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Notes -
I know a lot of people — including plenty on the Right — who would deny it, because they'd argue that the United States is its form of government. "Proposition nation" and all that. America is the Constitution; America is the ideals of the Founding Fathers. Wherever those ideals exist, there is America. Whoever believes in those ideals, they are the American People. If maintaining "all procedures and checks and balances" means economic collapse, so be it. If it means entire replacing the "legacy" population with a newly imported one, so be it. If the system of government is at odds with the people living under it, then too bad for the people. The Constitution cannot fail, it can only be failed. "America" the ideal is perfect (some even argue the Founders were divinely-inspired when they wrote the Constitution).
Whether you think "America is the Constitution" or not, that the US is the Constitution is obvious - the United States of America is literally a legal person created by the Constitution, and the natural persons who act in its name are required to swear oaths to preserve, protect, and defend the Constitution. If the land between Mexico and Canada has a sufficiently different form of government in 2030, it will still be America as a geographical fact, but it won't meaningfully be the USA.
If the change in government is a MAGA autogolpe, is more likely than not that the new government will use the legal identity (including the name, symbols, and paper Constitution) of the USA as a skinsuit in the same way that the Principiate used the Roman Republic as a skinsuit, or the current non-executive ceremonial Head of State of the UK uses the title, formal powers, and regalia of Charles II as a skinsuit. But the people who call it the USA will be lying.
There is another theory which states that this has already happened.
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