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It'll shake out. Not cleanly, it's going to be painful for companies and universities, but it will. (BTW, Ivies are much smaller than 5%). In most of these cases, the students will not be able to complete a rigorous degree; they'll get their bachelors but in some lesser degree. This likely leads to smaller graduating STEM cohorts from the universities which degraded admissions standards. Since the better students probably went somewhere, it means companies looking for college hires will need to go down the university prestige chain to find as many as they used to, and probably be more selective about students from those higher up.
Some schools will likely pass these people through even in their supposedly rigorous programs. This will be very bad for the reputation of those schools a year after the first such class graduates. Also very bad for the overly trusting employers.
I hope not; an Agile cert should be a red flag. And the skills it takes to succeed on your own (and make 1099 income) are very different than tech skills. Most techies couldn't run a business and most business owners couldn't do tech; the small overlap is where you get your founders, but it IS small.
No. Considering the results of the last US election, I expect the Democrats to come roaring back with a massive win in 2026 and a trifecta in 2028, and they'll bring wokism and all this with them. It seems a definite majority of the American people support this as long as its problems are not actually right in front of them in the immediate moment.
I suppose the trades will still be there; data centers require a lot of electrical, HVAC, and plumbing.
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