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Small-Scale Question Sunday for March 23, 2025

Do you have a dumb question that you're kind of embarrassed to ask in the main thread? Is there something you're just not sure about?

This is your opportunity to ask questions. No question too simple or too silly.

Culture war topics are accepted, and proposals for a better intro post are appreciated.

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I'm going to buy a house in Southern California (LA area) sometime in the next 3 years. I'd like to time the market a bit, and I'm wondering if anyone has any insights to what housing prices might look like in the Trump admin?

My naive analysis is that prices will trend downward for a couple of reasons:

  1. if immigration goes down then there will be more supply and prices will go down,
  2. interest rates have gone up recently, and that drives house prices down, and the market is still catching up to this trend (I'm more concerned about the overall price than the monthly payment for various reasons).

I'm going to buy a house in Southern California (LA area) sometime in the next 3 years.

If you're purchasing a house outside the city, my first concern would be wildfire risk.

That's a good point, thanks. I'm guessing that insurance costs are up, and it'll be hard to get a reliable quote before actually purchasing.