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Notes -
Contrary to many predictions here, America did not accept whatever terms Iran was offering because Iran won and America lost. It turns out America isn’t in a rush to end this war?
Supposedly the breaking-down point was nukes. Iran will never be allowed to have nukes.
I have been told that the Straits are this big global choke point the Iranians control now and America has to accept that. Turns out that America can just decide to blockade it. Will the Iranians stop them now that their navy is destroyed? Turns out in fact America doesn’t mind if the straits are blocked. (Probably because the deficit in oil caused by the blockade is somewhat exaggerated and the gap is being backfilled by oil tankers filling up at American ports.)
This all accords with what I’ve been saying all along: America is winning, Iran is out of cards to play, Trump is willing to use more force if he has to, the closure of the straits is not as big a deal as many make it seem. Supposedly, Iran beat America badly and America can’t do anything except try to take whatever terms Iran will give them. That’s clearly not happening.
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