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So, yeah, that's a serious difference from your examples of Japan and Germany. Japan and Germany did actually dislike getting kicked in the balls enough to stop, and the Japanese did believe it enough to stop their radicals (Japanese holdouts, random people armed with swords who wanted the country to go a different direction) from inflicting damage on society.
If the Palestinians can't do that, then the permanent solution is just going to be options one or two, if anyone ever hates the state of affairs enough to commit them. The Germans and Japanese had to come to the table to be "tamed".
Japan and Germany were centralized states. The centralization that made it coherent to talk about Japan or Germany surrendering was what allowed Japan to quash the holdouts, and that lack of coherence is what makes it difficult to imagine a Hamas instrument of surrender.
Has there ever been an insurgency quelled by immiserating the population? Successful counterinsurgency campaigns I can think of usually revolve around convincing the citizens that they are better off the supporting the state than the insurgents. A little hard to do that when the citizens blame the state for starving them.
Some of Rome's "counterinsurgency campaigns" against rebellions come to mind — most immediately the Bar Kokhba revolt:
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The famous ending of the Third Servile War comes to mind as well.
And then, of course, there's the sort of things the Assyrians did, like with Ashurnasirpal II.
Martin Van Creveld argued that there's basically two ways to successfully pursue counterinsurgency:
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In short, you can be slow, disciplined, and restrained; or you can be swift, ruthless, and utterly brutal; and the problem is that too many try to do something somewhere in between.
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