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Notes -
As far as I'm aware most of the narrative about inevitability is of the more 'timeless' Thucydides Trap flavor. However it's worth noting that I do sometimes read English-language Chinese propaganda: they are actually pushing this narrative! Their hope is that they can co-opt US intellectuals into thinking "we're too smart to fall into this silly trap". This is accompanied by (empty) blustering about how important "self-determinism" is and how they would never intervene in other countries' affairs (lol).
In parallel, they're trying to degrade American pride and nationalism more generally. No one is more happy than China (yes, even more than Russia IMO) at the flood of articles about homelessness in the US, racial violence, inequality, government dysfunction, etc). Interestingly, they seem to have tried to learn from the Communists of yesteryear: rather than explicitly promote left-wingers, they think that they can win on a pure negative-messaging platform. They will brag about how China can 'just do things' and is clean, orderly, family-friendly even, but they don't care if it catches on, they just want to provide a contrast. They don't care about promoting something like the IWW or Comintern or whatever. They view money as a more powerful ideological tool (internationally) than actual ideology. Of course, some of this is necessarily defensive: they don't want democracy to look attractive to Chinese people. But it's interesting to me nonetheless that this is the strategy that they've chosen to appeal to the Western intellectuals.
I do think China is less likely to intervene in other countries affairs then the US or Russia
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