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McCormick would have cleaned up in the suburbs and with independents, both groups Oz somehow managed to lose against a socialist loser with heart problems. McCormick codes as a business conservative in places that used to only elect business conservatives like the Philly collar counties. He would especially have had an easy time riding to victory over the brain dead if Lou Barletta were at the top of the ticket instead of Mastriano, who acted like an anchor, dragging the entire state party down with him.
McCormick may well still end up a Pennsylvania Senator. There's a lot of interest in having him run for Bob Casey's seat, although Casey is a tougher nut to crack than Fetterman was.
What polling or primary results support these claims?
Your claim is McCormick would do better than Oz in suburbs and independents except Oz polled ahead of him with those groups and did better with one them in the GOP primary. McCormick's demo was foxnews boomers who did vote for Oz in the general. Oz got killed not because of indep or suburbs, but because no working class people showed up to vote for him. This is why I think McCormick would have done even worse.
If you're losing to someone who is obviously brain damaged, candidate quality isn't what mattered.
an anchor tied around his foot put their by the PA GOP and RNCC
if this was the first election the PA GOP underperformed, maybe this argument would be stronger, but this is now the 3rd election where the PA GOP has failed miserably, they did nothing at all to address the election process failures of 2020 (not to mention the long history of fraud in PA), and this is the result
it's convenient for the people who have been failing in PA for a while to blame the newest batch of outsiders, but it looks little more than a just-so story to avoid blame yet again
the PA GOP "get out the vote" program is nothing more than Donald Trump and without him the GOP fails miserably in the keystone state (not to mention they sit by and do nothing at all as fraud runs rampant, see The Parallel Election by Stenstrom)
1.3 million people voted in the Republican primary, 5.3 million people voted in the general. Primary results don't mean much for the general, otherwise Mastriano wouldn't have gotten blown out everywhere.
What's convenient is that, every time a horrid, worthless candidate gets pushed over the primary top by the Orangenfuhrer, their loss is always excusable by something. Even if those losses are totally discordant with how other elections in the state went, like Oz and Mastriano running hundreds of thousands of votes behind the GOP House candidates in PA, or how the AZ GOP Treasurer obliterated their Democratic opponent. There's always some excuse.
Also, Trump's 2016 'get out the vote program' in PA...received fewer votes in PA than Obama, both times.
this is only a claim there is room for something to change, not that it would change in your counterfactual
did you look at working class/urban/suburban/college educated breakdown differences between the primary and general?
it doesn't support what you're claiming
pot meet kettle
what's convenient is that every time a non-status quo dork runs for political office and wins a contested primary and is then attacked and undermined by the status quo dorks from the party they allegedly share, there is a coordinated shock campaign to push a narrative that the reason for X bad thing is this new non-status quo dork and definitely not because of systemic failure and behavior of the status quo dorks in the first place
heads I win, tails you lose; your trying to paint others as always coming up with excuses given the history of behavior and results for the PA GOP (and natl GOP) is just ridiculous
trump bad isn't an interesting discussion, so I'll just end this here
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