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Notes -
If I'm gonna be honest, I continue to not care that much about the events in Iran. We've spend 40 billion dollars and lost 13 soldiers. That's not great, but it's also a drop in the statistical budget. That's like 4% of the yearly defense budget and one week of the armed forces all cause mortality. The deaths, including civilian, in Iran are a tragedy, but they're a tiny tragedy compared to the numbers of protestors butchered in the last few months.
The destruction of natural gas plants is possibly extremely bad for Europe and parts of Asia, but doesn't really impact America. If Iran keeps tolling the strait long term, that's bad and entirely on Trump. If they get the bomb and means to deliver it, same deal. I would prefer the Iranian regime fall, but I don't think that's an outcome achievable at any price America should be paying, and a mistake to attempt.
But overall I frankly just do not care that much, and I won't have firm opinions on the conflict until consequences have shaken out for a year or two or things escalate substantially.
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