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Notes -
Pence chose a losing team when choosing sides in the post-2020 Republican coalition leadership struggle. Vance recanted for reasons that align with the coalition Trump needs for him to have a longer term. Trump's children do not make up a meaningful part of the electorate, or have narrative sway within them.
Pence's denunciations of Trump ultimately resolve that in the post-Jan 6 fallout, where he (like many people) thought Trump was doomed, and he had personal and professional incentives to distance himself and low-key cooperate with the Democrat/Never-Trump Republican alliance that was lead in part by Liz Cheney, who at the time was one of the most senior Republican Party officials and attempting to lead a Republican establishment re-takeover of the Republican party apparatus that Trump disrupted. She lost- so badly that she was functionally ejected from the party- but for Pence, in cutting himself from Trump to attach to the never-Trump wing, when they sank so did he.
Vance's alignment fits with the coalition-narrative Trump needs, which is for people who may have been moved by, but since rejected, the Demcoratic-media's accusations. Trump can't win with only ever-true-believers, nor has he ever been the sort of person who never forgave opposition, and so the disloyalty argument doesn't really hold: Vance never claimed to follow Trump and then betray him. Vance's narrative is closer to conversion, of change of belief the likes of which Trump needs from others, and in any such metaphor you can't grow if you don't accept converts. That Vance isn't as free-wheeling is irrelevant- neither was Pence, and yet Pence served his role in the first coalition. No one judges Trump on the basis of whether he was consistent with his Vice President or not.
Trump's children provide no coalition-building narrative. Your argument that they are more loyal in the long-term is irrelevant if there is no long-term for lack of a broad enough coalition to win, and people who want to join the coalition for Trumpiness already have Trump as a reason to vote for the ticket. If they wouldn't vote for Trump unless it was Trump and a dynastic VP, they were never a meaningful Trump vote in the first place.
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