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Notes -
Yah all the Asians who vote conservative are immigrants from the old country- as they die off and immigration flows decline due to Asian nations experiencing population decline you should expect higher levels of Asians to vote Democrat.
I’m not sure that’s actually true- Vietnamese are split 50-50, but I’m pretty sure less than 50% are actually from the old country.
I think there’s pretty hard caps on how high the GOP vote can go among Asians. I don’t think we’re quite there yet and I think that age is probably not a major factor in it.
By the way, if I had to pick a minority group that I expected to swing republican in a big way in the next few cycles, it’d be Muslim Americans. Conspiracy theories about creeping sharia have mostly played out, they’re disproportionately kulaks, and they probably tend socially conservative on average.
84% of Vietnamese over 18 were born overseas according to PEW in 2012. Couldn’t find any newer figures for 18+ but in 2021 62% of all Vietnamese were foreign born and the average US born Vietnamese is 17 years and thus can’t vote, which leads me to believe at least 70% of Vietnamese voters are foreign born.
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