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Culture War Roundup for the week of July 28, 2025

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So maybe because I've worked in public health this is not particularly bothersome. We already trade off deaths vs other values. Increased speed limits leads to economic gain but more deaths. Another hospital in an urban area will save more lives than funding one in a rural area. Deaths simply are a trade off at a population level. People here argued we should have allowed more Covid deaths in older populations in order to preserve the economy and rights of free movement et al.

Having said that, from the point of view of vaccines, they have two purposes, protect the individual who takes the vaccine and try to achieve herd immunity (or at least reduced spread). Black communities were among those worst at taking up the vaccine (for a few reasons). With increased obesity and other health conditions, even low risk black age groups are at higher risk than similar white (or asian) age groups.

"In people 65 years and older, Blacks are nearly 5 times more likely to die of COVID-19 than Whites. This increased risk of COVID-19 mortality in Blacks is even worse in younger populations—up to a 10-times greater risk in adults 35 to 64 years old. In fact, younger Blacks are dying from COVID-19 at a rate greater than older Whites. For example, Blacks 55 to 64 years old are dying from COVID-19 at rate two-times greater than Whites a decade older."

So their community is less likely to have protective levels of vaccination, more likely to get sicker than an equivalent white person and more likely to die. They're also disproportionately more likely to work in a customer service or retail role and therefore get exposed. Are you sure that it would be the wrong decision to push more vaccines that way, even if all we were looking at was deaths prevented?

If ethnicity impacts outcomes then logically it should be at least a factor when looking at policy. How much of a factor depends on what you're trying to achieve.

So maybe because I've worked in public health this is not particularly bothersome.

I considered it for a time, but was put off by many prevailing attitudes. I regret that now; I should've went into the field to try and counterweight the worst of those attitudes. I didn't and don't have the thirst for attention to do so, though.

Are you sure that it would be the wrong decision to push more vaccines that way, even if all we were looking at was deaths prevented?

This would be one of those times where how you discuss a problem is incredibly relevant even if the downstream effects are approximately the same, and I should've quoted the offensiveness instead of leaving it (for once!) unquoted.

So I would like to say you have convinced me there is a way that the different prioritization is actually defensible. I can see why one might, especially early on, distribute vaccines in a racially biased manner. As is so often the case, the pseudonymous rando is a much better advocate for a given cause than the credentialed experts cited in the Paper of Record.

Unfortunately, that is not the way the credentialed experts in the Paper of Record described it and so, I present the source of my everlasting hatred for them:

Harald Schmidt, an expert in ethics and health policy at the University of Pennsylvania, said that it is reasonable to put essential workers ahead of older adults, given their risks, and that they are disproportionately minorities. “Older populations are whiter, ” Dr. Schmidt said. “Society is structured in a way that enables them to live longer. Instead of giving additional health benefits to those who already had more of them, we can start to level the playing field a bit.”

What a putrid soul it must take to think and speak that way.

Marc Lipsitch, an infectious-disease epidemiologist at Harvard’s T.H. Chan School of Public Health, argued that teachers should not be included as essential workers, if a central goal of the committee is to reduce health inequities.

“Teachers have middle-class salaries, are very often white, and they have college degrees,” he said.

Their goal is, as they stated themselves, not to save lives. It is to "reduce health equities." In the way of that equity cartoon, you can hand the short man a ladder or machete the tall man at the knees. Their choice is to machete the tall man at the knees, and for that they should be condemned. They are the primary reason I have an immediate and vehement distrust of anyone using the phrase "health equity."

I see no viable defense and, frankly, have no interest in a defense of such people, any more than I would have interest in a defense of King Leopold's actions in the Congo. For better and worse, people rarely receive the fate they deserve.

For what it's worth, the article taken as a whole is interesting, and the author was clearly deliberate in positioning the back and forth of good argumentation versus abject horrors.

we can start to level the playing field a bit.”

So obviously you feel strongly about it and I don't want to rile you up. But I don't see too much objectionable here. Levelling the playing field is about taking into account the differences here. He even says it, the white populations are healthier so they live longer, so if you just take into account age, you will miss out on morbidity increasing factors which in the United States are drawn heavily along racial lines because your underclass is heavily skewed black. Likewise with teachers, middle class white people with degrees are likely to suffer from fewer health issues than non-middle class, non white, non degree holders. All of this appears to be factual information.

I think that equity phrase/cartoon is hijacking your perception a little here. The equity cartoon isn't a one to one description of how equity would work in the real world when carried out by real people, nor do people always mean the same thing when they say equity. The actual positions they were advocating are nowhere similar to taking a machete to a tall person. They are actually advocating for something closer to the original equality cartoon, with vaccines instead of boxes. The tall people are still going to be tall. The healthier groups are still going to be healthier, they would have to be making the healthier group intrinsically less healthy in the name of equity for the machete to apply. Like putting immuno-suppressants in the water, so that the death rates were equalized with the worse off populations or something by making them worse (a al Harrison Bergeron).

Rather than giving something to the worse off populations to reduce their death rates to similar to the taller population. That's the definition of the ladder analogy really. They advocate to make the short person taller (healthier) rather than make the tall person shorter (unhealthier). The latter would be equity as described by the (I agree) objectionable cartoon. If they were recommending making white people more vulnerable to the disease, so that they died in rough equity with black people, I completely agree that would be very objectionable! That would be taking a machete to the legs of the tall. But that's not the recommendation they are making. The vaccine is the boxes or ladders. If you didn't give them to anybody, the tall person would still be tall and the short person would still be short.

Which isn't to say they don't have objectionable views in general, or that they are definitely correct. I'd want to take a much deeper dive into specific proposals and trade offs, and confirm numbers and the like, but I don't think they show much sign of being outright evil monsters. At worst they believe the boxes version of equity, while you believe the machete version of equity.

Note: The Equality vs Equity cartoon a woke person is likely to point to doesn't involve any machetes at all. It just shows shifting one box from the tall man (equality) to the short man (equity) so the short man has two and the tall man has zero. But I've gone with the (more critical of equity) version you describe to keep the analogy rolling along.

https://pressbooks.openedmb.ca/app/uploads/sites/52/2023/01/image1.jpeg

That's one way of putting it, but another way of putting it is that such a distribution is effectively punishing white people for being too healthy.

Essentially, "you're not dying enough, so you can't have a vaccine". The underlying problem that the machete version of the cartoon is trying to point out is that attempting to compensate for different base health by race is in practice going to mean depriving people from healthier groups of care that they would receive in a colour-blind society, until and unless they start dying at an equitable rate.

Absolutely. And that is a reasonable critique of the position. Especially if you pointed out significant parts of the poor health is behavioural! I'm not saying they are correct, I am saying its a reasonable non evil position to hold. With scarce resources some people are not going to be treated. But note that is also the basic decision we came to with age. Younger people had to wait to get vaccinated. So were we punishing young people for being too healthy? Or is it simply the pragmatic choice to try and equalize death rates between different age groups? We did deprive young people of care they would have got in an age blind society then presumably. Is that ok but race skewing isn't? Or are neither ok?

Like I said in the other thread its not just about race, its also age, and class and job role. Should you vaccinate a farmer or a barista? The farmer is likely to be more important to food security, but a barista is likely to be exposed to and expose many more people. Depending on your goals/priorities you can make a reasonable case for either.

I'm not saying they are correct, I am saying its a reasonable non evil position to hold.

Ah, apologies.

I personally think that the position’s semi-evilness comes from its reasonableness. It’s a perfectly reasonable chain of thought that ends up denying white people care because they aren’t yet dying in sufficient quantities.

Broadly I would say that the case of old versus young was so stark that it was ok to deprioritise them. And in general one is normally able to avoid such problems by having sufficient manufactured medicine.

But in general when things like this come up, I think that it is best to avoid temptation by not discriminating, to the extent possible.

Sure like I say, by the numbers they might be wrong. But presumably that means you accept the principle that if say 25yo black Americans were dying at the same rate as 85yo white people from Covid then it might have been reasonable at the outset to reserve vaccines for white people over 65 and black people over 25, befoe you start expanding it to white people 45 and so on. That if the difference was as stark as age turned out to be, that their argument would have been justified.

Which means i think its hard to call it evil. At least for me. But thats value not fact dependent, so certainly arguable.

Sort of. Broadly, I believe that young people weren’t in serious danger so depriving them of the vaccine for a while was fine. Rather, young people weren’t being deprived per se. Whereas your white guy over 45 was still in some need of a vaccine and depriving them is therefore a problem.

If the disparity was massive enough I imagine I’d bite that bullet and give the vaccines to the young black people first out of obvious necessity.

My understanding is that the disparities weren’t that wide and that in the cultural moment professionals were sort of overjoyed to find a reason to demonstrate their anti-racist credentials by giving black people preference in a matter of life and death. Which obviously affects my perception.

Sure, the disparities were not that wide (as far as I know). But do note the article is from before there was a vaccine at all, as they were discussing how it should be allocated when they had them, so reasonably early on.

Having said that if you actually read the paper and not the media phrasing even Dr Schmidts final recommendation was fairly anodyne. Prioritize healthcare workers and then essential workers who are likely to spread to multiple people (so a retail worker who has to come into contact with lots of people each day over say a farmer). In the end he didn't actually recommend that it be decided by race at all. Just worker type. He just talked about it being a factor to consider in his paper, which is the bit he was then asked to comment on for the article, or the article only published his quotes on that section perhaps.

The media version of X may not really represent X very well in actuality.

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