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Culture War Roundup for the week of October 6, 2025

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I think "good" or "great" is asking the wrong question. The emotions Democrats and friends were feeling in summer 2024 was driven by "Much better than 2024-vintage Biden" and, to a lesser extent "Much better than Hilary Clinton". Also the campaign was basically competent (as demonstrated by the Dems doing better in swing states where there was a lot of campaigning than they did in deep red or blue states where there wasn't), which was a pleasant surprise.

There are basically two Kamala-sympathetic stories about 2024:

  1. The Democrats lost the election on the state of the economy, and Harris did surprisingly well to keep the election close. People who support this view like to compare the Democrats' performance in 2024 to other incumbent parties in rich democracies, who mostly lost by landslides.
  2. 2024-vintage Kamala was an okay (not great - nobody ever thought she was great as far as I can see) candidate but the 2020 primary campaign had been so crazy that she had "had" to say a bunch of discrediting stuff that she didn't manage to run away from, with free sex changes for trans illegal immigrant criminals the headliner.

The result of a close election is almost always multi-causal, but I think the economic competence story holds together best. 2024 wasn't a base mobilisation election - both campaigns got their respective bases out and were always going to. The election was decided by swing voters. And when people spoke to swing voters what they heard was "The prices are too #!@# high and the Democrats don't seem to care." There were some obvious-in-hindsight unforced errors by the Biden administration which made the prices higher than they needed to be - the too-big stimulus in 2021 and the big infrastructure bill which spent a lot of money without building any infrastructure.