bailing out the Chinese because of Trump's unnecessary war" is a very easy message to demagogue.

Yep - this only makes sense if the US can protect shipping, which is unlikely given what we know about the relevant technology (note that based on experiences in Ukraine, the main threat is now land-based drones). It may even only make sense if the US can selectively protect US-insured shipping.

Of course, it not making sense doesn't guarantee Trump won't do it.

The market is apparently clearing again, after a morning where you couldn't buy insurance for shipping through the Straits of Hormuz at any price. The cost is about 3% of the sum insured for a 1-way passage*, an order of magnitude higher than the pre-war price. I suspect that is low enough that ships will start moving again, and we won't see Trumpsurance materialise. Nobody is going to be sailing into a war zone based on a Truth Social post, so until Trumpsurance is at least an executive order it isn't going to affect the facts on the ground.

If I was Trump, I would structure the offer as cheap reinsurance to Berkshire Hathaway (who are the only US insurer sophisticated enough to compete with Lloyds of London) allowing them to undercut the London marine insurance market for primary insurance - a low probability of success but cheap and high-reward attempt to move commercial insurance business from London to the US. Using Berkshire as an intermediary also avoids the "would you buy insurance from a man like Donald Trump?" problem - Buffett's integrity is unquestionable, as is Ajit Jain's (and presumably Greg Abel's, though I don't know enough about him).

* Cargo is usually worth more than the ship, so insuring a VLCC for a round trip is going to be ~5% of the value of the oil

I was thinking actual rich people, not just the upper-middle-class. Not necessarily billionaires, but biglaw partners, VP-level corporate executives, bank MDs. Also prominent politicians, who have a similar level of status as the above even if they only have upper-middle-class incomes.

I don't have any visibility into what kind of second wife a multi-millionaire small business owner in the sticks would go for.

FWIW, the divorced and remarried doctors in my social circle all remarried nurses.

Very much agreed - lore when I was a teenager considering careers was that doctors had some of the highest divorce rates as a result. (No idea if this was or is correct or not)

But the same is true of any other high-earning upper-middle-class career, apart from the life-or-death aspect. The thing that is different about doctors that makes marrying a doctor a meme is their visibility. I suspect marrying a doctor really is the easiest route for a lower-middle-class woman to enter the upper-middle-class.

Not the second time, either.

The typical trophy second wife is either a PR girl or some kind of art ho (like Lauren Sanchez Bezos)

On the flip side, medicine is unusually legible to marriage-minded women who are into that kind of thing as a high-potential career track. There is a reason why <culture X> mother jokes involve the daughter marrying a doctor.

You could probably use "What fraction of lower-middle class women want to be a doctor's wife?" as a measure of family-orientation across ethnic groups.

Nicaragua.

The Blue tribe is the Jews. To be more precise, the Blue Tribe is the Anglo-Jewish culture that appears when not-Orthodox PMC Jews and PMC WASPS start working at the same banks/law firms etc. and joining the same golf clubs.

I think the canonical Judeo-Hapa text is Battle Hymn of the Tiger Mother.

The precise date of that invention is controversial. My understanding is that "at the dawn of civilisation" is the late estimate.

"If you're not getting laid, you're not praying hard enough" is a message that gets applied by cucked pastors to married sex as well as premarital sex.

Yes - the Arabs rejected a UN-backed partition plan, invaded Palestine, and lost. During the war the Arab population of the contested territory left/was driven out, with more than enough blame to go round. Some of what the Israelis did probably counts as ethnic cleansing. But that was the norm pre-1945 - if you start a war and lose, you are SOL. If you win a just war, you are allowed to keep the spoils. Nobody complains about the ethnic cleansing of Germans at the end of WW2.

After WW2, there are a bunch of humanitarian treaties which establish the principle that it is no longer acceptable to move ethnic groups around by force. But these were agreed with the understanding that they were not retroactive - the German cleansings or the various ethnic cleansings associated with Indian Partition were recognised as irreversible. By 1950 it is expected that decolorisations will happen without ethnic cleansing. By the time of the Six Day War in 1967 it is absolutely clear that Israel isn't allowed to ethnically cleanse its new territory, so they don't.

The inane arguments about the morality of the Nabka seem to me to boil down to whether it should be judged under WW2-era or post-WW2 standards. Or to put into lawyerspeak, the Israelis are right on the edge of the statute of limitations for ethnic cleansings.

The problem is that the opposite is true from a domestic perspective. "Iran" is the endonym of the various Persian empires, whereas "Persia" is the region (and "Persian" the tribe) from which the Achaemenid and Sassanid dynasties originated.

If a historical quirk meant that the rest of the world called England "Plantagenetia" after the historical dynasty, asking them to use an endonym would be sufficiently popular domestically that we would do it even if it hurt our soft power.

The USA, with the Nicaraguan Contras as a group analogous to Hezbollah. The USSR, with the IRA, ETA, PLO, etc. etc. ad nauseam as groups analogous to Hezbollah.

Doubt was enough, because it is difficult to prove a negative.

On the Iraqi nuclear programme (as opposed to chemical weapons, which were deliberately conflated with nukes under the WMD label) there was never any real doubt that the programme had made very little progress and had been dismantled after the first Gulf War - the Bush administration just lied.