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Culture War Roundup for the week of August 12, 2024

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Very small thing I saw today. The claim is that people are not really moving out of NY/CA/WA/DC because of housing, presumably trying to implicitly support the general zeitgeist that there's nothing wrong with extremely restrictive housing policies. Instead, it's just jobs being in different locations that is causing people to move.

...like, sure, jobs are probably always going to be a major factor, if not the major factor, but I couldn't help looking at their chart and think that their category selection is just bad. To my eye, it looks like 'For cheaper housing', 'Other housing reason', 'Wanted new or better housing', 'To establish own household', and 'Wanted to own home, not rent' are all categories that are basically subcategories of "Housing". Much more minor, I could potentially see an argument for 'For easier commute', 'Wanted a better neighborhood', and 'Foreclosure or eviction' being lumped into a general "Housing" category.

Of course, I would also think that 'Other job-related reason' and 'To look for work or lost job' could potentially be lumped in a more general "Jobs" category, and eyeballing the chart, I think a general "Jobs" category would still beat out a general "Housing" category. I think this is probably right, and jobs are probably still a stronger driver than housing, but I can't help but think if we rolled these larger categories together, the visual impact of the chart would be much different. It would be "Jobs" and "Housing" as the two absolutely dominant categories, with "Housing" not looking as far behind "Jobs" as it does here.

That's absolutely wild that someone could look at a chart where reasons 3 through 6 are directly stated as housing and slap a label on that says "few cite cheaper housing" as though they've made a serious point. There are basically three reasons on the whole chart - jobs, housing, and family. Surely the poster is just an amateur shitpoaster though, right?

@AzizSunderji

Analyzing American housing at http://home-economics.us

14 years of Strategy Research at Barclays Investment Bank (credit/macro/EM).

OK, seriously, how do "experts" keep being experts in absolutely nothing?

I'm trying not to be overly negative and cynical, but there will always be funding available for anyone with credentials to tell people in power what they want to hear.