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PaperclipPerfector  7d ago (text post)   27678 thread views

Culture War Roundup for the week of April 6, 2026

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The JCPOA wouldn't have done anything about Iran's arming of terrorists, and we can extrapolate that it would have actually made that problem worse since nuclear sanctions would have been removed on Iran, and they would have plowed some (perhaps most) of that money into more proxies, terrorists, missiles, etc. That's the primary vector people criticize the deal, and it's true there would have been a tradeoff. Israel and the neocons were extremely negative about the deal because of that.

But in terms of blocking Iran from getting a nuke, it would have indeed been very effective. That was the whole point.

Your 5 step plan would have required a full invasion and probably a lingering ground presence to enforce it. The UK and France wouldn't have anywhere near the capabilities to do that. America could probably do it, but it would be a huge investment of military resources and political will.

But in terms of blocking Iran from getting a nuke, it would have indeed been very effective. That was the whole point.

How? None of the parties were willing to do enforcement. All it did, realistically, was enrich Iran and make gas cheaper in Europe.

If Iran went on to use all that money to enrich Uranium...what? Sternly worded letter from Paris London and Berlin?

It would have done it through monitoring and snapback sanctions that were severe enough to get them to come to the table in the first place.

Sure, it wouldn't have been enough if Iran was willing to become a permanent pariah state like North Korea, but they didn't want to become like that. The only foolproof method would have been regime change and another forever war, but the political will for that didn't exist.

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