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Culture War Roundup for the week of January 2, 2023

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I don't think I've seen the claim that having covid now will greatly increase your chance of dying over the next decade expressed anywhere.

Long covid basically occupies this place. And frankly if the vaccines have long term health risks it seems quite likely that covid also does because a lot of the immune related effects will be similar. There is some outside risk of other types of effects but honestly this always comes off as a kind of doomer wishful thinking more concerned about getting to say I told you so than millions/billions of deaths and I find it pretty grotesques.

And frankly if the vaccines have long term health risks it seems quite likely that covid also does because a lot of the immune related effects will be similar

This is kind of what I'm thinking. Anything you could say about the risks of a vaccine would be the same but much greater for COVID itself, regardless of cause.

Certainly not. There are a variety of reasons COVID could be less dangerous to you than the vaccine, including

  1. Infection via the lungs rather than muscular injection. Different cells affected; could have many downstream effects

  2. Spike load and d/dt of spike load; the vaccine is going to cause a much sharper rise

  3. Stabilized spike used in vaccine

  4. Wuhan strain spike used in vaccine