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Thanks for writing this. I found it accessible, despite being fairly weak on stats (though I do remember what a beta distribution is).

Your piece has a vibe of a warning for young rationalists that goes something like, "Beware, for not all who claim to be skeptics are ones." Would you say this is a correct interpretation?

"Beware, for not all who claim to be skeptics are ones."

Yes. Many people who claim to be skeptics actually are being skeptical in many claims, but the point of calling yourself "skeptic" is that you are being skeptical in all of them (or close to 100%). You can't call yourself a "peaceful" person if there are enough times you've reacted violently.