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Culture War Roundup for the week of November 4, 2024

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So, what's the deal with Fluoride in the water anyway?

According to this tweet by Marc Andreesen, a U.S. government review has concluded that Fluoride in the drinking water lowers IQ's in kids. The literature reviewed suggests that high levels of exposure reduce IQ's by 2 to 5 points.

If so, this would absolutely dominate any conceivable benefit from putting the stuff in the drinking water.

And it also seems largely unnecessary given that fluoridated toothpastes and mouthwash exist. Drinking the stuff is an incredibly poor intervention compared to, you know, actually applying it directly to our teeth.

Assuming Anddreesen's tweet is true (which I assume by default given his status as a top venture fund leader), this is absolutely scandalous.

I seem to be getting into a bit of a rut with my comments here (I guess I'm frustrated when people display certainty in something that I think is unfounded), but why would a venture fund leader have some premium access to the capital T truth that others do not?

Does your assessment of his accuracy change if, for example, you knew that he had spent 1 minute looking into the issue versus an hour?

Nothing about his tweet implies he looked into this issue in any depth. Maybe there ARE significant benefits that would outweigh the supposed drop in IQ. Maybe other studies found no such IQ drop at all. I have no idea whether this is true, but it seems like an error to dismiss all such claims as completely improbable right off the bat.

I'm not saying it's certainly wrong or a lie or whatever, but taking action based off this tweet seems rather premature

Edit: the report says that fluoride at DOUBLE the recommended limit had this effect. Is it really a scandal that a chemical provided above the recommendations set by health agencies would cause health problems?

Yeah, I believe him more than I do a random kook. He's proven to be intelligent and has a reputation to protect.

Obviously, this doesn't mean that he has access to special sources of truth, or that the government report he linked to is correct. But it does mean that the substance of the tweet is true namely 1) That there actually is a government report and 2) That is shows fluoride leading to a decline in IQs.

the report says that fluoride at DOUBLE the recommended limit had this effect. Is it really a scandal that a chemical provided above the recommendations set by health agencies would cause health problems?

Yes, this is a huge scandal. 1.5ppm, while more than twice the recommended level, is only 40% of the EPA limit.

0.7 = CDC recommendation for dental health

1.5 = Causes lower IQ's

4.0 = EPA limit

So a level of 1.5 is still well below the EPA limit. This could be a crisis on the level of lead paint and leaded gasoline. Imagine if we were putting lead in the water to prevent cavities, and then just assuming that the amount delivered to the consumer was the perfect amount to prevent cavities without causing negative effects. That's seemingly what we are doing here with fluoride.

Doesn't the actual article imply that this could only possibly effect 0.6% of water systems in the US? And even then only to children and pregnant women. And even then the cause is not government addition of fluoride, but rather government failure to remove fluoride below the separately arrived at EPA number?

If 1.5 ppm causes 2-5 points of IQ loss, how much does 0.7 ppm cause?

On the other hand, the benefits of fluoridation appear to be a (poorly studied) 30% reduction in cavities. That seems... minor. Especially given that fluoridated toothpaste exists which would appear to confer all the benefits with none of the downsides.

If 1.5ppm causes 2-5 points of IQ loss, how much does 1000ppm in toothpaste cause?

You're claiming this is a huge scandal on the level of leaded gasoline. Given what the report found, that seems hysterical.

2-5 IQ points are very important. Getting fluoride via toothpaste is superior solution.