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Notes -
Demographically Minnesota is a Midwestern state with a 75% white population. In theory it should be winnable by Republicans. The right deciding to fight back in Minneapolis specifically is the kind of high-variance strategy that could flip the state red. If Minnesota white people become as
racistdemographically aware as white people in Ohio, then Democrats are screwed.But two-thirds of the state live in the Twin Cities metro, so the flip you’re hoping for can only occur in our suburbs, and shooting white women doesn’t go over well, there.
The FBI hammering Somali fraud was already the right track. This ICE escalation is politically moronic. It is the Trump administration putting on a show for the rest of the country, and his personal grudge against Walz from the last campaign, not working to turn Minnesota red. That’s done for this election cycle. Won’t happen.
Things were bad enough that earlier this week Walz had to drop his reelection bid for governor because of the fraud.
Klobuchar (governor) and Craig (senate) are done deals, now. Worse, Walz’s much more woke Lt. Governor Flannigan, who might have been kept out of office due to taint from the fraud scandal, will likely be appointed to backfill Klobuchar’s spot in the senate, unless the DFL primary voters are foolish enough to pick her over the comperably-moderate married ELCA lesbian Craig in the upcoming primary, with the latter already having flipped an exurban-to-rural house district from red to blue.
Also, Trump has recently stopped just short of endorsing ex-coke fiend turned crackpot Jesus-freak Mike Lindell. Demuth had a very, very real chance of beating Walz coming into this week and becoming the first Republican governor in decades. But the Republican Party being just a cult of personality for a narcissistic sociopath, it completely lacks the discipline needed for a winning strategy in Minnesota.
Favorability ratings and trust for the FBI/federal investigations are much higher than those for ICE and right wing social media influencers boosted by the POTUS and the VP. The slow boil of expanding indictments playing out across multiple news cycles between now and Election Day was already prompting come to Jesus meetings among local DFL leaders. Things were going great for Minnesota Republicans. Key word: were.
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